Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Tough August for those who don’t look at models. Your call of a slightly AN Augdewst for SNE in doo doo deeper than Ginx yard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your call of a slightly AN Augdewst for SNE in doo doo deeper than Ginx yard I know. Only +0.3F so far for ORH, but thankfully we bump that up the next few days and then cool down to place my call in the sweetspot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I know. Only +0.3F so far for ORH, but thankfully we bump that up the next few days and then cool down to place my call in the sweetspot. There’s very little of a cooldown . Watch that modify each and every run going forward . And it’s hot again after any mild off. Lala lock that Whats BDL/ BDR/ PVD MTD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s very little of a cooldown . Watch that modify each and every run going forward . And it’s hot again after any mild off. Lala lock that Whats BDL/ BDR/ PVD MTD? BDL +0.8 BDR +0.9 PVD +0.9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: BDL +0.8 BDR +0.9 PVD +0.9 Perfection. Thanks dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s very little of a cooldown . Watch that modify each and every run going forward . And it’s hot again after any mild off. Lala lock that Whats BDL/ BDR/ PVD MTD? If the Euro verifies it'll be a few nice days with lower dews and nice below normal nights in the rad pits. BOS +1.4F** PVD +0.9F BDR +0.9F BDL +0.8F ORH +0.3F CON -0.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: If the Euro verifies it'll be a few nice days with lower dews and nice below normal nights in the rad pits. BOS +1.4F** PVD +0.9F BDR +0.9F BDL +0.8F ORH +0.3F CON -0.8F Yeah his best hope is probably PVD since they don't really radiate and downslope torch on a NW flow. Maybe BDR too. BDL will put up some good negative lows next week and ORH will put up some good negative maxes. BOS is tossed until they fix it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Euro coming in a little warmer than previous run. Looks like the GFS and Euro from the other day met near the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 This just went severe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro coming in a little warmer than previous run. Looks like the GFS and Euro from the other day met near the middle. I was mentioning/thinking the other day how this summers really been about having a suppressed -AO summer/jet really collocated around our latitude much of the way... It's been making specific model performance perhaps increasingly error prone because of the 'unmanned fire hose ' metaphor. That core tropospheric conveyor shifts in the run and it yo-yos the panache into warmer(cooler) and the tide and tempo of the posting goes right along with it.. haha. It's funny how Scott and Will were poised and couldn't wait to lambaste Kevin for the impertinent jest ...and then new cycle Euro rolls out and he looks like a genius ... next run, trolling clown... and around and around we go. But it's been doing it to me, all summer.. Just when I feel confident one way or the other... I get dealt reverses and I think the real issue is that we can't seem to really favor a trough or ridged east this year... It seems we're running the summer version of the unmanned loose hose thing - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This just went severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Just a beautiful hot, humid sunny day for the area today. Typical dog day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Looks like the few degC aloft we lost on the torch got added onto the cool down late week. Everything still on track...just less extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 There is one subtle difference about this run that I have not seen in a Euro run ( short term too - ) since ... oh, early June or so... -10 C 850s are showing up over Greenland and the far NW Canadian archipelago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 17, 2019 Author Share Posted August 17, 2019 With any luck, next Thursday could be a banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Nice cold shot about to come in on the day 10 Euro.. sure we will get really hot days but they are definitely numbered now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nice cold shot about to come in on the day 10 Euro.. sure we will get really hot days but they are definitely numbered now Oct and Nov could torch though and if that’s true we already lose the 1st month of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nice cold shot about to come in on the day 10 Euro.. sure we will get really hot days but they are definitely numbered now I like the -10's up there on the edge of the frame ...who's with me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Kinda. I remember growing up with many freezes in mid September and lately it's been difficult to even get below 40F by then. My first freeze last year was 10/14. Nothing new here. My 2nd mildest minimum in 21 years came on 9/9/99, and exactly 3 years later tied my hottest max. Both 2007 and 2017 had very warm (mid-upper 80s) and humid during 4th week of Sept. Some of the most HHH wx we had while in Ft. Kent came in late August 1976 and 1977, and that inland site tends to show seasonal trends earlier than anyplace within 100 miles of the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 81/67 here. A bit muggy but not bad for the dog days Most recent electric bill was quite a bit down from last year’s same time. A testament to the lower dews 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Days of 60’s and 70’s over dews in 40’s and 50’s? Don’t think so That's CoC for May and late Sept. Or for inland NNE. Try 80/55 for SNE in July/August. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You are in SE quadrant of state. Unlucky break for 2% of the region How do you explain the mostly cloudy skies with showers earlier in Enfield, Somers and Stafford? Are those three town in SE CT? I'm glad I didn't wash my car only to have it rained on. How's that oak tree doing? If it's such a nice summer day, why are you out taking that down? Why wait till the fall when it's cooler? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Kevs geographic map of CT Ha that’s awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, MetHerb said: How do you explain the mostly cloudy skies with showers earlier in Enfield, Somers and Stafford? Are those three town in SE CT? I'm glad I didn't wash my car only to have it rained on. How's that oak tree doing? If it's such a nice summer day, why are you out taking that down? Why wait till the fall when it's cooler? Huh? The ones that were at daybreak ? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ha that’s awesome Riddle me how Moosup is in the NE corner of the state. Look where it is on that map. This should be good . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s very little of a cooldown . Watch that modify each and every run going forward . Scientific reasoning why that would modify every run? +KFS index? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Riddle me how Moosup is in the NE corner of the state. Look where it is on that map. This should be good . I don’t know how it’s in the SE corner of the state. Might have to check some distances to see if it’s closer to Mass than the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I don’t know how it’s in the SE corner of the state. Might have to check some distances to see if it’s closer to Mass than the ocean. It’s right on par lat with IJD. If you wanted to say it’s Eastern CT.. ok.. but NE CT ‘tis not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s right on par lat with IJD. If you wanted to say it’s Eastern CT.. ok.. but NE CT ‘tis not Is it in Windham County? (Honest question) Luckily CT is split pretty evenly by county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 It really doesn't affect anyone on the boards except Alex, Brian and me but radar looks a bit scary to the west. Not looking for severe but could be a crap load of water this evening. A quick 2-4" of water on flat SNE isn't the same as these steep slopes up here. It's been a dry August so streams are running very low. Will be interesting how this plays out this eve and even over the next few days till fropa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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