bluewave Posted August 21, 2019 Author Share Posted August 21, 2019 This summer is another example of dewpoints on the rise. Another 75+ dewpoint day around the area. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=76&network=NJ_ASOS&station=ACY&season=summer&varname=dwpf&year=1893&hours=0-23&dpi=100&_fmt=png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 11:58 AM, bluewave said: The EPS is indicating the potential for more tropical development under the big high in about 5 days near the Carolinas. Expand A Bob like scenario wouldn't be surprising as tropical development shifts further north over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 This sounding is tasty. We're going to convect early. Also, continue to think SPC is understating shear around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Storms popping already and a strong line in New England. This is the most active summer I can ever remember. Just relentless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 2:20 PM, Will - Rutgers said: Storms popping already and a strong line in New England. This is the most active summer I can ever remember. Just relentless. Expand Anyone who has boarded an aircraft this summer shares this same view! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 12z NAM and RGEM are advertising a much more widespread round of heavy storms tomorrow during the evening compared to today, even though today is advertised as the bigger severe weather day. Do you guys buy that? This is quite a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 3:19 PM, winterwx21 said: 12z NAM and RGEM are advertising a much more widespread round of heavy storms tomorrow during the evening compared to today, even though today is advertised as the bigger severe weather day. Do you guys buy that? This is quite a change. Expand yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 3:25 PM, Brian5671 said: yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later? Expand Just seems the meso's have really had a problem this summer with the numerous convection threats we've had...rarely agreeing on timing, coverage....and more often than not, underestimating coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 3:25 PM, Brian5671 said: yeah both nams has almost nothing for today-wonder if that line in Western NJ robs energy for later? Expand That's possible. And I wonder if NAM and RGEM are right about tomorrow now being the big storm day. The 12z runs of both models are impressive with tomorrow's storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 A ton of clouds around NYC ruining CAPE. I’m just going to say, today’s a miss, in hopes of being wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 3:53 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A ton of clouds around NYC ruining CAPE. I’m just going to say, today’s a miss, in hopes of being wrong. Expand I am more impressed with tomorrow night for the immediate NYC area. For today I think CT through MA and NH do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saberonyx Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 This looks like a repeat from the other day but it's the latest sky. Back at the Wantagh Marina Long Island Video_20190821110330562_by_videoshow_s01.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Once this storm enters a more favorable environment in Connecticut it should really blow up. Probably will go severe warned soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Cloud deck will lift northeast in the next hour-let's see what we can get to pop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 3:53 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: A ton of clouds around NYC ruining CAPE. I’m just going to say, today’s a miss, in hopes of being wrong. Expand You're factually wrong. Look at the 12Z OKX sounding. The convective temp today is not very high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 One thing I do notice that's a negative is that the LL winds aren't as backed as forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 4:39 PM, NycStormChaser said: Once this storm enters a more favorable environment in Connecticut it should really blow up. Probably will go severe warned soon. Expand That complex slid by a few miles to my north. I could hear the rumbling but it only drizzled here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 5:29 PM, gravitylover said: That complex slid by a few miles to my north. I could hear the rumbling but it only drizzled here. Expand Rotation is broad but its trying to get its act together real quick. I can see it going tornado warned soon after some improvements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Severe Thunderstorm Watch just came through my weather radio. I’m almost certain it’s set to KWO35, as it’s been dead silent for years until this summer. I’m not sure if WXM80 reaches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Severe thunderstorm watch for the nyc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Current temp 91/DP 74/RH 59% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 It looks like storms are starting to fire over E.PA/NW NJ. Warning out just south of Reading PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 New Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the rest of the area now until 10 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 The cell that popped near Allentown a short while ago dropped a quick 0.96” here. No strong winds or CTG lightning with it however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 about to get split for the second day in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Not looking very impressive so far :/Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 On 8/21/2019 at 5:04 PM, Drz1111 said: You're factually wrong. Look at the 12Z OKX sounding. The convective temp today is not very high. Expand I’m not a met, so thanks for the input, I know you know your stuff. I’ll be happy just to see some rain on the uws and at home on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 Looks like I'm in the sights of that SVR warned cell in NJ. Getting clipped by the front part right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted August 21, 2019 Share Posted August 21, 2019 The rain's going to come real close for my area. A very slight shift north and misses me completely. The last soaking rain here was 2 weeks ago. Had only .17 of an inch of rain a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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