weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: However, it does look like summer comes back and stays for awhile starting next week. That's a lock. Torchtember to start. I'm still thinking we see a potentially top 3 warmest September across many climo sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Innuendo aside...they had a little camping weekend with the kids this past weekend in the backyard. Bad idea. Little Boy decided to start crowing at 430am and pretty much didn't stop until I went out to let him out at 6am. Next year try a campground. LOL, lesson learned hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: She uses about 15 blankets every night regardless of the temp. It could probably be 32F in there and she wouldn't know the difference. That's what I do in the winter. I bury myself under about 4 blankets and curl up into a ball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 What happened to this big , fresh blast of COC k all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm still thinking we see a potentially top 3 warmest September across many climo sites. There are some seasonal guys that think it torches through fall and into the start of winter. Hopefully they right. Would be nice to not burn oil with windows opened into the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What happened to this big , fresh blast of COC k all week COC then rain up here. Definitely another airmass with coolest departures in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: However, it does look like summer comes back and stays for awhile starting next week. That's a lock. Torchtember to start. We can hope. Nothing I like better than an extended summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are some seasonal guys that think it torches through fall and into the start of winter. Hopefully they right. Would be nice to not burn oil with windows opened into the new year. I've read that those warm waters in the Atlantic won't let lows go south of CT. Could be a problem come winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: COC then rain up here. Definitely another airmass with coolest departures in NNE. You know what seems like happened is that ULL that was modeled to dig into NNE this week ended up over James Bay. Leaving SNE in warm , moist flow with 60’s dews and 70+ Friday onwards . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: You know what seems like happened is that ULL that was modeled to dig into NNE this week ended up over James Bay. Leaving SNE in warm , moist flow with 60’s dews and 70+ Friday onwards . It's not that warm of a weekend. Maybe MDT humidity and E winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: There are some seasonal guys that think it torches through fall and into the start of winter. Hopefully they right. Would be nice to not burn oil with windows opened into the new year. The last two winters have been brutal with the cold. I wouldn't mind a winter without the cold outbreaks. I'm kinda torn on the winter...I could see it go either way. The unscientific side of me wants to think we'll see a predominately +NAO given the record setting -NAO we had this spring/summer (in terms of consecutive days being negative) but the scientific side thinks we are going to deal with numerous cold outbreaks once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Sunday maybe U80s at the tarmac? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: Innuendo aside...they had a little camping weekend with the kids this past weekend in the backyard. Bad idea. Little Boy decided to start crowing at 430am and pretty much didn't stop until I went to let him out at 6am. Next year try a campground. My neighbors have chickens the roosters crow all the time, when you grow up with the crowing its perfectly normal and background noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not that warm of a weekend. Maybe MDT humidity and E winds. Interior it’s 70+ dews and 85-90 both days. Light E flow over 75 degree water doesn’t do anything interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Classic example of "devil is in the details" Yesterdays high was only 79F with a low of 69F Day before was 87F with a low of 54F Yesterday pulled off a +3.6F while the day before was 0F. I would not have called yesterday a torch while the day before was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Interior it’s 70+ dews and 85-90 both days. Light E flow over 75 degree water doesn’t do anything interior Cloud risk too. I’ll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cloud risk too. I’ll take the under. Saturday and Sunday both look to develop clouds as the day progresses with scattered showers/t'storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile, August drought continues. yeah, I don't care if we get HHH, but give me some damn rain already. I missed 1"+ yesterday by less than 5mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Saturday and Sunday both look to develop clouds as the day progresses with scattered showers/t'storms. We are in a dry pattern rain wise. Won’t be more than a spot shower in 1-2 towns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sunday maybe U80s at the tarmac? 91F BOS and 82F MQE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are in a dry pattern rain wise. Won’t be more than a spot shower in 1-2 towns IDK...it's not potent s/w energy but both days offer some pretty decent s/w moving through and then the front Sunday. Decent wind shear and not awful lapse rates. Heights look to rise Saturday so that could hurt and the timing of the front Sunday looks a little late. I could see some splitting supercell potential up north Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The last two winters have been brutal with the cold. I wouldn't mind a winter without the cold outbreaks. I'm kinda torn on the winter...I could see it go either way. The unscientific side of me wants to think we'll see a predominately +NAO given the record setting -NAO we had this spring/summer (in terms of consecutive days being negative) but the scientific side thinks we are going to deal with numerous cold outbreaks once again. We could be headed to a -nao spring/summer and winter cycle like the beginning of the decade. With the propensity to establish -epo’s relatively easily in today’s climate, we could have a great 6 weeks of winter....but torched/no winter otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: 91F BOS and 82F MQE? On an East wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We could be headed to a -nao spring/summer and winter cycle like the beginning of the decade. With the propensity to establish -epo’s relatively easily in today’s climate, we could have a great 6 weeks of winter....but torched/no winter otherwise. Yeah I can see that type of scenario occurring. I have a feeling this winter is not going to really behave extremely well which will make the long-range forecasting exceptionally difficult. There is a great deal in place which I think favors a -EPO/major blocking. The jet should be very, very strong too so we'll need the block/-EPO to suppress it, but given this the pattern I think should be active so we'll see if that can transpire into above-average snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Heat wave per Euro and EPS Aug 19 20 21. We beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 23 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: yeah, I don't care if we get HHH, but give me some damn rain already. I missed 1"+ yesterday by less than 5mi. 2.40 so far on the month,normal is around 4. No problem getting normal per EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Almost every town in CT is above normal to date with some way above normal. East is least especially Massachusetts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 Wow just realized EPS goes to the end of the month now. Time flies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 2.40 so far on the month,normal is around 4. No problem getting normal per EPS Less then 1/2" on the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 After a very wet July, Just 0.8" now. Ground cracking and swallowing kids. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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