Stormlover74 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Heatwave #3 begins today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 I doubt we get a heatwave this time and if anything it won’t be in the upper 90’s... the summer peaked last week, it just doesn’t feel as hot anymore, which I’m thankful cause we got great weather coming up after a few days of humidity early next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Just now, NYCweatherNOW said: I doubt we get a heatwave this time and if anything it won’t be in the upper 90’s... the summer peaked last week, it just doesn’t feel as hot anymore, which I’m thankful cause we got great weather coming up after a few days of humidity early next week If someone said winter had already peaked while it was still January they’d be bombarded with “it can snow in March/April” responses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: I doubt we get a heatwave this time and if anything it won’t be in the upper 90’s... the summer peaked last week, it just doesn’t feel as hot anymore, which I’m thankful cause we got great weather coming up after a few days of humidity early next week We will here. 92+ today thru Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We will here. 92+ today thru Tuesday Yeah and I wouldn't be surprised if we touch 95 monday or tuesday. Not quite as extreme as the last heat wave, but more than just run of the mill summer heat. Not sure why he keeps talking as if the worst of summer is over. August always offers some intense heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, Cfa said: If someone said winter had already peaked while it was still January they’d be bombarded with “it can snow in March/April” responses. 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: We will here. 92+ today thru Tuesday 11 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah and I wouldn't be surprised if we touch 95 monday or tuesday. Not quite as extreme as the last heat wave, but more than just run of the mill summer heat. Not sure why he keeps talking as if the worst of summer is over. August always offers some intense heat. All I said is the summer peaked I didn’t say summer is over. I expect a hot and humid September Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Some more typical summer heat today - Wed (ahead of the next from) peaking tues where some hotter areas could get to mid 90s, 850 temps 16-19C. Beyond there 8/1 - 8/8 back towards normal and potential wetter period. On/around 8/9 and into the 8/12 week could see the next round of stronger heat spread into the region which would follow a similar progression of the end of June EU heat wave with our area experiencing stronger heat around 14-20 days after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Noon; ACY: 88 EWR: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 88 PHL: 86 BLM: 86 ISP: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 85 NYC: 85 New Bnswk: --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 88 here. Played a quick 9. Felt great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Up to 93 in the parking lots at Citifield at my EMS detail command post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 1PM; Park back to 3-5 behind other sites TEB: 90 EWR: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 PHL: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 87 TTN: 87 ISP: 86 NYC: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Current temp 91/DP 67/RH 46% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 3 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah and I wouldn't be surprised if we touch 95 monday or tuesday. Not quite as extreme as the last heat wave, but more than just run of the mill summer heat. Not sure why he keeps talking as if the worst of summer is over. August always offers some intense heat. It'll be hard to top the 99-100F/110-120HI readings though. Sun angle really dives beyond 1st week of August too. But never say never. I think if we can dry out soils then it's more likely we see upper 90s when the next big heat surge comes August 10th onward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Already hit 89.7 (90) for the high so far. Another 90 degree day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Just hit 90 here. Dew 71..but probably inflated b/c of a very saturated backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2019 Author Share Posted July 28, 2019 Big dewpoint spread between North Shore and South Shore today. JFK feels warmer than LGA due to the much higher dewpoint. Kennedy Intl FAIR 86 73 65 S17 30.06F HX 93 LaGuardia Arpt FAIR 92 58 31 SW14G21 30.03F HX 91 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 92° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 We have some very interesting swell that originated in the Southern Hemisphere effecting area beaches this weekend. Swell periods of 17-16 seconds which is indicative of long period deep water swell. The storm that caused these swells formed last week mid way between South America and Africa. This same storm is responsible for the largest waves ever surfed in Brazil. https://www.surfline.com/surf-news/avalanche-comes-brazil/57990 As these swells reach our beaches, despite being significantly decayed they produce surging waves that have caused minor wash-overs. Tons of energy in the ocean right now!! , 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 Just 86* here in CI. This very time last week, my thermometer held at 99.3* for 15mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 91 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 It looks like there is potential for heavy rain/storms the next several days beginning tomorrow. Both Mt.Holly and Upton have a chance for showers/storms just about everyday right thru next weekend with the possibility of flash flooding/severe weather as the week progresses. Details on late week and next weekend are still a bit sketchy at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 3 hours ago, uofmiami said: