weatherpruf Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/14/2019 at 9:23 PM, Snow88 said: The last 2 days have been miserable in Wildwood and now back home. Power just flickered here at my house Expand We never got the big storms here, and for two days I skipped fishing trips waiting for the bad weather, which never came. Unfortunately we have an easterly flow now, not good for boating and fishing, at least in the ocean. Meh, fishing has sucked anyway, but we were hoping for some porgies to show up. They haven't. Can feel the humidity starting to build up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 16, 2019 Author Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 2:41 PM, weatherpruf said: Not looking forward to that, but I will be in Va beach ( family likes the place; not me ) where I'm sure it will be hotter. Expand Record breaking 500 mb ridge and jet streak near Alaska pumping the WAR. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1162384333832769537 The 500 mb height of 5980 m at Cold Bay, Alaska, is a station record and one of the highest values ever recorded in Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 4:08 PM, bluewave said: Record breaking 500 mb ridge and jet streak near Alaska pumping the WAR. https://mobile.twitter.com/Climatologist49/status/1162384333832769537 The 500 mb height of 5980 m at Cold Bay, Alaska, is a station record and one of the highest values ever recorded in Alaska Expand It would be really nice to get some record breaking heights over British Columbia in, say, mid-January. The Pac jet slowing down would be a welcome change as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 6:28 PM, Gravity Wave said: It would be really nice to get some record breaking heights over British Columbia in, say, mid-January. The Pac jet slowing down would be a welcome change as well. Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 6:28 PM, Gravity Wave said: It would be really nice to get some record breaking heights over British Columbia in, say, mid-January. The Pac jet slowing down would be a welcome change as well. Expand I’m with you, it certainly would be nice. Sadly I can also see myself wish-casting the warning area north of the Delmarva. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 6:51 PM, forkyfork said: Expand This looks bad but I'd need to know what the anomaly map for last winter looked like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 6:51 PM, forkyfork said: Expand 40 degree rainstorms. We will probably wind up having one of the most active winters in years and it will be more wet then white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 August 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 7:27 PM, Rtd208 said: 40 degree rainstorms. We will probably wind up having one of the most active winters in years and it will be more wet then white. Expand Yep. We would need stout blocking in place to overcome that firehose. With the lack of any prolonged -NAO regime in recent winters, I'm not holding my breath. Edit... This is purely fantasy talk of course. Winter is still 4 months away!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 7:27 PM, Rtd208 said: 40 degree rainstorms. We will probably wind up having one of the most active winters in years and it will be more wet then white. Expand Bro we can’t even predict 48 hours away what makes you think that’s even possible to get anything right 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 7:32 PM, NutleyBlizzard said: Yep. We would need stout blocking in place to overcome that firehose. With the lack of any prolonged -NAO regime in recent winters, I'm not holding my breath. Edit... This is purely fantasy talk of course. Winter is still 4 months away!!! Expand stout blocking with a firehose is how we got 60" in a month in 2010/11 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 The next 7 days have popped to an average of 82degs., or 8degs. AN. GFS has 13 90-degree days incoming, including two 100's. When are we going to 'stick' the Weather Police on this model? More realistic: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Will this https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44065 hit 80 water temp this year..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Looking ahead Warm to hot and wet should continue the theme with only storms and clouds hindering heat Sun (8/18) - Fri (8/23) before a brief cooldown next weekend (8/24-25) Models then rebuild heights and heat on/around 8/27 into Labor Day weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Month has not been bad at all so far concerning heat...No 90° readings here yet and my station is running a negative temp departure thru today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/17/2019 at 2:14 AM, doncat said: Month has not been bad at all so far concerning heat...No 90° readings here yet and my station is running a negative temp departure thru today. Expand Will change next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 7:34 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Bro we can’t even predict 48 hours away what makes you think that’s even possible to get anything right Expand Calm down it was meant as a joke. Relax. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/16/2019 at 7:05 PM, Gravity Wave said: This looks bad but I'd need to know what the anomaly map for last winter looked like. Expand Pray for major blocking to keep the storms south of us, or there will be endless cutters like last winter. Big Pacific Jet is all I need to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Next 8 days holding at an average of 79degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +0.1[76.0]. Should be +1.7[77.0] by the 25th. Check out both control members near the 28th-29th period, while GFS merrily has 80's+ forecast anyway: btw: If you want to know what the latest Euro Weeklies are showing, light a candle and sit on it----you will get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 17, 2019 Author Share Posted August 17, 2019 The first few weeks of August are another example of less warm is the new cool. All our major stations are in the 0 to +1 range before the heat and humidity returns this week. This is why it’s so tough to see a below normal temperature departure anymore during the warm season. EWR...+0.3 NYC....+0.1 LGA....+1.1 JFK.....+0.4 ISP.....+0.9 BDR...+0.9 HPN....+0.9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 sooner or later NYC should hit 90 in August even with the vegetation near the sensor...last time it did not hit 90 was back in 1986, 1982 and 1963... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/17/2019 at 4:37 AM, jm1220 said: Pray for major blocking to keep the storms south of us, or there will be endless cutters like last winter. Big Pacific Jet is all I need to know. Expand Cross country sledding via Pennsylvania Avenue? As always..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Outside chance but not totally out of the realm of possibility (we should see less clouds than recent days) Record highs Mon 8/19; EWR: 96 (2002) LGA: 94 (2002) NYC: 94 (2002) -- unliely ISP: 91 (2002) JFK: 90 (2009) TTN: 95 (2002) PHL: 94 (2002) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 17, 2019 Author Share Posted August 17, 2019 The high dewpoints are back. Looks like the 20th day this year at JFK with a 75 degree or higher dewpoint. This is the now the 3rd highest number of days on record. Just an amazing record breaking high dewpoint surge since 2016. Kennedy Intl PTSUNNY 79 75 87 NE6 30.03S 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/17/2019 at 2:54 PM, bluewave said: The high dewpoints are back. Looks like the 20th day this year at JFK with a 75 degree or higher dewpoint. This is the now the 3rd highest number of days on record. Just an amazing record breaking high dewpoint surge since 2016. Kennedy Intl PTSUNNY 79 75 87 NE6 30.03S Expand Can probably add Sun-Wed to that, possibly Thu if the front slows at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 81/76/87 with some breaks of sun now. Edit: 82/78/90 with a little sun shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Kinda humid out looking forward to September now. 75 degrees with 82% humidity. It’s not the worst though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 17, 2019 Author Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/17/2019 at 3:07 PM, purduewx80 said: Can probably add Sun-Wed to that, possibly Thu if the front slows at all. Expand The 12z NAM has heat indices approaching 100 Monday in NJ with the very high humidity. https://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/conussfc.php?run=2019081712&time=INSTANT&var=HTIDXF&hour=057 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Dewpoint 75 here and ISP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 On 8/17/2019 at 4:06 PM, psv88 said: Dewpoint 75 here and ISP. Expand Ditto for Syosset. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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