yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Summary says "watch likely" but disco says "watch possible" heh Good thing we will have to wait for the next MCD which will probably be more for our area then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Just now, yuki neko said: Annnd now it's gone. I get an error message when I try to see the MCD. Its up there now... it sometimes takes a few minutes for it load on SPC after it comes on Kamala Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 95% chance of a watch for us: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1664.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: 95% chance of a watch for us: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1664.html I like the mention of the MCV in far E WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: 95% chance of a watch for us: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1664.html not showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Chasing a field of towering CU over in Delaware. Not too far (~5 mi) from the state line so i'm already in delaware in about 5-10 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Just now, mappy said: not showing up it usually takes 5-10 minutes for some reason for the MCD to show up on SPC... its up on Kamala if you want to read it now/see the image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 1 minute ago, mappy said: not showing up Quote ACUS11 KWNS 071702 SWOMCD SPC MCD 071702 MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-071830- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1664 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1222 PM CDT WED AUG 07 2019 AREAS AFFECTED...THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 071702Z - 071830Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A WATCH IS LIKELY. DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STORMS HAVE STARTED TO DEVELOP FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS FROM THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 30 KNOTS WILL SUPPORT MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND LINES CAPABLE OF BOTH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 6.5 TO 7 C/KM WILL SUPPORT A GREATER THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL IN THIS REGION THAN FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR BOTH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE FROM CENTRAL MARYLAND NORTHEAST INTO FAR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK WHERE STORM COVERAGE, INSTABILITY, AND SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED AHEAD OF AN MCV CURRENTLY OUT OF FAR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. A WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON. ..BENTLEY/GOSS.. 08/07/2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 thanks guys, SPC tweeted it. their site was loading stupidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Interesting to see winds backing a bit to the SE east of US 15. Seems to be nudging the dews up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 SVR for Frederick, MD Quote he National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Frederick County in north central Maryland... * Until 200 PM EDT. * At 111 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Ballenger Creek, or 7 miles south of Harry Grove Stadium, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Frederick, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Walkersville, New Market, Discovery-Spring Garden, Linganore-Bartonsville, Adamstown, Woodsboro, Buckeystown, Libertytown, Monrovia, Ijamsville, Mount Pleasant, Doubs, Park Mills and Tuscarora. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Sounds like @Mrs.J is going to get a good storm behind the current warned storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Its trying but its getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: SVR for Frederick, MD Radarscope has a 1.50" hail marker on it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Hell of a hail signature on that Fred Co cell now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: Hell of a hail signature on that Fred Co cell now. radarscope now has it up to 2" hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Updated SWS states hail to ping pong ball sized possible with teh warned cell in FDK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Looks like a Loudoun, Frederick, northern Montgomery, western Howard, Carroll jackpot to start. Some decent winds coming out of the Frederick cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 @BlizzardNole should be getting some rain right now if he is just north of Germantown in MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 135 PM EDT Wed Aug 7 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northeastern Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... * Until 215 PM EDT. * At 135 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Linden, or near Front Royal, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Front Royal, Linden, Delaplane, Chester Gap, Saint Louis, Blue Mountain, Howellsville, Upperville, Markha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 7 minutes ago, yoda said: @BlizzardNole should be getting some rain right now if he is just north of Germantown in MD Hey Yoda, yeah looks like a cell went through to give my parched yard a drink. I'm in DC and hoping for a big one to hit here this afternoon (just not at 5 PM LOL). Looks like some training setting up in Southern FredCo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Nice line of storms to my east, northeast, southwest, and to my west. And before its over, I'm sure to my north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Blue box until 00:00 UTC 8/8/19. WCN should be coming shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 STW just issued for central MoCo for the storm near Lowes Island/Great Falls area, moving NE at 25mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, batmanbrad said: STW just issued for central MoCo for the storm near Lowes Island/Great Falls area, moving NE at 25mph Notice how the outflow from the initial storm in Frederick County has moved east and is energizing the activity in Fairfax and Montgomery. Decent wind signature just NE of Sugarland Run in Fairfax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 14 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Nice line of storms to my east, northeast, southwest, and to my west. And before its over, I'm sure to my north as well. Storm to your west will get you soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 93 at DCA. 94 here. Waiting on a build south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Constant thunder in Gaithersburg and it's getting legit dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Storm to your west will get you soon Looks to me like it will slide just to my west, and then fulfill the prophecy as the storm to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 7, 2019 Share Posted August 7, 2019 Nice hail core E of Woodstock... 2.25" on radarscope... probably will scrape southern part of Front Royal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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