dendrite Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 EPS was pretty chilly. It's a week out so yeah...can't really be surprised by anything. Sniff this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 16, 2019 Author Share Posted August 16, 2019 Bermudew high wins again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 The GFS is now sniffing out trends at d7. Noted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s not true. A lot of those I stay at or below freezing with zr and as it gets past my latitude I drop back into the 20’s. I can name numerous storms where that’s happened . That’s if it’s a Cape tracker. If it tracks over Ginx then yeah.. I’ll get to near 40 easily Yea I torch while you are below freezing all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeeeeah... I'm not so sure. I realize you say, "...wouldn't shock me" in jest and I get what you mean... but, the GFS has been yo-yooing ridge vs trough domination all summer long... Really been unusable along the 45th parallel in particular ... Purely for my own observations, it seems it has been more accurate within the bowls of the subtropics, or safely above the westerly mean jet ( however nebular/summer defined). Anything along that ~ midriff latitude around the girdle of the hemisphere ...it's seems it has been more variant at time range between D5 and 10... I mean ( haha ) what are we caring.... "day 5 +"? ... just sayn' Successive runs causing whiplash. I've especially noticed it on the 12z versions - H8s 19-20C on Day 8 one afternoon, 7-8C the next. (And we're only about 20 miles south of the 45th.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea I torch while you are below freezing all the time. Some of those early season events or ones with a retreating high aren’t good for him. That’s what Will is referring to. His latitude will hurt in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some of those early season events or ones with a retreating high aren’t good for him. That’s what Will is referring to. His latitude will hurt in that. I’ll always change to ice .Never all snow. That’s 100% iron clad. But if it’s cape tracker it generally stays 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 2 hours ago, kdxken said: We should put together a golf Meetup before the snow flies. The ranch perhaps? Central to a lot of folks. Great track. Put the request in the golf thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 1 hour ago, dendrite said: The GFS is now sniffing out trends at d7. Noted. Bodes well for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 40 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Bodes well for winter. GFS or the canal tracks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 Euro is still a nice cool down. GEFS aren’t buying the op either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 Until any short lived mild down late next week... let’s dew this NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Some of those early season events or ones with a retreating high aren’t good for him. That’s what Will is referring to. His latitude will hurt in that. Kevin was kind of spinning it too assuming I meant it had to be a cape tracker. I never even mentioned that. I just said, IJD is sneaky good in those CAD events to see when it's about to collapse for Kevin. Frequently he will go within an hour of IJD spiking 38 to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: Euro is still a nice cool down. GEFS aren’t buying the op either. gotta enjoy whatever little scraps of cold you can get 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 16, 2019 Author Share Posted August 16, 2019 60's and 70's, bundle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 8 minutes ago, forkyfork said: gotta enjoy whatever little scraps of cold you can get Slightly below normal is the new much below. Mabye EWR can go another December without going below freezing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 It’s been a tough month for those wishing for endless heat and dews so cherish the upcoming stretch, it’s all you have left to hold onto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: Slightly below normal is the new much below. Mabye EWR can go another December without going below freezing? don't say things like that unless you know they will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 13 minutes ago, forkyfork said: don't say things like that unless you know they will happen If I lived down there I’d have a huge grove of moso. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Whew is it humid out there in the SWly flow warm sector. 71/66... after so many low dew days this month, an evening with Td's creeping above 65F as the temp tries to drop feels tropical. You can see the boundary has lifted just north of Montreal, with decent SSW flow advecting the moist air up through the NNE mtns. SE of the mountains hanging on to that drier air from the Maine coastal plain down to the Mass Pike. ORH still bouncing around at 59-61 dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Whew is it humid out there in the SWly flow warm sector. 71/66... after so many low dew days this month, an evening with Td's creeping above 65F as the temp tries to drop feels tropical. You can see the boundary has lifted just north of Montreal, with decent SSW flow advecting the moist air up through the NNE mtns. SE of the mountains hanging on to that drier air from the Maine coastal plain down to the Mass Pike. ORH still bouncing around at 59-61 dews. ORH dews notoriously too low. ASOS documented issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ORH dews notoriously too low. ASOS documented issues Documented? It doesn't look out of place this evening if you look at the graphic posted. ORH just shot up to 65F at 9pm and it was in-line with other obs from FIT, AFN, etc that were also in the upper 50s at times late this afternoon into early evening. Even torchy CEF only has a dew of 61F at 9pm. It was definitely a bit drier down there than up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Documented? It doesn't look out of place this evening if you look at the graphic posted. ORH just shot up to 65F at 9pm and it was in-line with other obs from FIT, AFN, etc that were also in the upper 50s at times late this afternoon into early evening. Even torchy CEF only has a dew of 61F at 9pm. It was definitely a bit drier down there than up this way. Lol he just made it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Interesting how diemetric the last 24 hours of Euro runs went from era defining heatwave… to a shot before the shot across the bow type of look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 5960 in AK impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 That looked like a pretty warm euro run to me. A few days near 90°, a few days of a cool down, and then right back to warmth. Almost September by the end of that run. The seasons are fleeting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Near 90 in August. Scary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Near 90 in August. ScaryTake cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 68/68, all clouds with rain imminent. What an awesome weekend in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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