jm1220 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Very loud thunder and bright lightning. Some light rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Under a Flash Flood and Severe Thunderstorm Warning here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Full on flash flood on the uws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Very loud thunder and bright lightning. Some light rain now. I’m in melville and we are getting pummeled. It’s coming. Be careful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 I was between storms. Storms missed missed me to the south and north like usual. It rained heavy for 4 minutes. constant lightning around me though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 The non-stop lightning is crazy, it's been a long time since I've seen such frequencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Pouring here w/thunder and lightning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: I’m in melville and we are getting pummeled. It’s coming. Be careful Yeah, torrential rain here finally. Very loud thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Over the past hour, Central Park picked up 1.14" rain and LaGuardia Airport received 1.36". A period of intense heat lies ahead for the East. The Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions could experience a heat wave during the second half of this week into perhaps the start of next week (especially Friday through Sunday). The potential for one or two days with high temperatures of 95° or above in New York City and upper 90s to 100° elsewhere in the Middle Atlantic region is on the table. Ahead of the excessive heat, the remnants of Barry will likely bring 1.00"-2.00" rain with locally higher amounts, some of which could approach or exceed 3.00" by the time the precipitation ends tomorrow. Anchorage remains on course for its warmest month on record following its warmest June on record. Based on the latest guidance, Anchorage has an implied 95% probability of seeing only its 19th month on record with a mean temperature of 60.0° or above and an implied 69% probability of surpassing the 62.7° registered in July 2016 as its warmest month on record. The most likely range is currently 62.8°-65.1°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was -11.33 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.480. Blocking could largely persist through much of the remainder of July. Blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Already, even as the July 1-10 period saw a preliminary AO average of -1.108, readings were above and much above normal in the Middle Atlantic region. Should blocking generally persist, a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. Some of the early guidance for August hints at above to possibly much above normal readings in parts of the Northeast. On July 16, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.808 (RMM). The July 15-adjusted amplitude was 0.743. That is the 14th consecutive day during which the MJO has been in Phase 1. The last time the MJO was in Phase 1 for at least 14 consecutive days was June 11-25, 2017 (15 consecutive days). The second half of July will very likely see a continuation of the generally much warmer than normal readings in much of the Middle Atlantic region. Since 1974 when MJO data was first recorded, there have been 6 cases (1988, 1996, 2004, 2008, 2010, and 2013) when the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for 4 or more days during the July 1-10 period. The average temperature for those cases in New York City was 78.2° (1.7° above normal). The latest guidance suggests a mean temperature near 79.5°. In 4/6 (67%) cases, there was at least one heat wave during the July 16-31 period and 4/6 (67%) those cases had a peak temperature of 95° or above during that period. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently 82%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Just now, jm1220 said: Yeah, torrential rain here finally. Very loud thunder. I know that we needed the rain here, the ground was getting very dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Very loud thunder and bright lightning. Some light rain now. Yea finally raining here, but northern Nassau cashed in big time. Crushed there. Nice lightning now. Anything but wind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 There were lightning strikes all around and thunder in upper Manhattan. My cat didn’t seem to care very much though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Intense thunder and lightning and heavy rainfall rates here on Staten Island now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Typical careful what you wish for moment for me. The lightning was epic from my unobstructed 18th floor viewing spot on the uws but then had to unclog all the drains on campus. Totally soaked, but so are the plants so it’s a win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Flash flooding may be coming to the south shore next. Some nasty storms over Staten Island and Middlesex County headed east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Rockland county storm was BEAUTIFUL. Took this with my phone!Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Picked up 0.80" of rain so far today with more on the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maureen Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Pouring here w/thunder and lightning. A LOT of lightning, wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 dewpoints over 75 do the trick around here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Hoboken is pretty much all under water by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Flash flooding may be coming to the south shore next. Some nasty storms over Staten Island and Middlesex County headed east. We're about to get smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Quick 1.00" here with some nice thunder and lightning...Also at low for day of 75 degrees, high of 94. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Deep rolling thunder shaking my house in SW Suffolk. Still not much in the way of rain or wind though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 One of the best nighttime thunderstorms in a while here, long duration constant vivid lightning and a few very decent wind gusts thrown in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Vivid lightning here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Up to 1.43" so far... Still finds a way to rain even in a relatively dry pattern. Love high heat and heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 EWR: 0.66 last hour still raining. NYC: 1.14 0.79 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 0.62” and counting, first storm dropped about 0.50” with rates peaking at 2.50” per hour. And what a perfect time to find out your Rain-X needs to be reapplied, it’s supposed to last 3 months, you’d be lucky if it lasts 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 When should be expect the rain to end tomorrow? In the morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 18, 2019 Share Posted July 18, 2019 Weakening as per the usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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