NycStormChaser Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Marginal risk introduced for our area in the SPC day 2 outlook. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html May be similar to last Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 13 hours ago, dWave said: If it's any consolation most people get their weather from weather apps on their phone. Most apps just point to the closest official obs station, not holding central park in any special regard. For a large portion of NYC you'll get LGA readings and statistics. it actually feels worse when you have temps in the 80s with high humidity vs low 90s and low humidity. I notice I use my a/c far more in the former conditions. High humidity is really hard to tolerate especially because it causes air pollutants to remain close to the ground and causes breathing difficulties and heightens allergies and asthma. Temps staying up at night because of that is also a big problem. When JFK gets a sea breeze and is in the low 80s vs LGA in the low or mid 90s people look at that and think, wow JFK and the south shore is so lucky! I wish they'd see the dew points and think again, yesterday LGA was 91 degrees with a dew point of 54 while JFK was 84 with a dew point of 72- YUCK! This looks like a 1996-type summer to me as of right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: At 5 pm AKD, Anchorage had a temperature of 89°. That smashed the old all-time record high temperature of 85°, which was set on June 14, 1969. Read that them having 5 straight days of 85+ would be like NYC having 5 straight days of 101+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 12 hours ago, uofmiami said: One of the few days I probably will. Those winds when they pick up a tad knock the temp down only to rebound and repeat the cycle. I seem to go up to 89 and down to 88 as winds gust to 8 mph. At my parent’s house, Muttontown, it hit 90.1 so far. Definitely need to set up the new VP2 I have for here as the fan in the FARS is making noise plus my anemometer is shot. your spot seems to be the best for radiational cooling in the winter for Nassau County and retains snowcover exceptionally well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 16 hours ago, CIK62 said: Let's not forget 1966 during this period. From June 20 to July 15 a total of 26 days---and 19 of them were in the 90's, with 4. 100's mixed in. 103 on July 03 in the Central Park, with 107! at LaG, topped the bunch. Was warmest summer to that time, I think. 37 days of at least 90 degrees. Aw! The Good Ole Days,---when I could almost tolerate that kind of continuous heat. Lol. it was easier to tolerate because it was less humid back then. Heck you dont even have to look that far back. 1999 and 2010 were easier to tolerate because the humidity was less back then too. Plus seeing the thermo hit 100 was quite fun! Notice the 11 year pattern with our hot/dry summers? Perhaps they will return in 2021..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Read that them having 5 straight days of 85+ would be like NYC having 5 straight days of 101+ The daily high temperature reached 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 3degs. AN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5, 2019 Author Share Posted July 5, 2019 Tame high temperatures by early July 2010’s standards. The Newark high of 90 for the first 4 days is on the cool side for this decade. But the minimum of 77 was tied for the highest. So a continuation of the warm minimums being more impressive than the maximums. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Max Temperature Jul 1 to Jul 4 Missing Count 2016-07-04 84 0 2015-07-04 85 0 2019-07-04 90 0 2017-07-04 90 0 2013-07-04 91 0 2011-07-04 92 0 2014-07-04 96 0 2018-07-04 98 0 2012-07-04 98 0 2010-07-04 101 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Highest Min Temperature Jul 1 to Jul 4 Missing Count 2019-07-04 77 0 2018-07-04 77 0 2013-07-04 76 0 2014-07-04 73 0 2012-07-04 73 0 2011-07-04 72 0 2017-07-04 71 0 2016-07-04 70 0 2015-07-04 70 0 2010-07-04 67 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 ^^Damn I'm tired of these warm nights. Not only does it skew things and make people think it's warmer than it is when they see the stats but more importantly it's messing with my garden. Between too much rain and general moisture and too much warmth without recovery times things just aren't growing right. My carrots and tomatoes can't seem to dry out and really get growing and I've already lost a few plants to too much water. I miss those times when nights, even in the heart of the warm season, would make it into the 50's a few times a week. It seems that the forest understory appreciates this overnight warmth though, things like ground growth plants and poison ivy/oak are having themselves a big ol' time this year Not quite IMBY but close, I have an outdoor event tomorrow on the central CT coast, near New London. What are the chances the heavy rain stays away until after 5pm? I have a feeling that's very wishful thinking but I'm hoping someone can tell me it's not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 the number of 80 degree minimums have gone up recently...last year NYC set a record for the latest 80 degree minimum on record...Newark missed out last year... min/max.......dates... 