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July pattern(s) and discussion


Typhoon Tip
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3 minutes ago, radarman said:

New England beaches are absolutely world class.  We've been stacking 10/10 days, great surf, perfect water temps... Folks of all ages looking like Cheshire cats.   Sharks be damned, we play.

I don't get to CT or RI beaches very often but Cape Cod certainly has some fantastic white sand beaches. 

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8 minutes ago, radarman said:

New England beaches are absolutely world class.  We've been stacking 10/10 days, great surf, perfect water temps... Folks of all ages looking like Cheshire cats.   Sharks be damned, we play.

Isnt it a great feeling after ride after perfect ride. Like you said equal to a face shot powder day. Some have never experienced both 

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Looks pretty warm and humid going forward. I know the EPS has blocking and some blues at 500 over us, but I think the East Coast could remain fairly warm and humid overall with some occasional breaks in humidity, next two weeks. Probably not overly oppressive though. 

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18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks pretty warm and humid going forward. I know the EPS has blocking and some blues at 500 over us, but I think the East Coast could remain fairly warm and humid overall with some occasional breaks in humidity, next two weeks. Probably not overly oppressive though. 

From the glass half-fulil department:

At least as our daily norms have started and will continue to drop so departures will need to become increasingly large to match earlier conditions as we move forward.

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34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks pretty warm and humid going forward. I know the EPS has blocking and some blues at 500 over us, but I think the East Coast could remain fairly warm and humid overall with some occasional breaks in humidity, next two weeks. Probably not overly oppressive though. 

Some posters will be shocked over this , but we sure aren’t.  This HHH summer ain’t going anywhere despite GEFS silliness.

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30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks pretty warm and humid going forward. I know the EPS has blocking and some blues at 500 over us, but I think the East Coast could remain fairly warm and humid overall with some occasional breaks in humidity, next two weeks. Probably not overly oppressive though. 

Yeah I've been saying the trough axis is a little far west for us...think I said +1 to +2 to Kev the other day. GEFS have a decently cool period in the d11-15 period as the axis shifts a bit east. But yeah, looks like typical August doldrums for a bit.

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Some posters will be shocked over this , but we sure aren’t.  This HHH summer ain’t going anywhere despite GEFS silliness.

You had one good heat/dew wave so far. Otherwise it's been typical summer warmth.

Unmemorable summer.

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Other than the hottest July on record in CT sure :lol:

It's been damn warm down there, but idk...just seems like you're getting there in a boring way. There just hasn't been much in the way of BN days to offset the warmth. I'm still throwing an asterisk at BDL and BOS too.

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Snoozefest at PVD and ORH


                                          STATION:   PROVIDENCE RI
                                          MONTH:     JULY
                                          YEAR:      2019
                                          LATITUDE:   41 43 N
                                          LONGITUDE:  71 26 W

  TEMPERATURE IN F:       :PCPN:    SNOW:  WIND      :SUNSHINE: SKY     :PK WND
================================================================================
1   2   3   4   5  6A  6B    7    8   9   10  11  12  13   14  15   16   17  18
                                     12Z  AVG MX 2MIN
DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD  WTR  SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX    SPD DR
================================================================================

