August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

[winterwx21]

Heavy downpours have delivered a little over 1 inch of rain so far here this afternoon. The downpours are moving very little and just sort of sitting over this area.

[SRRTA22]

Very dark to my west

[LIWeatherGuy29]

Storms popping up over the usual stomping grounds. No rain here today and very little yesterday. I'm hoping the rain to my west and north can make its way over here but I doubt that it will.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

No rain at home or work. I did have the opportunity to work at the beach today and enjoy some waves created by the low though.

[NycStormChaser]

First time I've seen a clap of thunder set off car alarms

[NYCweatherNOW]

I doubt euro is right here most models have us maybe one or two days of 90’s no full throttle heatwave. I actually don’t even think we get more than 1 day of 90’s and even if we do there’s a bad cold front after the WAR relaxes. Regardless you got another week of summer than we start cooling down. We might get another surge of heat around mid September and that’s it!

[LIWeatherGuy29]

Rains having a hard time pushing its way into Long Island.

[Stormlover74]

Ewr picked up 1.69"

[MJO812]

The last 2 days have been miserable in Wildwood and now back home.

 

Power just flickered here at my house 

[purduewx80]

8 hours ago, bluewave said:

Depends on the model. The Euro shifted the heaviest rains further to our south after The Sunday runs. It had very little for us by the Monday evening run. The upgraded GFS really struggled especially from 4-5 days out. It had the low cutting through upstate New York. Euro was always further south closer to reality. 

Mesoscale details are always fickle.  I think this was a good lesson for non-mets not to trust a small-scale feature's exact placement more than 12 hours ahead of time. Convective feedback played havoc w/ the MCV/low placement. That and the widespread clouds are what kept things in check around here and I don't think it was totally obvious until early Tuesday AM.

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, NYCweatherNOW said:

I doubt euro is right here most models have us maybe one or two days of 90’s no full throttle heatwave. I actually don’t even think we get more than 1 day of 90’s and even if we do there’s a bad cold front after the WAR relaxes. Regardless you got another week of summer than we start cooling down. We might get another surge of heat around mid September and that’s it!

I think a 3-5 day heatwave looks likely starting Sunday. HI will likely approach near advisory levels. 

We certainly won't come close to July's heat but as with most years as of late we'll probably see 90s into September too.

[doncat]

37 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Ewr picked up 1.69"

Had 1.35" here in northern SI.... 0.60" at my station on the west shore.

[dmillz25]

0.75” here

[uncle W]

0.03" here...

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, Snow88 said:

The last 2 days have been miserable in Wildwood and now back home.

 

Power just flickered here at my house 

That sucks.  After awhile I've found it's hit or miss down there.  Gotta stay at least 4-5 days to ensure you get some good weather at least.

[BombsAway1288]

3 hours ago, NycStormChaser said:

First time I've seen a clap of thunder set off car alarms

Really? I've experienced that many times and have no where near the amount of exposure to experiencing storms like you do

[SRRTA22]

1.30 for the day. 

[gravitylover]

It drizzled hard enough to wet the ground but not much else. The dryness continues.

[LIWeatherGuy29]

58 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

It drizzled hard enough to wet the ground but not much else. The dryness continues.

Same here. 

[psv88]

the past 3 weeks have been very dry, maybe 0.40 total rain. 

[doncat]

Keeping up the pace with 9.50" rain here past 30 days.

[Rtd208]

Picked up 0.32" of rain for the day

Current temp 71/DP 69/RH 94%

[forkyfork]

i wonder if it will get humid

[CIK62]

Next 8 days averaging 79degs , or 5degs. AN.

Month to date is  +0.1[76.1].        Should be +1.8[77.1] by the 23rd.

71.9* here at 6am.

[doncat]

Small diurnal temp ranges past two days with the clouds, scattered rain...failed to reach 80° here both days with mins  around 70°. 

[Drz1111]

11 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i wonder if it will get humid

Man, if anything popped in the sub tropics we are open for business in the midatlantic with the strong ridge in the north atlantic and the weakness over the lakes.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Any chance any of that convection (super cells) make it to the city?

[NycStormChaser]

Any chance any of that convection (super cells) make it to the city?

Hrrr says no but you never know.

[CIK62]

Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 5degs. AN.

Month to date is  +0.2[76.2].      Should be +1.9[77.2] by the 24th.

70.0* here at 6am.   75.2* by 10am.

[weatherpruf]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Models continuing with the theme of heat and humidity making a return from later in the weekend into early next week. Euro and GFS have 95 degree potential for the usual warm spots by Monday. Dewpoints are also forecast to be in the 75 degree or higher range. So another opportunity for the heat index to reach 100+. The one wild card for Tuesday and Wednesday will be a potential subtropical-type weak low. The Euro is furthest west with the track from near the SE Coast through our area later on Tuesday. Most other models continue the heat and sunshine Tuesday and are drier. So it will be interesting to see if the weak and potentially moisture packed feature verifies. If not, then Tuesday may be a hot and humid carbon copy of Monday.

 

 

Not looking forward to that, but I will be in Va beach ( family likes the place; not me ) where I'm sure it will be hotter.