wxeyeNH Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Looks like I might be in no man's land. Heavy to the left, dealers to the right, stuck in the middle with you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 53 minutes ago, weathafella said: Oh yeah. Dropped our pride and joy off to her living space and now enjoying our last day in London. Train to Paris tomorrow. Weather has been hot and of course ac doesn’t work where we’re staying but it hasn’t slowed us down at all. Fans and cool showers work fine. Nice thing about London is we speak the native language. It’s a fun city and locals know how to have fun! That train is pretty comfortable. We took the Eurostar to Brussels earlier this month. Even the long check in lines at St. Pancras went smoothly. I was hoping the Chunnel would be more interesting but it's just another tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 That would be awesome. Close to 6" on the Nammy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 My first 'my qpf sucks' post of the season. Flood cancel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Feel the best axis for highest totals will be in eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Feel the best axis for highest totals will be in eastern areas Your area back down to Steve, Midcoast and DE Maine here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Lol, Nammy with almost nothing here, while fifty miles away my summer house floats away into the Atlantic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Lol, Nammy with almost nothing here, while fifty miles away my summer house floats away into the Atlantic. Have's, Have not's and Don't wants on this one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 MWN white tipped this Weekend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Yeah ...I mentioned this in the tropical thread the other day ...the NAM's been flirting with a PRE set up there. But it's complicated because 1, the NAM ( at least 'use to' ) carry on with a NW-W Atlantic bias of extending cyclonic influence too far NW. If it is doing so with this thing, it may be faux manufacturing said PRE. Also, the TC isn't very well formulated which somewhat strains belief - a little - that it would have that much forcing capacity in the total tropopsheric synoptics through the period. Who knows but we've seen the NAM dry up big QPF forecasts for other reasons with regularity too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 It’s all east . Put models away. Use radar. PVD east crushed. ORH west not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s all east . Put models away. Use radar. PVD east crushed. ORH west not much The models ARE all east - wtf are talking about... 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The models ARE all east - wtf are talking about... It just the usual nonsense that he posts daily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 49 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: man what a soaker for eastern areas.. i hope peabody dude does not float away I think he's in Salem NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 o 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: I think he's in Salem NH oh ok, I did not know he moved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Anyway ... the peregrinations of Kevin aside ... It's interesting that right down the NAM meso products, 32, 12 and 3 KM, they are all setting up a PRE or quasi PRE behavior over RI/E. Mass. Incredibly narrow in the 12. A narrow region appears bombarded across a 6 hour window, spanning just 20 or even a 10 mile wide axis of training convection. There is a front limping through and it briefly links up with the general cyclonic tapestry of the TC as it lift NNE on a curving trajectory. No James - this isn't going to hit the Cape ... Anyway, right on the frontalysis axis they get smoked, with exceptionally steep gradient on the western side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: o oh ok, I did not know he moved. just found him.. slantstickers now.. got it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Mm. I'm not ready to dismiss something like the NAM out of hand on this... The now's in the sky are setting things up ominously ...That frontal band is suggestively tilting slightly negative (slowing) as it creeps east over PA/NY ... Meanwhile, plume of ongoing cold cloud tops is fisting N toward the south coast right now. Slow evolution tho. It's just that the whole look of the thing doesn't immediately dismiss the notion that some impressive PW air would get sucked up into said front as it limps through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The models ARE all east - wtf are talking about... There’s posts about inches of rain in CT and precip moving NW into CT. Please read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There’s posts about inches of rain in CT and precip moving NW into CT. Please read You said "models" ... again, wtf were you talking about - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mm. I'm not ready to dismiss something like the NAM out of hand on this... The now's in the sky are setting things up ominously ...That frontal band is suggestively tilting slightly negative (slowing) as it creeps east over PA/NY ... Meanwhile, plume of ongoing cold cloud tops is fisting N toward the south coast right now. Slow evolution tho. It's just that the whole look of the thing doesn't immediately dismiss the notion that some impressive PW air would get sucked up into said front as it limps through. Pretty cool visible today... can see the frontal boundary stuff in NY and approaching tropical moisture to the south. Loop it and you could see how a HFD-ORH axis could get crushed too. I still like east but you can see the more negative tilt trying to take place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pretty cool visible today... can see the frontal boundary stuff in NY and approaching tropical moisture to the south. Loop it and you could see how a HFD-ORH axis could get crushed too. I still like east but you can see the more negative tilt trying to take place. Yup Satellite lies at times though - and radar sometimes gets the same dishonest memo. Can't count how many times in the winter I've crashed red-eyed and weary late at night after studying chart after chart showing miss, while fighting rad and sat presentations now-casting doom. Feelin' pretty damn good about the positive bust about to befall upon unsuspecting denizens, only to wake up partly sunny - "that's impossible!" Only the irony here is that we are trying to disavow a model for being more impacting - kind of the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Who said inches of rain? All I am saying is that the BDL-ORH area could be a heavier axis. Maybe one of a few axis of heavy rain. Now that you're being a dink about it, I hope you have a mudslide off the massif. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pretty cool visible today... can see the frontal boundary stuff in NY and approaching tropical moisture to the south. Loop it and you could see how a HFD-ORH axis could get crushed too. I still like east but you can see the more negative tilt trying to take place. A purdy picture in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 The interaction between CF and tropical moisture will really be interesting to see how it works out. New GFS gives me less than .10", maybe nothing. Congrats on all who get a nice soak, Brian and I look to me in the dry slot between systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 We downpour, wet August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Look at radar for CT. Man, some are having a rough go of it this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 We tried to tell 'em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 It’s all east AWT . Just nuisance stuff CT. Not flooding 3-5” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Those rains near JFK will produce in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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