 1  84  61  73   1   0   8 0.00  0.0    0  8.6 20 350   M    M   3        25 350
 2  82  68  75   3   0  10 0.00  0.0    0  7.5 16 250   M    M   6        18 240
 3  88  66  77   5   0  12 0.00  0.0    0  5.8 13 150   M    M   3        16 150
 4  90  66  78   5   0  13 0.00  0.0    0  4.8 14 140   M    M   5 18     17 150
 5  82  66  74   1   0   9 0.00  0.0    0  7.6 15 200   M    M   5 1      15 200
 6  89  73  81   8   0  16 0.02  0.0    0  9.2 23 230   M    M   8 1      27 330
 7  80  63  72  -1   0   7 0.00  0.0    0  9.5 20  30   M    M   5        26  40
 8  81  60  71  -2   0   6 0.00  0.0    0  5.3 12 210   M    M   4        13 150
 9  88  62  75   2   0  10 0.00  0.0    0  5.7 16 160   M    M   5        21  50
10  89  64  77   4   0  12 0.00  0.0    0  6.2 18 150   M    M   6        28 160
11  83  69  76   3   0  11 0.06  0.0    0  9.6 22 200   M    M   8 18     27 210
12  89  71  80   6   0  15 1.01  0.0    0  4.9 15  30   M    M   6 13     19 360
13  86  70  78   4   0  13 0.00  0.0    0  8.9 17 230   M    M   4        24 240
14  90  69  80   6   0  15 0.00  0.0    0  8.6 17 290   M    M   2        26 310
15  84  66  75   1   0  10 0.00  0.0    0  6.9 16 300   M    M   4        20 300
16  87  63  75   1   0  10 0.00  0.0    0  7.2 16 160   M    M   6 8      30 110
17  91  72  82   8   0  17 0.39  0.0    0  8.3 21 340   M    M   6 138    26 270
18  78  64  71  -3   0   6 0.16  0.0    0  8.1 21  20   M    M   8 1      24  20
19  89  65  77   3   0  12 0.00  0.0    0  7.2 16 220   M    M   7        21 160
20  94  77  86  12   0  21 0.00  0.0    0  6.9 13 200   M    M   5 8      22 210
21  96  78  87  13   0  22 0.00  0.0    0  8.4 20 250   M    M   4        28 250
22  84  70  77   3   0  12 0.81  0.0    0  8.5 29  60   M    M   6 13     35  60
23  71  64  68  -6   0   3 1.00  0.0    0  8.9 24  10   M    M  10 1      47  20
24  82  64  73  -1   0   8 0.02  0.0    0  5.8 14 200   M    M   6 1      18  10
25  83  64  74   0   0   9 0.00  0.0    0  5.7 17 200   M    M   3        26 170
26  82  63  73  -1   0   8 0.00  0.0    0  6.2 18 150   M    M   2        22 150
27  79  64  72  -2   0   7 0.00  0.0    0  7.5 17 150   M    M   2        21 140
================================================================================
SM 2301 1802         0 302  3.47     0.0 197.8          M      139
================================================================================
AV 85.2 66.7                               7.3 FASTST   M    M   5    MAX(MPH)
                                 MISC ---->  # 29  60               # 47   20

 

 

                                          STATION:   WORCESTER MA
                                          MONTH:     JULY
                                          YEAR:      2019
                                          LATITUDE:   42 16 N
                                          LONGITUDE:  71 52 W

  TEMPERATURE IN F:       :PCPN:    SNOW:  WIND      :SUNSHINE: SKY     :PK WND
================================================================================
1   2   3   4   5  6A  6B    7    8   9   10  11  12  13   14  15   16   17  18
                                     12Z  AVG MX 2MIN
DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD  WTR  SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX    SPD DR
================================================================================

 1  80  59  70   1   0   5 0.00  0.0    M 10.4 18 320   M    M   2        24 310
 2  79  63  71   2   0   6    T  0.0    M  9.6 15 260   M    M   2        22 270
 3  85  67  76   7   0  11 0.00  0.0    M  4.7 12 310   M    M   1        14 320
 4  87  67  77   8   0  12 0.00  0.0    M  5.7 10 230   M    M   1        15 120
 5  84  69  77   7   0  12 0.00  0.0    M  9.7 17 230   M    M   1        24 240
 6  88  69  79   9   0  14 1.22  0.0    M 10.9 26 300   M    M   6 13     36 290
 7  79  66  73   3   0   8 0.00  0.0    M  6.5 14  30   M    M   5        20  30
 8  79  59  69  -1   0   4 0.00  0.0    M  5.4  9 260   M    M   0        12  10
 9  82  61  72   2   0   7 0.00  0.0    M  6.6 13 340   M    M   0        17 320
10  84  64  74   4   0   9 0.00  0.0    M  6.7 12 240   M    M   0        14 260
11  79  66  73   3   0   8 0.21  0.0    M  9.2 21 170   M    M   5 1      28 160
12  84  68  76   6   0  11 0.72  0.0    M  6.6 17 290   M    M   7 12     23 260
13  81  64  73   3   0   8 0.00  0.0    M  7.8 15 290   M    M   2        21 270
14  84  67  76   6   0  11 0.00  0.0    M 10.5 17 290   M    M   2        21 290
15  78  61  70  -1   0   5 0.00  0.0    M  8.5 17 310   M    M   0        23 340
16  82  60  71   0   0   6    T  0.0    M  8.1 15 240   M    M   1        20 240
17  86  71  79   8   0  14 0.67  0.0    M  9.7 22 300   M    M   4 13     30 320
18  72  63  68  -3   0   3    T  0.0    M  7.5 15  70   M    M   9 1      22  50
19  86  64  75   4   0  10 0.00  0.0    M  8.1 17 230   M    M   4        22 240
20  90  75  83  12   0  18 0.00  0.0    M 10.4 18 280   M    M   1 3      24 280
21  89  73  81  10   0  16 0.00  0.0    M 13.2 24 260   M    M   0        32 270
22  78  61  70  -1   0   5 0.82  0.0    M  7.4 15  30   M    M   7 13     25  50
23  68  59  64  -7   1   0 1.16  0.0    M  7.2 17  10   M    M   8 1      24  10
24  78  62  70  -1   0   5    T  0.0    M  6.0 13 340   M    M   3        17 300
25  79  63  71   0   0   6 0.00  0.0    M  4.4 12 300   M    M   2        14 310
26  82  62  72   1   0   7 0.00  0.0    M  5.2 14 170   M    M   0        17 170
27  80  63  72   1   0   7 0.00  0.0    M  8.7 14 220   M    M   3 123    19 210
================================================================================
SM 2203 1746         1 228  4.80     0.0 214.6          M       76
================================================================================
AV 81.6 64.7                               7.9 FASTST   M    M   3    MAX(MPH)
                                 MISC ---->  # 26 300               # 36  290
================================================================================
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Just now, dendrite said:

It's been damn warm down there, but idk...just seems like you're getting there in a boring way. There just hasn't been much in the way of BN days to offset the warmth. I'm still throwing an asterisk at BDL and BOS too.

Yeah me for BOS as well. But, nobody seems to care or believe it. Maybe they will when Logan is accumulating efficiently at 34F. 

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10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

You had one good heat/dew wave so far. Otherwise it's been typical summer warmth.

Unmemorable summer.

What’s been memorable here is the complete opposite of last summer. Been very dry. Other than that, no extreme heat or dews...pretty standard stuff regardless what the heat pad near a take off is spitting out.

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m sure Metherb will say his stats show it’s not even top 10 and say it hasn’t been hot,but officially it will be CT’s hottest ever. Just glad to have been a part of it 

What was the avg high at 945ft?

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks pretty warm and humid going forward. I know the EPS has blocking and some blues at 500 over us, but I think the East Coast could remain fairly warm and humid overall with some occasional breaks in humidity, next two weeks. Probably not overly oppressive though. 

Not to be dinky sounding but... I usually follow the 582 isohypses ' ... if/when north of our latitude, even in sloped and/or cyclonic curvatures...we tend to find our way above 564 dm thicknesses ..with a shot at 570  

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not to be dinky sounding but... I usually follow the 582 isohypses ' ... if/when north of our latitude, even in sloped and/or cyclonic curvatures...we tend to find our way above 564 dm thicknesses ..with a shot at 570  

Yeah, I lean warmer and more humid overall. 

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Tempted to call this a 'sneaky' heat wave ... but I don't know how onto this we've been frankly.  I know I tried to bring awareness to this era for being a 'low grade heat wave' potential, whence last week was in the guidance ( suggestively..) but I've been surfacing Narra.  this weekend and haven't paid attention.  

Echo other's sentiments - been doing this trip over 10 years with old college buddies and this may be the best combination of water temp, air temp, sky condition and wave dynamics yet.. 

Altho - I'm not 24 any more and can feel it after Roman Greco wrestling with the surf under that hot sun all weekend.  Holy hell -

But lower prone location could be talking 95 and 97s today and tomorrow respectively.  Looking around at climo sites and their earlier machine numbers ...looks like they generally busted MOS by 3 on the plus side.  I suspect that margin behavior may play out again, given to the stagnant conditions and the elevating overnight lows.  Perfect conditions for heating with virtual no cloud, west wind... and DPs not being out of control. 

71 at 6:30 am down in the typical cool Nashoba Valley ... and it was already 78 on 290 E heading down the hill out of Worcester around 6:55.  That spread/behavior is on part with those big heat days last week.  Though the 850s are not as warm, I have noticed they warmed in the guidance as we got closer.  It's in the 17 C range just eyeballing the FRH grid. ...and with the lower DPs, I suspect unlike last week, the temp side of this can bust warmer by a little.  

95 and 97, where achieved are big heat numbers - we'll see where the HI's extend.  The heat alert issuance is warranted -

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44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Other than the hottest July on record in CT sure :lol:

Just stop with that bullshit. BDL only and thats questionable and its behind 2013 Every other place says meh including where people live. Ct does not encompass one airport. Get out of your metrodome and see the state, its a helluva lot bigger than one airport. 

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City kids pretending one airport represents an entire state. So if Boston is hottest on record then Mass has hottest July on record,  its such fraud hot or cold. Take all the airports in a state, average them out then show me some stats and then I will be impressed.  Hot July, lots of low dews perfect. Hottest ever in the entire state, we all call bullshit 

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