weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Pretty sure rivers are real high like the MS. That could get ugly, especially if strong SE winds slow river flow. yeah I was actually about to check river levels but I'm pretty certain they are quite high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 It's going to get warm to hot. No denying it. Maybe not 100, but I see lots of 88-96 temp range stuff for many days. Some days U80s, some mid 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's going to get warm to hot. No denying it. Maybe not 100, but I see lots of 88-96 temp range stuff for many days. Some days U80s, some mid 90s. In July? That's unheard of! No one would have predicted that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, MetHerb said: In July? That's unheard of! No one would have predicted that. I know, but looks prolonged to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Euro has 30" rain near Baton Rouge. MS river still in major flood there too. Yikes. Hopefully it shifts away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 9 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That can happen regardless of the brand, some odd breakdown, but the bad customer service is no excuse. They supposedly have great support but I get it, I wouldn’t care how many stars a company has either if they boned me. 7 hours ago, powderfreak said: Man that’s too bad. I just had a bearing come loose in my Electrolux (part of Frigidaire) washing machine and caused the spin cycle to oscillate and caused all sorts of damage to the back of the machine. It had a 1 year warranty and this was after 14 months. The washer is said to last 7-10 years. I was 100% certain the company was going to bone me for being 2 months beyond the manufacturers warranty but lo and behold, the woman on the phone honored the warranty and on top of it gave us a free 3-year parts and service warranty (they sell it for like $200). I was blown away. It ended up taking 3 weeks to fix due to needing a bunch of new parts, but the service guy said it was definitely a manufacture defect. I’m not stoked on the quality after hearing that but the Frigidaire customer service won me over and it cost nothing out of pocket to fix. Funny how easy it is for a company to win customers over with stuff like that but it’s also so easy for a company to f*ck it up if not handled right. I know there are always lemons no matter how good a brand may be but you are 100% correct about the customer service aspect. I worked for several years after high school at an appliance and electronics store so I get that and like PF below my washer was just outside the 12 month warranty period so I didn't expect to get a brand new washer but I also didn't expect the big FU I got from their customer service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 44 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Louisiana I was wracking my brain trying to remember the last time Los Angeles had meaningful July rain...lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 You can see the MS river is very high. https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I was wracking my brain trying to remember the last time Los Angeles had meaningful July rain...lol. You're forgiven...it's early haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro has 30" rain near Baton Rouge. MS river still in major flood there too. Yikes. Hopefully it shifts away. When I saw this map earlier I did not get a very good feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Anyways Friday looks real messy for us...should again see widespread downpours and t'storms with flash flooding #1 threat. Could see some slow movers too...especially anything that fires well ahead of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I know, but looks prolonged to me. And then suddenly last summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: And then suddenly last summer Dog days are here. Lots of steamy, poo-poo smells coming from Moosup backyards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Dog days are here. Lots of steamy, poo-poo smells coming from Moosup backyards. We’ve preached and warned them till we’re blue in the face. They’ve posted charts , fought it, pulled COC ks , but in the end ... Suddenly.... last summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 I'll tell you...the Gulf of Mexico makes me super nervous. No wind shear, water temps about as hot as the breath coming out of Kevin's mouth...who's to say this can't undergo RI and blossom into a like a category 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve preached and warned them till we’re blue in the face. They’ve posted charts , fought it, pulled COC ks , but in the end ... Suddenly.... last summer I don't see last summer. Some signs it may cool off to start Aug, but that's far away. Next 2 weeks look very summery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve preached and warned them till we’re blue in the face. They’ve posted charts , fought it, pulled COC ks , but in the end ... Suddenly.... last summer Yes, it was exhausting listening to the failed preaches since March. Finally summer does what summer does and somehow that’s an omen to your words. We are blessed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yes, it was exhausting listening to the failed preaches since March. Finally summer does what summer does and somehow that’s an omen to your words. We are blessed. Hey.. at least you get your super dry pattern . HHH can also bring drought and fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 Last summer never ends Last