CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 94 here. 2nd hottest day of summer here I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 49 minutes ago, powderfreak said: There’s the line, ha. Even BTV is only +1.5 or so and they run a baseline +2 to +3 it seems until the new normals kick in. It’s always cloudy there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Incredible thundies here. Wicked CTG and solid downbursts of rain for about 5 - 7 minutes. Still need a solid 3 or 4 layer COSTCO layer of TP in the britches so I am guessing Kev wins again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Better get some rain out of this heat You would think but rain has missed this area any which way it can the past month. I'd say we will hopefully average that out this winter but more likely this dry regime is making up for the 30"+ we got between 7/15 - 10/15 of 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I feel like it’s between you and CON/MHT where the torch gradient has set up this summer. We we’re still a bit below normal as of last night for August. Have yet to reach 80 this month unless today did so, which I doubt due to the clouds hanging on until late morning. Temps running about 1.5° BN here, so Farmington is probably close to their 1981-2010 norms. Got 7-10'ed by todays storms, nice car wash driving thru Belgrade, very pretty towers not far to the north, 0.02" at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: It'll be funny when they start pulling BN months again come the 2020s. We'll start getting stories about global cooling. I'm still torn on what to do for my normals. For now I'm using my full 35 year record instead of a moving 30 year average. It's interesting in that the second half of the record averages about 0.4° warmer than the first half so if I look at a graph of monthly departures a lot of the months in the first half are BN. I do this one graph that I call the departure index which is a sum of the daily departures positive and negative for the month and you can really see which months are stand-outs and which ones are ho-hum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: It'll be funny when they start pulling BN months again come the 2020s. We'll start getting stories about global cooling. Good luck with that ... Solar cycle/AMOC are reeling to the ... eh hm, other factors - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Good luck with that ... Solar cycle/AMOC are reeling to the ... eh hm, other factors - The problem is BTV has developed a site change or the UHI has expanded to the ASOS. The pre-UHI days are still factored into the 30 year normals. So while everyone else is pulling a -2F month BTV is still at +1F or something. The 1991-2020 norms should drop those days of yore in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 So many low dews rest of month, nail in the coffin to any sustained HHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So many low dews rest of month, nail in the coffin to any sustained HHH. There might be some 40s low temps this weekend in SNE, is that the hammer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There might be some 40s low temps this weekend in SNE, is that the hammer? We tried to tell them, but they didn't listen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 hour ago, tamarack said: Have yet to reach 80 this month unless today did so, which I doubt due to the clouds hanging on until late morning. Temps running about 1.5° BN here, so Farmington is probably close to their 1981-2010 norms. Ha, that's hilarious. Going the first three weeks of August and failing to hit even 80F... impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 25 minutes ago, dendrite said: The problem is BTV has developed a site change or the UHI has expanded to the ASOS. The pre-UHI days are still factored into the 30 year normals. So while everyone else is pulling a -2F month BTV is still at +1F or something. The 1991-2020 norms should drop those days of yore in the 80s. Yeah it will be funny when those new normals kick in and really add in the last 10-15 years of records. For BTV to be below normal right now, the rest of the VT ASOS stations have to run like -3 or -4 at the least (and the MVL/MPV/1V4 departures are normally very close to each other). Hopefully the new normals at least get the BTV departures in line with the rest of the North Country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: We tried to tell them, but they didn't listen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Umm.. dews come back Monday. Just saying . Are we just ignoring Scooter and Mets and using charts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There might be some 40s low temps this weekend in SNE, is that the hammer? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 12 hours ago, CoastalWx said: So next week looks like the flow becomes more SE again with high pressure overhead or just offshore. Front approaches from the west so depending on location, could be times of shwrs and storms, although my guess is best chance west. Doesn't seem overly hot. Probably 80s with moderate humidity. This weekend into early next week does look quite nice. Early peak at Labor Day looks fairly warm, but again front nearby. If it's just offshore it will be lower humidity again...but my guess for now is 75-85ish or so (depending on location) with maybe moderate humidity. Things certainly could change as we get closer. They’re ignoring and calling for COC k rest of month . I know where my money lies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Umm.. dews come back Monday. Just saying Majority in the region will be in the 50’s still, can’t touch this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah it will be funny when those new normals kick in and really add in the last 10-15 years of records. For BTV to be below normal right now, the rest of the VT ASOS stations have to run like -3 or -4 at the least (and the MVL/MPV/1V4 departures are normally very close to each other). Hopefully the new normals at least get the BTV departures in line with the rest of the North Country. 70s were relatively cold for BTV compared to MPV, but check out that stepwise jump in the 2010s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Majority in the region will be in the 50’s still, can’t touch this. Ok. Quoted for posterity . COC all week you, Dendrite and charts . Moderate dews at times me and Scoots.. GL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: It’s always cloudy there Mt Mansfield today says, "I have no idea what you are talking about." LOL, like a dark UFO sitting over the Spine all day with sun to the west and east. Orographic lift doesn't discriminate between seasons. Air is always rising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Ok. Quoted for posterity . COC all week you and charts . Moderate dews at times me and Scoots.. GL What are your thoughts for dews at BDL/ORH next week? Honest answer for posterity. Can't play the semantics game if you lay down some numbers at your two closest climo sites. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Ok. Quoted for posterity . COC all week you and charts . Moderate dews at times me and Scoots.. GL So you went from 70+ dews as far as the shriveled weenie can see to moderate dews at times? awesome...we knew you’d come around, pre-gaming for Oct 1st. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ok. Quoted for posterity . COC all week you and charts . Moderate dews at times me and Scoots.. GL EPS already has the next cold front on its heels by d10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So you went from 70+ dews as far as the shriveled weenie can see to moderate dews at times? awesome...we knew you’d come around, pre-gaming for Oct 1st. Preseason...getting his work in. Will probably play the entire first half next week and the first drive of the 3rd quarter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Preseason...getting his work in. Will probably play the entire first half next week and the first drive of the 3rd quarter. Draw your lines. You never make any forecasts. Just hide behind your mod tag and troll everyone. Make a freaking forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Preseason...getting his work in. Will probably play the entire first half next week and the first drive of the 3rd quarter. It’s been a tumultuous off season, needs all the game action the jock strap can handle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Draw your lines. You never make any forecasts. Just hide behind your mod tag and troll everyone. Make a freaking forecast Huh? I think I'm the only one who threw out August numbers with you. And I just posted...a brief warmup followed by another cool down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Right or wrong at least I make forecasts and throw myself out there either for ridicule or a good job. Most of the posters tonight patting each other’s backs rip and read model data and assume that’s how it will work out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Mt Mansfield today says, "I have no idea what you are talking about." LOL, like a dark UFO sitting over the Spine all day with sun to the west and east. Orographic lift doesn't discriminate between seasons. Air is always rising. Lots of angry kids yelling for mama. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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