Already hit 89.7 (90) for the high so far. Another 90 degree day here. Only 88.3 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We have some very interesting swell that originated in the Southern Hemisphere effecting area beaches this weekend. Swell periods of 17-16 seconds which is indicative of long period deep water swell. The storm that caused these swells formed last week mid way between South America and Africa. This same storm is responsible for the largest waves ever surfed in Brazil. https://www.surfline.com/surf-news/avalanche-comes-brazil/57990 As these swells reach our beaches, despite being significantly decayed they produce surging waves that have caused minor wash-overs. Tons of energy in the ocean right now!! , Waves began reaching the middle of the beach at Smith Point Beach shortly after I arrived. Hordes of people picking up their belongings and running as if it were a tsunami. Stopped about 10 feet short of reaching me, didn’t have to move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2019 Author Share Posted July 28, 2019 Another day that the dewpoints beat guidance. Miami dewpoints returned to the South Shore. JFK is at 75 and Wantagh 74. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=WANT Dewpoint: 74 °F http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kjfk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 28, 2019 Share Posted July 28, 2019 The historic heat that smashed high temperature records across western Europe has continued to affect Scandinavia and has spread westward to parts of Iceland. Records included: Arvika, Sweden 89°; Bodi Vi, Norway, 84°; Egilsstadir, Iceland: 75°; Floda, Sweden: 89°; Haugesund, Norway: 88° (tied all-time record); Helsinki-Kaisaniemi, Finland: 92° (all-time record; records go back to 1844); Laksfors, Norway: 92°; Mariehamn, Finland: 86°; Mo i rana, Norway: 90°; Mosjoen, Norway: 93°; Namsos Lufthavn, Norway: 93° (all-time record); Orland Iii, Norway: 90° (tied all-time record); Ostermund Froson, Sweden: 84°; Pori, Finland: 91° (tied all-time record); Roros Lufthavn, Norway: 84°; Rygge, Norway: 86°; Sandnessjoen, Norway: 88°; Trondheim, Norway: 90°; and, Turku-Artukainen, Finland: 90° (tied all-time record). Exceptional warmth will continue to shift northwestward to Iceland and then Greenland. During the first half of this week, parts of Greenland could see temperatures more than 18°F above normal. To put the 2019 heat into perspective, on account of the June and July heat waves, 576 of France's 1,050 (54.9%) weather stations set all-time high temperature records this year. Canada's Quebec Province again experience some record high temperatures. Records included: Gaspe: 88° (tied daily record); Natashquan: 82°; and, Port Menier: 83° (just missed the July record of 85°). Record cold will likely spill westward into Finland over the next several days. By midweek, most of Europe will likely be colder than normal. The coldest anomalies relative to normal will be centered over eastern Europe, including western Russia. Anchorage remains on course for its warmest month on record following its warmest June on record. Based on the latest guidance, Anchorage has an implied near 100% probability of seeing only its 19th month on record with a mean temperature of 60.0° or above and an implied near 100% probability of surpassing the 62.7° registered in July 2016 as its warmest month on record. The most likely range is currently 64.7°-65.2°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around July 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was not available today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.774. A general tendency for blocking could persist through into the first week in August and perhaps beyond that. Should blocking generally persist, a generally warm or perhaps very warm remainder of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. In addition, since 1950, there have been four prior cases when the AO averaged -0.500 or below in both June and July: 1957, 1958, 1993, and 2009. In three (75%) of those cases, August wound up warmer than normal. August 1993 was the warmest case. The mean anomaly from those cases suggests that the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas could be approximately 0.5° to 1.5° above normal overall during August. Overall, 1993 remains the base case for the pattern that should generally prevail from mid-August to mid-September. On July 27, the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.750 (RMM). The July 26-adjusted amplitude was 0.671. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently near 100%. Most likely range: 79.2°-79.8° (2.7° to 3.3° above normal). August continues to look warmer than normal across the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. The warmest anomalies relative to normal will likely occur during the second half of the month. Finally, on July 27, Arctic Sea Ice extent (JAXA) was 6.288 million square kilometers. That was the lowest such figure for that date. It remains likely that this year's minimum figure will fall below 4.000 million square kilometers for only the second time on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 7/28: LGA: 93 EWR: 92 TEB: 92 ACY: 92 BLM: 92 New Bnswk: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Even though shear is weak, I think the 18z 3k NAM has a good handle on the ongoing convection near Scranton,PA. I think the showers hold into NYC. Some elevated instability to work with as well. See what happens. @NycStormChaserwhat ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Anyone have any sense for what the patterns look like (at least for now) in the longer term ... out into week of 8/5 and 8/13? I am looking to plan a staycation and am just wondering if any particular week looks stormy/rainy vs. not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted July 29, 2019 Share Posted July 29, 2019 Nice gusts ahead of this line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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