Rtd208 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Pouring here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Looks like I am on the western fringe of a storm developing just to my east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 totally unnecessary warning by OKX, yet again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Severe t storm warning Hudson, NE Union, SE Essex counties, Staten Island, Manhattan, Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: totally unnecessary warning by OKX, yet again I can see toward SI, NJ I dont much going on that looks severe from this vantage point. I will find out in a few.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Nothing severe here in Jersey City. Some heavy rain, decent amount of CTG and light wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 95 here hearing thunder here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 ..looks like its raining over the hudson river actually but dry in Manhattan itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Tons of lightning and LOUD thunder here in Bayonne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Seeing alot of lightning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Theres going to be wind damage here in Jersey City with this second storm. Radar indicated downburst. Im about a 2 mi west of the worst of it. Hearing tons of sirens already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 25 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: totally unnecessary warning by OKX, yet again Yeah why there was I flood advisory for SI, I don't know. Ok I see that storm looked pretty impressive coming into SI, but totally fell apart in a flash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 25 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: totally unnecessary warning by OKX, yet again Warning was necessary for the second storm. Check the TDWR radar out of EWR from 3:05-3:10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Heavy rain more so on the west side of Manhattan with hail (30 stories up at least). Looking east on the lighter side with breaks of sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Just 0.04" rain but did drop temp from 93 to 80 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 58 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said: Theres going to be wind damage here in Jersey City with this second storm. Radar indicated downburst. Im about a 2 mi west of the worst of it. Hearing tons of sirens already I saw a small area of max velocities around 40 mph w/ that second storm. There is always a risk these pulsing cells produce a downburst/microburst when they collapse, but you can't just warn every thunderstorm out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Just now, purduewx80 said: I saw a small area of max velocities around 40 mph w/ that second storm. There is always a risk these pulsing cells produce a downburst/microburst when they collapse, but you can't just warn every thunderstorm out there. Oh no doubt. That warning for the first storm definitely wasn't needed. OKX has always been trigger happy. Turned on the scanner and heard reports of a sinking/overturned boat off Liberty State Park in Jersey City, also report of a downed tree that fell onto a house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 3 hours ago, purduewx80 said: there is a shot today, which HRRR has mostly been totally clueless about. there is some dry air and a warm layer aloft, but neither of these is sufficient to prevent isolated cells. already seeing some well inland, but the seabreeze fronts will focus a few nearby. only about a 20% chance for anyone in the city to see one, higher chances over eastern LI, CT, Hudson Valley and parts of NJ. take the weather you see over western PA and upstate today, and put it squarely over us tomorrow. looks like numerous storms in the afternoon hours as the weakening front/trough approach. as soon as we hit the convective temp the area will fill in. no cap and a moist profile 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 With the shower that moved thru earlier....temp went from 93 to 80 now back up to 92, within a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 30, 2019 Author Share Posted July 30, 2019 Wind damage report from the earlier North Shore storms. Hail report from News12 https://mobile.twitter.com/iembot_okx/status/1156289066771603456 At 1:53 PM EDT, Rocky Point [Suffolk Co, NY] PUBLIC reports TSTM WND DMG. TREES DOWN ON ROCKY POINT BUSINESS DISTRICT BYPASS. https://mobile.twitter.com/pcavlin/status/1156262345041223682 Impressive hail from a storm in Rocky Point this afternoon taken by Susan Blake 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Current temp 95/DP 69/RH 43% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 Driving around the area today I saw temps as high as 98 on the east side of Danbury to as low as 91 in more well forested areas, generally it was 93/94. Looks like it just rained over there by KDXR but it has been dry so far here 13 miles west of that station. I know Forky said when we hit the convective temp we fill in but what are the chances of that happening at this point? I see the line of storms out to the west making slow progress this way, will that be the trigger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 52 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Driving around the area today I saw temps as high as 98 on the east side of Danbury to as low as 91 in more well forested areas, generally it was 93/94. Looks like it just rained over there by KDXR but it has been dry so far here 13 miles west of that station. I know Forky said when we hit the convective temp we fill in but what are the chances of that happening at this point? I see the line of storms out to the west making slow progress this way, will that be the trigger? He's referring to tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 30, 2019 Share Posted July 30, 2019 The historic heat that smashed high temperature records in much of western Europe and then Scandinavia will continue to affect Iceland and Greenland for another day or two. In response, Greenland could experience a dramatic decline in surface mass balance (ice melt) that could rival that which occurred in 2012 for the next 5-7 days. High temperatures in Greenland included Ilulissat: 64°; Kangerlussuaq: 66°; Kulusuk: 59°; Narsarsuaq: 59°; Nuuk: 55°; and, Thule: 61°. Colder than normal conditions will likely persist across western Russia, Finland, and parts of Scandinavia over the next few days. However, the cold has so far been less significant than had been modeled. Earlier today, record low readings included: Kirkenes Lufthaven, Norway: 41°; Kuopio, Finland: 45°; Mikkeli, Finland: 39°; Saratov, Russia: 50°; and, Utti, Finland: 45° (tied daily record). Anchorage remains on course for its warmest month on record following its warmest June on record. Based on the latest guidance, Anchorage has an implied near 100% probability of seeing only its 19th month on record with a mean temperature of 60.0° or above and an implied near 100% probability of surpassing the 62.7° registered in July 2016 as its warmest month on record. The most likely range is currently 64.9°-65.2°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 24. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.40°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was +9.91 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.793. A general tendency for blocking could persist through into the first week in August and perhaps beyond that. Should blocking generally persist, a generally warm or perhaps very warm remainder of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. In addition, since 1950, there have been four prior cases when the AO averaged -0.500 or below in both June and July: 1957, 1958, 1993, and 2009. In three (75%) of those cases, August wound up warmer than normal. August 1993 was the warmest case. The mean anomaly from those cases suggests that the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas could be approximately 0.5° to 1.5° above normal overall during August. Overall, 1993 remains the base case for the pattern that should generally prevail from mid-August to mid-September. Currently, the CFSv2 suggests that a warmer than normal pattern could develop around mid-August. On July 29, the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.600 (RMM). The July 28-adjusted amplitude was 0.621. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently near 100%. Most likely range: 79.5°-79.7° (3.0° to 3.2° above normal). August continues to look warmer than normal across the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. The warmest anomalies relative to normal will likely occur during the second half of the month. Finally, there is a chance that Arctic sea ice extent could fall below 6 million square kilometers on the July 30 or 31 reading. The earliest figure below 6 million square kilometers occurred on August 3, 2012 when Arctic sea ice extent was 5.911 million square kilometers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 7/30: PHL: 96 TEB: 96 LGA: 95 EWR: 95 ACY: 95 BLM: 94 New Bnswk: 94 TTN: 93 NYC: 92 ISP: 88 JFK: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 Official heat wave....90, 91, 92. Barely noticeable after the 115+ degree heat indices the weekend before last, 90 feels very average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 92 here. Was even a toasty 86 out in Montauk today where I spent the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 High for the day was 96 here. Current temp 81/DP 68/Rh 65% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 Midnight LGA: 84 EWR: 82 NYC: 81 TEB: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted July 31, 2019 Share Posted July 31, 2019 4 hours ago, Cfa said: Official heat wave....90, 91, 92. Barely noticeable after the 115+ degree heat indices the weekend before last, 90 feels very average. No it wasn’t it was disturbing disgusting than and it was real disgusting today. Regardless summer peaked so we’ll keep getting heat but it will subside each wave. We’ve got some cooler air coming in at least for the next week. No 90’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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