winter never began Too hot to even grill Diane cooler, in Nashville Then suddenly, last summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't see last summer. Some signs it may cool off to start Aug, but that's far away. Next 2 weeks look very summery. It’s been a brutal four months. If he wants to believe the sun is exploding and falling into the CTRV next week, as long as he his happy and gets to post ‘torch’......let him be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'll tell you...the Gulf of Mexico makes me super nervous. No wind shear, water temps about as hot as the breath coming out of Kevin's mouth...who's to say this can't undergo RI and blossom into a like a category 2? Question is how quickly it can get stacked. Looks like the centers are somewhat displaced at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hey.. at least you get your super dry pattern . HHH can also bring drought and fire That’s the big caveat. I love heat if we stay dry. A rogue storm here or there, fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 When I look into your eyes, I can see the heat restrained. But Runaway' when I hold you Don't you know I feel the same. Nothin' last forever, And we know H5 can change. And it's hard to not install When the heat come from the Plains. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Question is how quickly it can get stacked. Looks like the centers are somewhat displaced at the moment. There is some really nice convection with cooling tops but yeah quite displaced. We'll see what happens over the next 24-36 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve preached and warned them till we’re blue in the face. They’ve posted charts , fought it, pulled COC ks , but in the end ... Suddenly.... last summer Last summer is not walking through the door. Last summer left the building. Sure it's an AN stretch at peak climo but it doesn't look anything like last summer. Obviously we both won't know until all is said and done but there will be breaks IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: There is some really nice convection with cooling tops but yeah quite displaced. We'll see what happens over the next 24-36 hours. Have it give it a day or so. euro and gfs far apart with strength/organization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Have it give it a day or so. euro and gfs far apart with strength/organization. Perhaps the main circulation being a bit too close to land could prevent more in the way of strengthening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 37 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s the big caveat. I love heat if we stay dry. A rogue storm here or there, fine. AWT Going as planned. What happened to never ending oppressive dew points? Lolz.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 9, 2019 Author Share Posted July 9, 2019 I find this subtlety intriguing... We seem to running two disparate longer-termed environmental forcing, concurrently. I've expressed this opine in the past, and occasionally ... a model run saunters along and puts out a chart that rather nicely illustrates. But, the short version goes like, -AO/Solar Min -vs- GW. Here is one time interval off the 00z GFS ...used arbitrarily ( not a declaration for determinism ) to elucidate the example: The latitude of that jet depicted above is in part A ... unusually far S, and B, unusually powerful nearing the ides of summer. Hard to know how much of A or B is the primary character. It's some of both. The AO at CPC has been predominately negative as of late... So that is consistent with a suppressed latitude above. But also... I mentioned in a post yesterday that the GFS ensemble mean was trying to at last relax the flow. .. as suggested by the teleconnectors... clearly, the operational version isn't interested in relaxing the flow. Anyway, we still have huge heat south of the 40th parallel across the U.S. Both the GGEM and Euro operational runs have 18 C 850 thermal layout everywhere S of IND/NYC ..with embedded plumes clear to almost the mid 20's at that sigma level, from D5 or 6 to the end of the 00z run(s). But this chart above is really protecting regions from S. Dakota -ORD-BOS by persistently ablating the air mass and shearing them off. This jet above .. I like the metaphor of a circular sander grinding it ... Be that as it may, these runs get the BIG heat real close ... In fact, we should be IN the 90s at least once in that time frame from central NE south. All the while that is happening, the actual ridge aspects of the wave signatures remain relatively flat. Very delicate. ... A slight modulation either way would make a 25 F difference in sensible weather. I think -AO is in conflict with a warming world? More so than less.. . yup. I think we have been seeing a preponderance of these fast flow regimes... particularly in winters.. Man! But, seeing this linger into the summer is strange. In a -AO hemisphere ... sped up flow may be more common anyway, ... suppressing cooler heights into the 60-40th band will tend to increase the total gradient --> increased balanced geostrophic wind. But with GW going on... the supposition is that it's enhancing that overall effect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 9, 2019 Share Posted July 9, 2019 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: When I look into your eyes, I can see the heat restrained. But Runaway' when I hold you Don't you know I feel the same. Nothin' last forever, And we know H5 can change. And it's hard to not install When the heat come from the Plains. Gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now