dendrite Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 3:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: They’re out there. The ones posting about barefoot cold in Augdewst and things like that. At any rate.. our official call for the month was issued last week +1.5 to +2.5 in SNE.. with emphasis more on dews than heat . Especially last 2 weeks or so Expand The spinning has begun. On 7/31/2019 at 4:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: +2.5 to +3.5 We dewst Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 3:56 PM, dendrite said: The spinning has begun. Expand Oh yeah. Totally my bad. Yes 2.5 to 3.5. Thanks for catching error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 I do agree with Rev Kev that August will be around a +3.0 at the 4 climo sites in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 4:11 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I do agree with Rev Kev that August will be around a +3.0 at the 4 climo sites in SNE. Expand I'm sticking to my +1 to +2 for sites not abbreviated BOS and BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 2:39 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve told them over and over again. They had one month to scream ‘great success’...that’s it. Expand Awt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 3:56 PM, dendrite said: The spinning has begun. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2019 Author Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 9:26 AM, Damage In Tolland said: We try over and over again to tell em. They just continue the COC k fighting . What a summer ! Expand +3 or better for a Sultember to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 +3 DJF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2019 Author Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 4:11 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: I do agree with Rev Kev that August will be around a +3.0 at the 4 climo sites in SNE. Expand I'm thinking +1 or 1.5 ish for most SNE sites, maybe a 2 or 3 * BDL BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 I see august as + 2 max.. seasonable first 10 days.. BN mid month and then a final torch late in the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 "official call"???????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 Confused about Cranky’s Aug call ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 4:38 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Expand Not only do the goalposts move they get wider by the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 5:08 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Confused about Cranky’s Aug call ftl. Expand Even Cranky is confused...…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 Let's do a sub-forum contest ... Someone throw up at thread, and everyone that cares enough can put up some numbers - maybe Brian or someone can lock posts once they are submitted? Whatever ... prolly not necessary, as we'll know who posted what... I'd say +3.3 ... which should accommodate ( the base-line propensity for above normal + the blocking AO summer buckling early bow shots post the 15th )/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 4:51 PM, dendrite said: +3 DJF? Expand Jokes aside.... take the average monthly departures over say the past 240 months and divide by 240 - That's probably a reasonable numeric first guess and probably a good one as it creates base-line/launch pad off empirical data - We know that DJF is likely ( intuitively ) to be above normal... barring a weird 2015 Feb I wonder if the -AO summer maginally turns into a +AO winter ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 5:35 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Let's do a sub-forum contest ... Someone throw up at thread, and everyone that cares enough can put up some numbers - maybe Brian or someone can lock posts once they are submitted? Whatever ... prolly not necessary, as we'll know who posted what... I'd say +3.3 ... which should accommodate ( the base-line propensity for above normal + the blocking AO summer buckling early bow shots post the 15th )/2 Expand Can you start it? We’ll see the ACATT bias very clearly there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 5:35 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Let's do a sub-forum contest ... Someone throw up at thread, and everyone that cares enough can put up some numbers - maybe Brian or someone can lock posts once they are submitted? Whatever ... prolly not necessary, as we'll know who posted what... I'd say +3.3 ... which should accommodate ( the base-line propensity for above normal + the blocking AO summer buckling early bow shots post the 15th )/2 Expand Can you start it? We’ll see the Hot Humid Humping bias very clearly there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 at work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:08 PM, Typhoon Tip said: at work Expand At work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 2:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: The ACATT say it hasn’t been torch summer . They also are saying Augdewst will be normal temp wise. Ignoring the beginning 10 days and final 16 days Expand You've made that claim several times. Can you quote one person - just one - who has said it has not been hot over all? You also say that people are ignoring the few 10 days of "Augdewst" - is it supposed to be really humid the past couple of days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Can you start it? We’ll see the ACATT bias very clearly there Expand If I said +1 to +2 am I showing a cold bias? Just asking for a friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:12 PM, MetHerb said: If I said +1 to +2 am I showing a cold bias? Just asking for a friend. Expand No but anyone that goes normal or below sure would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:08 PM, MetHerb said: You've made that claim several times. Can you quote one person - just one - who has said it has not been hot over all? You also say that people are ignoring the few 10 days of "Augdewst" - is it supposed to be really humid the past couple of days? Expand So far there’s 1 day 70+ dews where the threshold was met . Probably get one tomorrow and then 2-4 next week. Then we’ve got the final 15-18 days for verification . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 We have these stupid beers that nest underneath the handrail at the edge of our deck. You can't see the nest unless you stick your face right in there. Happens every year, annoying as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:35 PM, sbos_wx said: We have these stupid beers that nest underneath the handrail at the edge of our deck. You can't see the nest unless you stick your face right in there. Happens every year, annoying as hell. Expand Maybe it's just me but I wouldn't be using my face. Long stick or something .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:35 PM, sbos_wx said: We have these stupid beers that nest underneath the handrail at the edge of our deck. You can't see the nest unless you stick your face right in there. Happens every year, annoying as hell. Expand Mmmm, beer nest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 You can tell it's friday when I type beer nest instead of bee nest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:23 PM, Damage In Tolland said: So far there’s 1 day 70+ dews where the threshold was met . Probably get one tomorrow and then 2-4 next week. Then we’ve got the final 15-18 days for verification . Expand This at the Davis or ASOS? I bet you could get at least 30% of the days hitting a 70F dew at the ASOS (if you are talking even just one ob at 9am).... and 60% or more at a Davis station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 On 8/2/2019 at 6:08 PM, MetHerb said: You've made that claim several times. Can you quote one person - just one - who has said it has not been hot over all? You also say that people are ignoring the few 10 days of "Augdewst" - is it supposed to be really humid the past couple of days? Expand imaginary friends...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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