81...........7/01/1872 82...........7/02/1872 81/90......7/03/1876 81/90......7/19/1878 80/95......7/07/1883 80/94......7/25/1885 81/91......8/11/1891 82/98......8/09/1896 80/94......8/10/1896 81/96......8/11/1896 81/95......7/18/1900 80/95......6/30/1901 82/100....7/02/1901 80/96......7/18/1905 80/95......7/19/1905 80/92......8/11/1905 80/87......7/23/1906 80/94......8/06/1906 80/90......7/05/1908 81/95......7/06/1908 84/93......7/07/1908 81/93......8/05/1908 80/87......8/06/1908 82/94......8/13/1908 84/93......8/14/1908 82/100....7/31/1917 82/98......8/01/1917 80/96......8/06/1918 82/104....8/07/1918 81/94......7/20/1930 80/98......8/02/1933 81/100....6/26/1952 80/95......7/16/1952 80/101....7/22/1957 81/95......7/23/1978 82/102....7/21/1980 80/96......8/08/1980 80/95......8/09/1980 80/95......8/15/1985 80/94......8/12/1988 80/99......8/14/1988 81/97......8/15/1988 80/100....7/08/1993 80/102....7/10/1993 84/102....7/15/1995 82/102....7/05/1999 83/101....7/06/1999 82/103....8/09/2001 82/95......7/03/2002 81/96......7/04/2002 80/95......7/30/2002 80/98......8/13/2002 80/99......8/13/2005 83/97......8/02/2006 81/103....7/06/2010 80/100....7/07/2010 80/97......7/24/2010 84/104....7/22/2011 83/100....7/23/2011 82/94......7/20/2015 80/96......7/23/2016 81/96......8/13/2016 81/92......8/29/2018 ................................................................................. Newark N.J. 80 degree minimum days... min/max...date... 80/97.....7/17/1968 80/90.....7/24/1972 80/97.....8/03/1975 80/98.....7/23/1978 81/101...7/21/1980 80/98.....7/09/1981 80/94.....7/10/1981 80/100...7/18/1982 80/98.....7/19/1982 80/98.....7/16/1983 80/97.....8/15/1985 80/95.....8/12/1988 80/98.....8/14/1988 81/99.....8/15/1988 82/105...7/08/1993 83/104...7/09/1993 84/105...7/10/1993 80/99.....7/11/1993 80/97.....7/12/1993 82/104...7/15/1995 81/103...7/05/1999 82/102...7/06/1999 80/99.....8/01/1999 82/101...8/08/2001 82/98.....7/03/2002 81/100...7/04/2002 81/96.....7/30/2002 80/102...8/13/2005 81/100...8/02/2006 80/101...8/03/2006 80/98.....6/28/2010 81/103...7/06/2010 82/99.....7/24/2010 86/108...7/22/2011 86/102...7/23/2011 82/100...7/19/2013 80/97.....7/20/2015 80/98.....7/23/2016 80/97.....8/14/2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5, 2019 Author Share Posted July 5, 2019 Saturday looks like it will be our highest dewpoints of the season so far. The dewpoints are already pushing 80 degrees to our south. So heavy downpours and localized flash flooding will be possible with any training convection. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=RWR&format=CI&version=1 EASTON MOSUNNY 82 79 89 CALM CAMBRIDGE PTSUNNY 82 79 89 SE5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 7 hours ago, NycStormChaser said: 8 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Marginal risk introduced for our area in the SPC day 2 outlook. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html May be similar to last Sunday Please no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 38 minutes ago, psv88 said: Please no last Saturday featured a strong cold pool aloft...this week has none of that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 50 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: last Saturday featured a strong cold pool aloft...this week has none of that.... Tomorrow will have cooling aloft just like last sunday across Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 37 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said: Tomorrow will have cooling aloft just like last sunday across Long Island. it's nowhere to that degree though. Models hold off on storms until very late as well...you won't have the destructive sunshine like last weekend when the storms rolled in much earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Lots of clouds, se wind, 77° here, reached 80° earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 9 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Read that them having 5 straight days of 85+ would be like NYC having 5 straight days of 101+ They reached 90, that's incredible for them. The record of consecutive 80+ was 4 I believe. Breaking an all time record by 5 is very impressive. Major heat (relative to normal) has been a common theme there. Imagine a high of 111 in the Park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 