Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2019 Author Share Posted July 21, 2019 Actually ... I agree in so far that the 'cool down' more likely is a break in an otherwise warm pattern. We may not return to best yesterday and today's upper 90s ... but, already the MEX is flagging a low grade heat wave for BDL and nearly so for FIT/ASH ...this Thur-Sat... Which given climate weighting at those ranges, that backs us into the notion there's must be an impressive enough warm signal lurking out there. Which...this is also evidenced in the "groove" ( if you will ) of the operational's song and dance. You can just kinda sorta tell the ridge once to expand again ... its just not quite doing so... Either way, the 00z Euro was more like stagnated 'dog day' looking with 15C 850s D6-D10 in an almost COL look... I don't think that'll end up being that way, but that sets the table for the pattern to go either way ( to be fair )... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2019 Author Share Posted July 21, 2019 And how about the NAM ... ha... It's transitioning this heat event into a tortured overrunning, to the tune of almost 2" of regional QPF ... If that were late January what a sweet ice-storm that would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 4:17 PM, powderfreak said: Starting tomorrow through Thursday the highest temp forecast by NWS is 75F. That’ll feel refreshing. Highs mid-week may struggle to get to last night’s low of 72F. Tuesday....Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Light and variable winds. Tuesday Night...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Wednesday...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Wednesday Night...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Expand On 7/21/2019 at 4:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Different world SNE vs up there Expand Yeah, I’ve seen some of the local COCs pushing that theme lately in their marketing. We’re starting to see these around town: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 What a scorcher on that 12z Euro. Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 Might be decent severe tomorrow pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 21, 2019 Author Share Posted July 21, 2019 Nope... cool strata rains by mid afternoon most of CT/RI and Mass along and S of the Pike ...with a few elevated convective cells offering occasional orange lightning with slow thunder/moderate down pours ... Have fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 That BOX afd long term couldn’t be any more misleading . Talking about dry and comfy right thru next weekend lol. It’s 90+ Thursday on. WTF do they look at there ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 9:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That BOX afd long term couldn’t be any more misleading . Talking about dry and comfy right thru next weekend lol. It’s 90+ Thursday on. WTF do they look at there ? Expand But “dry” doesn’t really have anything to do with temps does it? BTV is on the same train... temps rising again mid/upper 80s next weekend but drier with comfy RH: “Progged 925mb temps warm back into the 22-24c range by next weekend, supporting highs back into the mid/upper 80s, but with relatively comfortable rh values. Overnight lows mainly in the l/m 50s mtn valleys to l/m 60s.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 10:20 PM, powderfreak said: But “dry” doesn’t really have anything to do with temps does it? BTV is on the same train... temps rising again mid/upper 80s next weekend but drier with comfy RH: “Progged 925mb temps warm back into the 22-24c range by next weekend, supporting highs back into the mid/upper 80s, but with relatively comfortable rh values. Overnight lows mainly in the l/m 50s mtn valleys to l/m 60s.” Expand The whole conservative NWS thing they do is just annoying . Grab the sack and go big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 10:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: The whole conservative NWS thing they do is just annoying . Grab the sack and go big Expand BDL with highs near 90 and mid 60s dewpoints is going to feel much better than this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 10:32 PM, OceanStWx said: BDL with highs near 90 and mid 60s dewpoints is going to feel much better than this weekend. Expand Might almost feel cool... 30 more days until you start seeing cooler air building in canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 10:32 PM, OceanStWx said: BDL with highs near 90 and mid 60s dewpoints is going to feel much better than this weekend. Expand The ice melt doesn’t reach minimum until 9/10 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 10:32 PM, OceanStWx said: BDL with highs near 90 and mid 60s dewpoints is going to feel much better than this weekend. Expand Now that’s a good forecast . But why not go 90-95 with moderate humidity in the AFD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 11:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Now that’s a good forecast . But why not go 90-95 with moderate humidity in the AFD? Expand I dunno. Because they're forecasting mid to upper 80s? Just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 21, 2019 Share Posted July 21, 2019 On 7/21/2019 at 11:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Now that’s a good forecast . But why not go 90-95 with moderate humidity in the AFD? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2019 Author Share Posted July 22, 2019 I will say ... if a Euro general circulation synopsis pans out the DPs are likely amass over top guidance by a little more every day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Lol at ignoring a week of nice summer dry weather coming up after the deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Local Mets/ Maxon really hitting severe chances hard today in all of CT. Talking wind damage/ tor potential as a few of us mentioned yesterday . Wiz’s tantrum seems to have worked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 2:39 AM, Ginx snewx said: Lol at ignoring a week of nice summer dry weather coming up after the deluge. Expand Good luck with that.....although Wednesday and Thursday should be pleasant for most with the exception of us heat mongers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Looks like a COC week and then we dew it up by next weekend and more like the week after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 11:07 AM, CoastalWx said: Looks like a COC week and then we dew it up by next weekend and more like the week after. Expand Businessmen canceling meetings while searchIng for seersucker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 1 day at a time. For now we dress like this at the tarmacs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 11:13 AM, weathafella said: Businessmen canceling meetings while searchIng for seersucker? Expand I’m all for it while I’m down the cape in early August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 11:07 AM, CoastalWx said: Looks like a COC week and then we dew it up by next weekend and more like the week after. Expand Today and tomorrow dews 65-70 SNE and storms are COC k? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 11:34 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Today and tomorrow dews 65-70 SNE and storms are COC k? Expand Like your Davis dews, that seems high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 CT may be a bit muggy today, but meh temps. Enjoy the rain tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 Enjoy the 77/47 Wednesday in the sub 1000’ elevated areas of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 CT with 15 days in July of 90+ so far. Add on another long stretch late this week into next week. Warmest July on record in the making? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 9:56 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Local Mets/ Maxon really hitting severe chances hard today in all of CT. Talking wind damage/ tor potential as a few of us mentioned yesterday . Wiz’s tantrum seems to have worked Expand Unfortunately I think the best threat is across SE NY/NJ and Long Island...perhaps right along the CT shore. Unless we can sneak the warm front north a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 22, 2019 Share Posted July 22, 2019 On 7/22/2019 at 11:52 AM, Damage In Tolland said: CT with 15 days in July of 90+ so far. Add on another long stretch late this week into next week. Warmest July on record in the making? Expand May be tough after this week. 78.6F at BDL thru yest. I think the record is 77.9F in July 2013. 16 of the first 19 days that month had a low of 70+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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