mreaves Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah ... I get it about the 99 versus 89 thing. I was just musing with PF last week ... it's on my bucket list to walk off an airplane into 120 F ... It's no different than wanting to visit the Eiffel Tower, the Great Wall of China, the Pyramids... the 72" snow on the level after compaction winter pack - ... In that same vein, to be able to amble around the town with the car dash at 104 or 106 knowing that in reality it's 101 clad, is just something to tell the grand kids. But most of all ... knowing is part of life - and one cannot really know something unless they're there. We can always live vicariously through others but ...there's nothing like first hand accountability. Accept for thunderstorms ... I'm weird about that.. I'd rather be situated out side the CB's impact space so that I can see it's majesty against the back ground, and watch all the nerd cloud parcels bubbling away with electricity dancing inside and out of their nebular plumes. Once underside... it's not that same as the cool appeal of a sideways cob-webbing snowfall, where you start to feel disappointed when you know it's ending. With bangers... I just want to get back into the sun so I can see the cloud again.. I think it was 111 F when I got off the plane in Vegas last August. Not quite the same but pretty damn hot for this NNE boy. We did see 119F in Death Valley later that week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 8 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: The Barry totals were definitely a big bust. That's good though...obviously less flooding than expected. Kind of the opposite of what happened in Harvey when the totals were more than forecast. I wish I had been paying more attention to the PDS of QPF. I'm wondering if there was a signal for a higher likelihood for localized high QPF vs. widespread thanks to the drier air. I know it's Kevin's favorite but we have a long way to go with probabilistic forecasts. We still have a long way to go with the Saffir Simpson scale. Scott is right, that's a garbage excuse not to evacuate, and maybe more evidence that we should move to an impact scale that includes Saffir Simpson. They may have been right to not order an evacuation, but for the wrong reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Just saw the dew got down to 49 at bdl today!! That's really refreshing for peak climo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 16, 2019 Author Share Posted July 16, 2019 BD impressive on 00z FRH grid ... flag strainer sustained chill into Logon abruptly ... 60 deg at 20 kts 93 73 93 wed-Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 42 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: That doesn't show all of BDL they have huge parking lots and buildings which I'm sure add to the heat.. planes are constantly going over my house at peak travel times.. I would say every 2 to 5 minutes.. Eh..that’s zoomed out quite a bit. BDL isn’t that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Eh..that’s zoomed out quite a bit. BDL isn’t that bad. Seems alot bigger being there.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Saturday is looking like an inferno. Probably 95-100 in the lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 27 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Saturday is looking like an inferno. Probably 95-100 in the lower elevations. summer in summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 5 hours ago, CTValleySnowMan said: Saturday is looking like an inferno. Probably 95-100 in the lower elevations. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen the euro 2m temps this high for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 I never thought nema/senh is that big of a torch spot, oh dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’m not sure I’ve ever seen the euro 2m temps this high for us. The op is an outlier in the ensemble spread however. For instance CON, going with 99 and the high member is 100, mean 96, and low 89. So the op is like a 90th percentile forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: The op is an outlier in the ensemble spread however. For instance CON, going with 99 and the high member is 100, mean 96, and low 89. So the op is like a 90th percentile forecast. So you’re telling me there’s a chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: So you’re telling me there’s a chance. Right now the 90/10 "goalposts" are 93-99. Scorch-ah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Well thursday will be sort of manky and cool it seems. But Saturday, all in for big heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Hottest stretch of the season incoming and ditty not present to claim his trophy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Hot Saturday in reverse. Hot Saturday was followed by a hellacious bd dropping Sunday afternoon temperatures to the low 60s. Thursday this week looks chilly followed by heating up to Saturday’s crescendo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Saturday is definitely big heat going to have to hibernate for the day.. we cool next week though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Got down to 56.8 this morning after after a high of 86.7...not looking forward to the heat coming up, too hot for the kids to be outside for long periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 43 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hottest stretch of the season incoming and ditty not present to claim his trophy. The Stopped Clock trophy? Or the participation medal? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 10 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Did you step on doggie doo and track it in the house today? Very angry. Your answers were about this subject indicate you are ascared of rocking the boat, I get it but call me Trump again... there Hillary. Lol Nice diversion from the subject, pretty much right out of the playbook. Man you indoctrinated well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Your answers were about this subject indicate you are ascared of rocking the boat, I get it but call me Trump again... there Hillary. Lol Nice diversion from the subject, pretty much right out of the playbook. Man you indoctrinated well. I have no idea what you are talking about. The forecast to me given all the guidance was fine. There are in fact areas of 20-24” of rain. However: 1) it fell N and W of Baton Rouge and NOLA thus limiting any potential flood there. 2) it fell in a narrow area. Given how lopsided the system was, I’m not surprised. But, can’t fault the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Crooked Scoot? Lyin’ Kev? Little Wizzo? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Crooked Scoot? Lyin’ Kev? Little Wizzo? We should all go back to where we came from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: We should all go back to where we came from? Dear God, please don't deport me back to Newark. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: Dear God, please don't deport me back to Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 58 minutes ago, weathafella said: Hot Saturday in reverse. Hot Saturday was followed by a hellacious bd dropping Sunday afternoon temperatures to the low 60s. Thursday this week looks chilly followed by heating up to Saturday’s crescendo. Most welcome BD of my memory. As of that Saturday evening, BGR forecast for Sunday was for near 100. Waking up to 70° with sprinkles was a joy. P&C has 100 at ASH on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I never thought nema/senh is that big of a torch spot, oh dang. You get downsloping off the VT/NH mountains, plus you have the Merrimack River Valley and general low lying marshy terrain in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Looks like the euro tries to mix out the dews up here a bit Sat...hence the low 100s. Meanwhile it’s hitting NYC/SNE with dews of Jurassic yore in the low 80s. I’d lop off 3-5° on all of it. 100/65 for MHT and 96/76 for HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: You get downsloping off the VT/NH mountains, plus you have the Merrimack River Valley and general low lying marshy terrain in that area. Makes sense but thought being close to the cool GOM waters would limit big heat. I guess with W winds though it doesn’t matter much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Your answers were about this subject indicate you are ascared of rocking the boat, I get it but call me Trump again... there Hillary. Lol Nice diversion from the subject, pretty much right out of the playbook. Man you indoctrinated well. He prolly believes in the magic bullet theory , move along . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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