1pm Highest Dew Points from OKX OBS: JFK-73 Wantagh-72 Newburgh-73 Atlantic City-75 Toms River-79 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 The SPC added a slight risk for New England on their latest update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 25 minutes ago, dWave said: They reached 90, that's incredible for them. The record of consecutive 80+ was 4 I believe. Breaking an all time record by 5 is very impressive. Major heat (relative to normal) has been a common theme there. Imagine a high of 111 in the Park. Anyone think we'll see 110 at any of the NYC stations in our lifetimes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, Gravity Wave said: Anyone think we'll see 110 at any of the NYC stations in our lifetimes? Yep but central park no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 28 minutes ago, weathermedic said: 1pm Highest Dew Points from OKX OBS: JFK-73 Wantagh-72 Newburgh-73 Atlantic City-75 Toms River-79 Toms River DP up to 81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Let's see if this storm can make it to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 5 hours ago, gravitylover said: ^^Damn I'm tired of these warm nights. Not only does it skew things and make people think it's warmer than it is when they see the stats but more importantly it's messing with my garden. Between too much rain and general moisture and too much warmth without recovery times things just aren't growing right. My carrots and tomatoes can't seem to dry out and really get growing and I've already lost a few plants to too much water. I miss those times when nights, even in the heart of the warm season, would make it into the 50's a few times a week. It seems that the forest understory appreciates this overnight warmth though, things like ground growth plants and poison ivy/oak are having themselves a big ol' time this year Not quite IMBY but close, I have an outdoor event tomorrow on the central CT coast, near New London. What are the chances the heavy rain stays away until after 5pm? I have a feeling that's very wishful thinking but I'm hoping someone can tell me it's not. And up here I have to water every single day to keep gardens from crumbling into dust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: it's nowhere to that degree though. Models hold off on storms until very late as well...you won't have the destructive sunshine like last weekend when the storms rolled in much earlier. PWATs will be over 2" tomorrow and we have this weak upper feature currently over WV moving overhead - the past 2 days this has produced widespread PM storms over the Mid-Atlantic and interior NE. Development has been occurring by late morning, so I think we could see storms off/on throughout the afternoon tomorrow. The frontal feature to our N doesn't move through until late evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Current temp 82/DP 75/RH 72% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 58 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: PWATs will be over 2" tomorrow and we have this weak upper feature currently over WV moving overhead - the past 2 days this has produced widespread PM storms over the Mid-Atlantic and interior NE. Development has been occurring by late morning, so I think we could see storms off/on throughout the afternoon tomorrow. The frontal feature to our N doesn't move through until late evening. Agree with the heavy rain threat with PWATS that high.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5, 2019 Author Share Posted July 5, 2019 4th 75 degree dewpoint day of the year for JFK. Only 6 more needed for the first 4 consecutive years streak in the double digits. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=161&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&var=max_tmpf&dir=aoa&thres=90&month=jul&year=2019&dpi=100&_fmt=js Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 Flash flood warning issued for Central New Jersey. A TVS also is showing up on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 5, 2019 Share Posted July 5, 2019 20 minutes ago, bluewave said: 4th 75 degree dewpoint day of the year for JFK. Only 6 more needed for the first 4 consecutive years streak in the double digits. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=161&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&var=max_dwpf&dir=aoa&thres=75&month=all&year=2019&dpi=100&_fmt=js https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=161&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=NYC&var=max_tmpf&dir=aoa&thres=90&month=jul&year=2019&dpi=100&_fmt=js&_cb=1 What happened to the data for about 20 years at Central Park, early 1980;s to 2000? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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