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August 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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7 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

If we see anything in the Atlantic (outside of the Caribbean of course) it won't be until very late in the season.

Lately inactive hurricane seasons were big snow producers for the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic (2009, 2013, 2014) and big hurricane seasons like 2011/2012/2018 were the opposite.

Is there any correlation or just random coincidences. 

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Get after it SNEers.

GFSX MOS (MEX)
 KORH   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   8/08/2019  0000 UTC                       
 FHR  24| 36  48| 60  72| 84  96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192      
 THU  08| FRI 09| SAT 10| SUN 11| MON 12| TUE 13| WED 14| THU 15 CLIMO
 X/N  82| 63  80| 58  73| 53  74| 60  78| 57  75| 59  72| 59  74 59 78
 TMP  74| 67  70| 62  64| 59  67| 65  69| 62  68| 63  65| 63  67      
 DPT  64| 58  54| 53  50| 49  54| 56  54| 52  57| 58  61| 59  59      
 CLD  PC| PC  PC| CL  CL| CL  CL| PC  PC| CL  CL| OV  OV| PC  PC      
 WND  12| 11  13| 12  17| 10  10| 13  15|  9   8| 12  12|  7  10      
 P12  19| 18   5|  8  13|  5   5| 10  11| 10  10| 55  52| 27  29999999
 P24    |     21|     13|      5|     11|     12|     55|     36   999
 Q12   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  4    |             
 Q24    |      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |             
 T12  30| 17   6|  3   5|  2   4|  3   3|  0   4|  5  10|  5  11      
 T24    | 34    |  6    |  5    |  5    |  3    | 14    | 10          
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9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

So much for a hot august . Looks like we warm but nothing crazy.

When you consider the average high in July (ORH) is 2* warmer than the average high in August, you can easily see the need for greater departures to achieve the warmer conditions of July.

On the topic of the seasonal breaking of summer's back, the sun's now setting before 8:00 beginning today as the rate of daytime loss as really ramped up to 2:20/day.  We'll have an additional daytime loss of 59 minutes between today and the end of the month.  I suspect Ray's beginning to compile thoughts for his winter outlook......

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5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

When you consider the average high in July (ORH) is 2* warmer than the average high in August, you can easily see the need for greater departures to achieve the warmer conditions of July.

On the topic of the seasonal breaking of summer's back, the sun's now setting before 8:00 beginning today as the rate of daytime loss as really ramped up to 2:20/day.  We'll have an additional daytime loss of 59 minutes between today and the end of the month.  I suspect Ray's beginning to compile thoughts for his winter outlook......

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/52448-winter-2019-2020-discussion/

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On 8/6/2019 at 4:36 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Another BN day down here. After this weekend, we have a lot of ground to makeup to reach those +5 calls by a senior weenie.

Most of us will be aoa through today or even tomorrow.   It’s not as hard to pop big + latter half of August as climo starts dropping.

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