yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like we'll probably need a watch box soon? but i thought HRRR was meh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: but i thought HRRR was meh? It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 39 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: The lightning shots in this thread are great. I've always loved lightning on still humid nights after a hot day. I swear that on humid days the light shows are more vivid...wonder if it's more CCN in the towers yielding better charges? Maybe @MN Transplant can shed some light on that? Honestly, anything I would have would be guesses on the CCN question. You want active updrafts and ice to ice collisions. That certainly points to the environment taking precedent. There are studies out there about increase aerosol loading leading to more lightning, but whether that effect is major or minor I think is still uncertain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 I'm watching the activity that's currently in southern West Virginia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: but i thought HRRR was meh? 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It is Quite simply, there is enough juice in the atmosphere that (as we saw yesterday) we are likely to see some wind reports. Even if this isn't a widespread severe day, I think they go with a box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 10 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Quite simply, there is enough juice in the atmosphere that (as we saw yesterday) we are likely to see some wind reports. Even if this isn't a widespread severe day, I think they go with a box. Well that answers the question: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md1568.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 12 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Quite simply, there is enough juice in the atmosphere that (as we saw yesterday) we are likely to see some wind reports. Even if this isn't a widespread severe day, I think they go with a box. There was quite a large amount of wind reports yesterday with no watch and a really meh MCD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 DCA hits 91° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: DCA hits 91° IAD has hit 93F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Just now, George BM said: IAD has hit 93F. BWI too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 .38” in about 15 minutes when that storm popped overhead. Atmosphere is juiced and ready to deliver. Hoping for an over performer. Love humid/tropical rains. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 There was quite a large amount of wind reports yesterday with no watch and a really meh MCDThat storm I sat through off River Road yesterday evening that was not forecast and was "just" a pop-up cell and was one of the most intense storms I've seen. Even without a watch issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Hi Wes! Hope you are doing well and getting some good rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 DCA being the cool spot basically this entire heat wave is kinda suspect imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Warned storm headed right for @EastCoast NPZ. The activity just west of I-81 is about to enter the more unstable airmass and cross over some surface convergence as highlighted on the SPC meso analysis page. We will probably know in the next hour if the NAM/HRRR is right or on underestimating things...hopefully the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Id hate to be a novice weather follower coming into this thread for information. EJ downplays everything that even a watch is boring. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Just now, mappy said: Id hate to be a novice weather follower coming into this thread for information. EJ downplays everything that even a watch is boring. The casual person will think its ok to go golfing or boating or hang out in low lying areas based on EJ's meh of all things weather. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 3 minutes ago, H2O said: The casual person will think its ok to go golfing or boating or hang out in low lying areas based on EJ's meh of all things weather. He's a professional so the run of the mill stuff isn't going to impress him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 6 minutes ago, mappy said: Id hate to be a novice weather follower coming into this thread for information. EJ downplays everything that even a watch is boring. 3 minutes ago, H2O said: The casual person will think its ok to go golfing or boating or hang out in low lying areas based on EJ's meh of all things weather. Severe Weather God -- here is a EF4 tornado that will damage DC severely just for you but not kill anyone EJ -- but its not an EF5 or a mile wide so its meh Ok, I tried my best @stormtracker impersonation... probably still sucks though lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 warning for the house, cell coming out of westminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Hopefully @Sparky and @losetoa6 are getting a nice soaking from that severe warned storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 SPC issues Blue Box until 02:00 UTC 7/23/19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 DCA up to 93°...hopefully we notch another 95° reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 MDC021-043-VAC107-221915- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0412.000000T0000Z-190722T1915Z/ Washington MD-Frederick MD-Loudoun VA- 241 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... At 240 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Harpers Ferry to near Purcellville, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Purcellville, Brunswick, Braddock Heights, Clover Hill, Point Of Rocks, Linganore-Bartonsville, Adamstown, Jefferson, Myersville, Lovettsville, Buckeystown, Hamilton, Rosemont, Rohrersville, Burkittsville, Gapland and Brownsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 244 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... The northwestern District of Columbia... Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Northwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... East central Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... * Until 330 PM EDT. * At 244 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Reston, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Rockville, Bethesda, Gaithersburg, Reston, Olney, Herndon, Langley Park, Vienna, Lowes Island, Mclean, American Legion Bridge, Aspen Hill, Potomac, North Bethesda, Oakton, Sterling, North Potomac, Tysons Corner, Hyattsville and White Oak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Incoming for me! Bring it!! Wring all this moisture out of the air. 85/76/98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, Mrs.J said: Incoming for me! Bring it!! Wring all this moisture out of the air. 85/76/98 Be careful up there Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 253 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 MDC021-043-VAC107-221915- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0412.000000T0000Z-190722T1915Z/ Washington MD-Frederick MD-Loudoun VA- 253 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... At 253 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms with a history of producing wind damage were located along a line extending from near Brunswick to near Point Of Rocks, moving northeast at 35 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Brunswick, Braddock Heights, Clover Hill, Point Of Rocks, Linganore-Bartonsville, Adamstown, Jefferson, Myersville, Lovettsville, Buckeystown, Rosemont, Burkittsville, Gapland, Brownsville, Waterford, Doubs and Park Mills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a dangerous with high wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Be careful up there Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 253 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 MDC021-043-VAC107-221915- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0412.000000T0000Z-190722T1915Z/ Washington MD-Frederick MD-Loudoun VA- 253 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHWESTERN FREDERICK COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHEASTERN LOUDOUN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... At 253 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms with a history of producing wind damage were located along a line extending from near Brunswick to near Point Of Rocks, moving northeast at 35 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Frederick, Harry Grove Stadium, Ballenger Creek, Brunswick, Braddock Heights, Clover Hill, Point Of Rocks, Linganore-Bartonsville, Adamstown, Jefferson, Myersville, Lovettsville, Buckeystown, Rosemont, Burkittsville, Gapland, Brownsville, Waterford, Doubs and Park Mills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a dangerous with high wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. Thanks! Will do. Currently cannot see the houses across the street from me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Pretty sure Mt Airy has had 100 tornadoes this season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Ok apparently I am under a tornado warning! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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