Damage In Tolland Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: TORs for all Each town gets one tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 EF 1 let’s have some fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Going to be a tight window but it could be pretty widespread...even despite the weak mid-level lapse rates. Not to beat the bat with the dead horse, but if we are able to get 2500 J/KG of MLCAPE...I think that's the magic value. Where's @OceanStWx been???????????? ML lapse rates don't appear that bad? At least to be a major concern. Of course a stout EML wouldn't hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Each town gets one tomorrow That would be awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 No tornadoes suck, especially anything stronger than an EF-0. Now that I have witnessed a strong EF-1 tornado, in fact, it was a max EF-1 tornado, I don't want to lose power ever again. It was awful losing power for just 24 hours, parts of my town lost power for three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 HIRES NAM prints out a sour picture for the South Coast of MA. This includes Cape Cod and the Islands, another tornado threat for early afternoon on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: No tornadoes suck, especially anything stronger than an EF-0. Now that I have witnessed a strong EF-1 tornado, in fact, it was a max EF-1 tornado, I don't want to lose power ever again. It was awful losing power for just 24 hours, parts of my town lost power for three days. This reads like a humble brag. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: This reads like a humble brag. lol, I would never brag about losing power, I want no more tornadoes. I witnessed one, it was enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2019 Author Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Dr. Dews said: ML lapse rates don't appear that bad? At least to be a major concern. Of course a stout EML wouldn't hurt Signals are conflicting...there is a chance they could be like 6-6.5...which is not bad for around here but they could be closer to 5.5 if there is a lot of crap. Anyways...as long as we can destabilize and not have to worry about that the high dews should compensate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Signals are conflicting...there is a chance they could be like 6-6.5...which is not bad for around here but they could be closer to 5.5 if there is a lot of crap. Anyways...as long as we can destabilize and not have to worry about that the high dews should compensate The individual model runs and data are conflicting but I'd expect ~6c roughly, which is serviceable. Any lower would hurt though, all things consodered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said: EF 1 let’s have some fun EF-2 and complement the dew 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 Looks like a regional 4-8 type deal with perhaps a 12 lolli. Dave, pickles to Dendy jackpot? Sound the alarms, tweet now, stay vigilant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 20, 2019 Author Share Posted August 20, 2019 17 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: The individual model runs and data are conflicting but I'd expect ~6c roughly, which is serviceable. Any lower would hurt though, all things consodered. If we can punch some dry air into the mid-levels (enough anyways) could be a widespread wind event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 M/W has some decent storms going. We watch Interesting comments by SPC earlier, I would say the pressure falls over ON/QC comment was somewhat geared towards some model errors in storm mode and initiation SE. Not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 This page ... disturbing to say the least, I wait for the day when one of you damage cheerleaders has to file an insurance claim bc of "an act of God" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 I can envision about 12-15 of these flying around in here tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: This page ... disturbing to say the least, I wait for the day when one of you damage cheerleaders has to file an insurance claim bc of "an act of God" Very disturbing stuff, wishing damage and destruction upon people wishing for damage and destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: I can envision about 12-15 of these flying around in here tomorrow. Fiyyyahh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 8 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: This page ... disturbing to say the least, I wait for the day when one of you damage cheerleaders has to file an insurance claim bc of "an act of God" Oh, It will happen, One of those gypsy moth infested oaks will end up on the dining room table, And you will be able to have a nice bowl of larvae with sweet and sour sauce. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: Very disturbing stuff, wishing damage and destruction upon people wishing for damage and destruction. How about wishing damage and destruction upon people wishing for damage and destruction against people who wish for damage and destruction? I'm visiting a relative up in New England on Saturday so it should be nice n cool up there. Relief from this endless torch down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: How about wishing damage and destruction upon people wishing for damage and destruction against people who wish for damage and destruction? It's okay to get excited about and even crave damage, but not okay to target particular areas, specific groups or individuals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 47 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: It's okay to get excited about and even crave damage, but not okay to target particular areas, specific groups or individuals. Actually, I hope it happens in North Billerica right over your house, But that's just me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Oz NAM looks like crap for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 1337 cape 18z, HFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 ...New England into the northern Mid-Atlantic... While the vertical ascent and enhanced flow aloft with the shortwave described in the synopsis will remain predominantly north of the region, a low-amplitude, lead shortwave trough (currently moving through the OH Valley) is expected to move into New England this afternoon. Warm and unstable air mass will be in place ahead of this shortwave, and the expectation is for multiple bands of convection to move across the region this afternoon. Some modest strengthening of the low-level flow (i.e. around 30-35 kt at 850 mb) is anticipated ahead of this shortwave trough, lengthening hodographs and contributing to 0-1 km SRH around 100-150 m2/s2. Overall, wind profiles support occasional supercell structures within predominantly linear multicells. Primary severe threat will be damaging wind gusts but isolated hail and a tornado or two are also possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Mesos are absolutely wild late day and into the evening. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21, 2019 Author Share Posted August 21, 2019 the mesos have been pretty horrific the past week with convection...not just here in the Northeast either. So much inconsistency...anyways I think there is room today to get some discrete cells going. CT could actually be a hot spot today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: the mesos have been pretty horrific the past week with convection...not just here in the Northeast either. So much inconsistency...anyways I think there is room today to get some discrete cells going. CT could actually be a hot spot today We hope! Storm in the distance now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Was a nice light show at 4:30 in the NW sky during AM run. Was pretty cool with clear skies and moon out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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