USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 Latest models are showing the potential for a strong surface low to develop along a weak cold front as it sits stationary off the Mid-Atlantic States early this upcoming work week. Winds could gust near 50mph at times especially over the Cape and Islands. Now there is a small window for something a bit more potent because the ocean is warm in this area, we could see potential tropical development. We will have to see. Stay tuned and vigilant. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 Batten down the hatches and remain safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Are they still letting you post in tropical forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 How long do I have to stay vigilant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: How long do I have to stay vigilant? Until Nov 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: How long do I have to stay vigilant? Until the next OES thread so ya, what wiz said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 I don't see anything on model.. am I missing something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 20 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: I don't see anything on model.. am I missing something? Yes . . . James' delusional imagination. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, HimoorWx said: Yes . . . James' delusional imagination. He's just testing our appetite for his sequel to "Dawn Awakening." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 48 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: I don't see anything on model.. am I missing something? Meteorology not modelology. Oh, that makes no difference here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 36 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Meteorology not modelology. Oh, that makes no difference here It's neither. Try weenieology 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Does he mean this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Bostonseminole said: I don't see anything on model.. am I missing something? This but it will be absorbed and not amount to anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 James pig pile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 TD 3 formed.Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 I believe in James 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 53 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I believe in James Remain vigilant and stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 I was talking about the heightened risk for tornadoes/damaging winds for last night and this morning across SE MA and RI as a low-pressure center moved northeastward through the area causing the tornado warnings last night across my area. We actually received a lot of wind damage in my town. Winds gusted over 70mph according to radar scans, not sure officially what they will go with. This morning we have another low-pressure center moving our direction with severe warned cells over the coastal waters, causing potential water spouts. They will likely impact my area within the next two hours. The lightning was amazing. Also, what is the brown layer of something when the winds start howling and the rain is coming in horizontally? Is that crap from the trees? The pollen and what not? Check out my latest posts on Twitter at 89nich, you will see the videos I posted, I also did a live shot during the peak lightning. I will do another video of potential damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 24 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I was talking about the heightened risk for tornadoes/damaging winds for last night and this morning across SE MA and RI as a low-pressure center moved northeastward through the area causing the tornado warnings last night across my area. We actually received a lot of wind damage in my town. Winds gusted over 70mph according to radar scans, not sure officially what they will go with. This morning we have another low-pressure center moving our direction with severe warned cells over the coastal waters, causing potential water spouts. They will likely impact my area within the next two hours. The lightning was amazing. Also, what is the brown layer of something when the winds start howling and the rain is coming in horizontally? Is that crap from the trees? The pollen and what not? Check out my latest posts on Twitter at 89nich, you will see the videos I posted, I also did a live shot during the peak lightning. I will do another video of potential damage. crazy weather on the cape.. I think the tittle should not be hybrid low then.. I don't think this is hybrid.. just a front with a few waves on it.. met can clarify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 James James James !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: James James James !! Pretty sure he took a nap over the last 2 hours after tracking this tropical flatulence all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 What an experience this afternoon, actually from 11:30 am to 1:00 pm we witnessed the craziest hour and a half of Cape Cod weather you will ever experience. A legit confirmed tornado ripped through the area, with 90 mph winds and a dangerous rain wrapped tornado. I think some areas will be confirmed at least EF-2 damage. Maybe I know crazy EF-3 damage as an entire roof was peeled off in Yarmouth Port, MA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What an experience this afternoon, actually from 11:30 am to 1:00 pm we witnessed the craziest hour and a half of Cape Cod weather you will ever experience. A legit confirmed tornado ripped through the area, with 90 mph winds and a dangerous rain wrapped tornado. I think some areas will be confirmed at least EF-2 damage. Maybe I know crazy EF-3 damage as an entire roof was peeled off in Yarmouth Port, MA. glad you're alright! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What an experience this afternoon, actually from 11:30 am to 1:00 pm we witnessed the craziest hour and a half of Cape Cod weather you will ever experience. A legit confirmed tornado ripped through the area, with 90 mph winds and a dangerous rain wrapped tornado. I think some areas will be confirmed at least EF-2 damage. Maybe I know crazy EF-3 damage as an entire roof was peeled off in Yarmouth Port, MA. Using our patented JDF (James Deflation Factor), we anticipate NWS survey findings in the EF0-EF1 range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: glad you're alright! thanks Paul, we were following this complex of storms since Long Island, I mean wind shear was so high over the area I knew something bad was coming. And we only needed some instability, and we got it when the winds veered to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: thanks Paul, we were following this complex of storms since Long Island, I mean wind shear was so high over the area I knew something bad was coming. And we only needed some instability, and we got it when the winds veered to the south. yup great combo of 0-3km CAPE/wind shear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted July 23, 2019 Author Share Posted July 23, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: yup great combo of 0-3km CAPE/wind shear Have you ever seen such tremendous shear in an event like this? I mean every level shear was extreme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Have you ever seen such tremendous shear in an event like this? I mean every level shear was extreme. I don't think some of the shear parameters were anything unprecedented...the ULJ though is quite strong for this time of year...but it was just a right combination of llvl instability and the strong low-level wind shear. Everything just came together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I don't think some of the shear parameters were anything unprecedented...the ULJ though is quite strong for this time of year...but it was just a right combination of llvl instability and the strong low-level wind shear. Everything just came together. LCL < 1000 m = good, 50 knots at 850 = good, effective shear ~ 60 knots = good, but what really pops out to me was 0-3 km shear approaching 60 knots. That gives you a lot of latitude for bowing segments and surges of wind to spin up brief tornadoes. It's quite possible that we had two quick ones on the Cape. I'm guessing the local thermodynamic environment was slightly better than what the 12z CHH sounding showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 23, 2019 Share Posted July 23, 2019 Just for my own sake, what's a Hyrbid storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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