high risk Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, yoda said: Could be a few isolated severe storms as well with damaging wind gusts... we are MRGL outlooked by SPC today I have no disagreement with the MRGL outlook. The soundings certainly support at least some downburst potential. If the NAM nest is correct with the amount of organization and resulting strong cold pool, we'd require a SLGT, but that simulation may be overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 15 minutes ago, high risk said: While I do think we'll reach the convective temp, I'm not sure how relevant that is today. The hi-res guidance shows a bunch of storms firing out over the terrain to our west, driven by local circulations and enhanced by the approaching shortwave. While I'd like to see the HRRR as aggressive as the NAM, I feel pretty good about storm chances today, especially for those along and north of 66 in VA and 50 in MD on the west side of the bay. idk but tonight kinda has the last Thursday vibe to me. Hot and steamy with an embedded shortwave coming in from the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Approaching noon, its 92/78 here. Not bad as long as you are in the shade and don't move. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 91/74 HI 112 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 91/78/106 at DCA, heat advisory verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 BWI and IAD are both 94... breaching ConvT... could probably see them hit 97/98 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 I’ve never felt like my weather station has been inaccurate. Sometimes I feel like the dew pt can be a few degree too high but not all of the time. I question this reading a little just due to the obs near the metros. Which are usually warmer than me. But, here is the current obs at home.95/77/111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 HI of 98° in Westminster...you know it's getting warm when the exurbs are pushing 100° at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 12 noon my PWS. 94/75/108 SW Frederick Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 96/71/104 at college park. I wonder if we see some triple digits today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z RAOB from IAD has a convective temp of 93°. Not sure we get above 95 degrees outside the urban centers. It would be interesting to see how many days IAD, BWI and DCA average with a high above 95 and how we compare so far this year. Looks like IAD/BWI/EZF should all reach 95 next hour... Stafford already reached... MD Science Center/College Park already reached Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Looks like IAD/BWI should reach 95 next hour... EZF and Stafford already reached... BWI Science center already reached Good. I'd like to see us roast. It's what summer should do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted July 17, 2019 Author Share Posted July 17, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Looks like IAD/BWI should reach 95 next hour... EZF and Stafford already reached... BWI Science center already reached IAD is 95F right now. http://iadasos.org/condensed.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 1 minute ago, George BM said: IAD is 95F right now. http://iadasos.org/condensed.html Td is only 66° though...wonder if they really mixed out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 95/74/104 at the wapo office downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MetalCapsFan Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Yep, def pretty soupy here in Charm City, 95.5 IMBY at present. Sterling posted some temp records for the region in their morning AFD... .CLIMATE... As of 4:40 this morning, the temperature at Washington Dulles International Airport (IAD) had so far only dropped to 77 degrees. The record daily warm low temperature for July 17th is 75 degrees, set back in 1988. The record daily warm low temperature for IAD for July 18th is 74 degrees, set in 2005 and 1969. As a reference, here are the warm temperature records for Friday through this weekend: Record Daily High Temperatures Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21 DCA 102 (1930) 106 (1930) 104 (1926) BWI 103 (1930) 102 (1930) 104 (1930) IAD 98 (1977) 101 (1980) 101 (1991) Record Daily Warm Low Temperatures Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul 21 DCA 81 (1930) 82 (2015) 82 (1987) BWI 80 (1942) 80 (1930) 83 (1930) IAD 77 (2013) 75 (2015) 77 (1987) Highest July Temperatures Highest Max Warmest Low DCA 106 (7/20/1930) 84 (7/24/2011, 7/23/2011, 7/16/1983) BWI 107 (7/10/1936) 83 (7/21/1930) IAD 105 (7/22/2011) 78 (7/24/2010, 7/8/2010) All-time Highest Temperatures Highest Max Warmest Low DCA 106 (7/20/1930, 8/6/1918) 84 (7/24/2011, 7/23/2011, 7/16/1983) BWI 107 (7/10/1936) 83 (8/5/1930, 7/21/1930, 6/6/1925) IAD 105 (7/22/2011) 79 (8/8/2007) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 92/73 at home. would kind of like storms to miss today, as i have softball later. and despite the heat, i do want to play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 96/78/113. Today will likely be the hottest day until Friday, and Saturday will probably be the hottest of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jviper Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 While not technically an observation it is pretty good. GOES-16, JPSS and Himawari-8 imagery full res. Enjoy! https://col.st/9pLtz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 98/76 in the Woodbridge Heat Island... Heat index 113 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Had a HI spike to 118 Temp now a measly 96 with 79 DP Thoughts and prayers as I have to go stand in the heat for 6 hours watching my kid swim in an all-star event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 90/81 on Tangier Island, VA. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 94/78 HI 110 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Some really nice storms in NW MD. These should have a lot of lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 95/78/111. Gross. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 97/77/113 now in Dundalk. Sweet mother of God it's awful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 97/73/107 in takoma park. Not too bad if you’re sitting still outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 yay MD XD https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1501.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 LWX going with highs around 100 on Saturday for DC and i95 corridor counties in latest zones (issued at 1:35 pm) with upper 90s on Friday and Sunday... as well as lows in lower 80s Friday night and Saturday night and near 80 Sunday night. Below is the zone forecast for DC: Quote .FRIDAY...Sunny, hot with highs in the upper 90s. West winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 80s. .SATURDAY...Sunny, hot with highs around 100. Heat index values up to 110. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 80s. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Hot with highs in the upper 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 80. Chance of rain 30 percent. .MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of rain 60 percent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Now we just need a heat clearing derecho at the end of this horrid stretch. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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