CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Why is my name attached to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Why is my name attached to this? Because you made a solid forecast. Right or wrong . This morning. Nothing more nothing less. I’m +2.5 to +3.5 SNE this month. I forecast that . Right or wrong . It’s there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Right or wrong at least I make forecasts and throw myself out there either for ridicule or a good job. Most of the posters tonight patting each other’s backs rip and read model data and assume that’s how it will work out Dews on Monday for ORH/BDL.... above 65F or below during the time when people are awake and outdoors? I'll take the under. Say 55-60F dews at ORH/BDL on Monday when folks are out and about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Dews on Monday for ORH/BDL.... above 65F or below during the time when people are awake and outdoors? I'll take the under. Say 55-60F at ORH on Monday. I’ll go 61 or above early next week south of the pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Because you made a solid forecast. Right or wrong . This morning. Nothing more nothing less. I’m +2.5 to +3.5 SNE this month. I forecast that . Right or wrong . It’s there I’m speaking more for SNE. September after Labor Day doesn’t look too torchy. Might be AN, but when I see high pressure overhead that time of year, it’s usually nice. Labor Day weekend has front nearby. I could see close to COC or a couple of days of dews. Tough to say exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll go 61 or above early next week south of the pike BDL/ORH. Throw it down. What does "south of the Pike mean"... pick a spot and I'll amend if you want to do Davis dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: BDL/ORH. Throw it down. What does "south of the Pike mean"... pick a spot and I'll amend if you want to do Davis dews. Let’s choose HFD. Brainard. 3 or more days Monday thru Saturday of dews 65 or above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 .37 here.... wish it was more....but we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Right or wrong at least I make forecasts and throw myself out there either for ridicule or a good job. Most of the posters tonight patting each other’s backs rip and read model data and assume that’s how it will work out I made July and Aug calls, it’s there. I was right in July for NNE but wrong in SNE. I originally had the highest monthly departures for Aug but that looks to be wrong as well even after the past couple days, nothing like July though. We may end up close to normal or a shade above. It’s all fun and games and I call it how my weenie feels it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 By the way PF I kid about the clouds. But, it’s been weird how the gradient of heat continues up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s choose HFD. Brainard. 3 or more days Monday thru Saturday of dews 65 or above I could see that during the second half of next week. I'd go 2-3 days as Thur/Fri/Sat probably gets 65F as it looks now. Mon/Tue definitely take under 65F during the afternoon, likely Wednesday too. But late week I wouldn't as the flow goes back southerly/southwesterly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 19, 2019 Share Posted August 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: By the way PF I kid about the clouds. But, it’s been weird how the gradient of heat continues up there. Yeah, and Tamarack not hitting 80F yet in August still blows my mind from earlier. The warm fronts just haven't been able to penetrate far enough north and then stay there for us to bake I guess. Many days there have been big dew point gradients too across CNE. Some summers though it seems like it's just a SW flow furnace right through Montreal and Quebec...like the max 850s almost go up and above New England when there's a monster eastern ridge. Even going back to this winter, it's had this gradient nearby where it seems any ridging that tries to establish itself just gets beaten down from the north. Last summer it seemed like BTV popped 90-95 like candy, but like Brian and I were talking about, for that site to only be +1.5 in August it certainly hasn’t been hot. Edit: Last August was +5.7 at BTV . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why is my name attached to this? Because if ends up in the shitter, You will be the blame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 So yeah, looks like BTV did 90+ a total of 14 times last July/August... this year it’s been 6 times (all in July) and it’s been low 90s when they’ve come. Last summer was legit heat up north with 93/95/94/97 type stuff at the airport and even into Montreal area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 We wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 70s were relatively cold for BTV compared to MPV, but check out that stepwise jump in the 2010s. Looks like an initial step up around 1995 which retreated briefly in the mid-2000s and then a monster step-increase after 2010...I think the next set of normals will help but it really won't be totally gone until the 2011-2040 normals come out. This matches from what I recall with MADIS too...MADIS really started hating BTV in the 2010s after not being bad in the 2000s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 Charts! Model data showing some very comfortable weather this weekend and early next week. ORH dews even getting down into the 40s next weekend. But before that it has dews of 70-75F for Wed/Thur this week. Something for everyone... very humid followed by very Chamber. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll go 61 or above early next week south of the pike Stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 This will be a great weekend. Well deserved, I enjoyed this summer, but time for some relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like an initial step up around 1995 which retreated briefly in the mid-2000s and then a monster step-increase after 2010...I think the next set of normals will help but it really won't be totally gone until the 2011-2040 normals come out. This matches from what I recall with MADIS too...MADIS really started hating BTV in the 2010s after not being bad in the 2000s. 95 is probably around the time the ASOS took over too. A lot of sites saw changes around then. MHT is another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 We wet Interesting. We got 0.15" early this morning then 0.13" in the tshower. I thought we would have picked up more since that cell moved right over out houseMeanwhile a jet just flew over at 3000' heading to Lew. When I looked on flight radar it originated out of Arizona. I didn't think they had non stops for domestic between those cities. It was elite airways out of bullhead City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Author Share Posted August 20, 2019 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Huh? I think I'm the only one who threw out August numbers with you. And I just posted...a brief warmup followed by another cool down. have a nice bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 22 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: have a nice bust thanks cheetah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 20, 2019 Author Share Posted August 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: thanks cheetah I am honored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 KBOS sitting at 80, yet literally every WU station within a couple miles is 75-77 we toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 ** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 9 hours ago, Lava Rock said: Interesting. We got 0.15" early this morning then 0.13" in the tshower. I thought we would have picked up more since that cell moved right over out house Meanwhile a jet just flew over at 3000' heading to Lew. When I looked on flight radar it originated out of Arizona. I didn't think they had non stops for domestic between those cities. It was elite airways out of bullhead City I may of read in the local paper a while ago that there was going to be flight service from somebody but the biggest problem is the airport is limited to the size plane that can land there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 On the tarmac off the city oven could be legit. Their high yesterday wasn't out of the ordinary. I had 94. It seems like NW-NE-SE wind directions are when the temp issues really show. Winds more continental don't display as egregious behavior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 58F for my overnight low. Comfortable dews ahead for today. 2 moist ones upcoming then crisp for the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 20, 2019 Share Posted August 20, 2019 Dr dew's lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now