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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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The next 8 days are averaging 79degs., or 2.5degs. AN.

Month to date is  +2.8[79.1].     There will be little change to this by the 27th.

A 79* high at NYC yesterday is a joke.   I got near 88* by 3:30pm.

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43 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

The next 8 days are averaging 79degs., or 2.5degs. AN.

Month to date is  +2.8[79.1].     There will be little change to this by the 27th.

A 79* high at NYC yesterday is a joke.   I got near 88* by 3:30pm.

I think it was about right. It was cloudy and a few showers. I got up to 76 but spent a good chunk of the time in the low 70s and a breezy E to NE wind. LGA was only 78. That's why I was shocked to see JFK was 86. The wind went southerly and/or the sun came out down there? It was a back door kind of day N and NE of midtown it seems. Curious how hot it gets today, need to climb nearly 25 degrees to meet current forecasts and that's with an overcast start. Not that I necessarily doubt it, but it's a ways to go. 

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56 minutes ago, dWave said:

I think it was about right. It was cloudy and a few showers. I got up to 76 but spent a good chunk of the time in the low 70s and a breezy E to NE wind. LGA was only 78. That's why I was shocked to see JFK was 86. The wind went southerly and/or the sun came out down there? It was a back door kind of day N and NE of midtown it seems. Curious how hot it gets today, need to climb nearly 25 degrees to meet current forecasts and that's with an overcast start. Not that I necessarily doubt it, but it's a ways to go. 

same up here-only made it to 74 with the east winds and showers all day

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This continues to be the year of the record breaking firehose Pacific Jet. The Pacific Northwest just established an all-time strongest jet stream for the entire warm season. This old record was beaten by a wide margin. It’s pumping the ridge over our area for high heat and humidity this weekend.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1151959134545358849

27647FA8-4448-4C18-9A11-BEAB2BD33301.png.b928ff2070c950f1cde51a0d3a5e2118.png

8484CB6D-9579-41B3-B9CC-8552F2F168EE.png.997787a3e84aa5abf8d9cd0a068b13e1.png

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18 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said:

Yeah a couple days of heat but nobody talking about the glorious low 80 no humidity stretch on the backend next week.

A few normal days then we warm up again

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

This continues to be the year of the record breaking firehose Pacific Jet. The Pacific Northwest just established an all-time strongest jet stream for the entire warm season. This old record was beaten by a wide margin. It’s pumping the ridge over our area for high heat and humidity this weekend.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1151959134545358849

27647FA8-4448-4C18-9A11-BEAB2BD33301.png.b928ff2070c950f1cde51a0d3a5e2118.png

8484CB6D-9579-41B3-B9CC-8552F2F168EE.png.997787a3e84aa5abf8d9cd0a068b13e1.png

@bluewaveWas this not part of the reason the winter did not deliver in the East for most.  The rather robust jet breaking down West Coast ridging? 

 

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This graphic sums it up.      Normal or briefly BN incoming, Tues-Wed.     Then maybe 1-2 more 90's at end of month, for warmest areas.    Normals start down after July 23 anyway, and by Aug. 01 the whole hemisphere is losing more heat energy than it is gaining at the surface.

2019071900_054@007_E1_knyc_I_NAEFS@EPSGR

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19 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

This graphic sums it up.      Normal or briefly BN incoming, Tues-Wed.     Then maybe 1-2 more 90's at end of month, for warmest areas.    Normals start down after July 23 anyway, and by Aug. 01 the whole hemisphere is losing more heat energy than it is gaining at the surface.

2019071900_054@007_E1_knyc_I_NAEFS@EPSGR

We usually average the same or similar number of 90 degree days in August as July. Check out Sacrus stats for the past 7 years.

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

This continues to be the year of the record breaking firehose Pacific Jet. The Pacific Northwest just established an all-time strongest jet stream for the entire warm season. This old record was beaten by a wide margin. It’s pumping the ridge over our area for high heat and humidity this weekend.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1151959134545358849

27647FA8-4448-4C18-9A11-BEAB2BD33301.png.b928ff2070c950f1cde51a0d3a5e2118.png

8484CB6D-9579-41B3-B9CC-8552F2F168EE.png.997787a3e84aa5abf8d9cd0a068b13e1.png

What kind of impact would this have on any hurricanes or tropical systems that hit the US?

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1 hour ago, frd said:

@bluewaveWas this not part of the reason the winter did not deliver in the East for most.  The rather robust jet breaking down West Coast ridging? 

 

It was a big reason. The firehose made the flow too zonal and drowned the continent in Pacific mild air. We had our occasional day or two cold snaps but nothing could be sustained. 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

This continues to be the year of the record breaking firehose Pacific Jet. The Pacific Northwest just established an all-time strongest jet stream for the entire warm season. This old record was beaten by a wide margin. It’s pumping the ridge over our area for high heat and humidity this weekend.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SimonLeeWx/status/1151959134545358849

27647FA8-4448-4C18-9A11-BEAB2BD33301.png.b928ff2070c950f1cde51a0d3a5e2118.png

8484CB6D-9579-41B3-B9CC-8552F2F168EE.png.997787a3e84aa5abf8d9cd0a068b13e1.png

That jet just keeps finding ways to :wub: us. 

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