Rjay Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 The Euro backed off on the over 80 degree dew points but saturday looks hotttt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 I think if we mix out the dews a bit Newark hits 105 Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 92 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 22 minutes ago, Rjay said: The Euro backed off on the over 80 degree dew points but saturday looks hotttt. Nothing crazy out here, looks like a seabreeze kicks in. This is not a setup where LI bakes like last weekend. Im thinking 94 for ISP and FRG, 95-96 north shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 I've always wanted to visit Montauk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Nothing crazy out here, looks like a seabreeze kicks in. This is not a setup where LI bakes like last weekend. Im thinking 94 for ISP and FRG, 95-96 north shore. It'll be 95+ by noon here and then I'll be thankful when the seabreeze kicks in at 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: It'll be 95+ by noon here and then I'll be thankful when the seabreeze kicks in at 1. And thankful not to live in NE NJ lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Rjay said: It'll be 95+ by noon here and then I'll be thankful when the seabreeze kicks in at 1. exactly, westerly flow showing up, so the seabreeze will be more WSW-SW, which isn't exactly cooling for most of the island. north shore could be just as hot as the city. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 3Pm Round up LGA; 93 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 BLM: 91 TEB: 91 ACY: 91 PHL: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 88 JFK: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Some activity pop uo in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 40 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 3Pm Round up LGA; 93 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 BLM: 91 TEB: 91 ACY: 91 PHL: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 88 JFK: 86 The Park managed to get to 90 before dropping a degree at the usual time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 hours ago, psv88 said: 91 91 (90.6) for my high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Dan76 said: NWS P&C seems to not work anyone else? Working for me, and it also slightly warmer for me on Sat and Sun, 101, and 99 respectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 93 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Long Beach will be a great place to be this weekend-likely a good 10-15 degrees cooler or more than Manhattan. Depends on how westerly the wind ends up-if it’s more SSW it may not even hit 90. The humidity though will still be horrendous. Up by me we likely get past 95 but the sea breeze gets here before we make it to 100. East of Queens it’s hard to really bake when the wind is SW or SSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 All this heat is coming and NYC just had a major blackout. Could this heat cause another blackout? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 hour ago, psv88 said: And thankful not to live in NE NJ lol The area that might feel the hottest may be our area though. The temp will likely be over 95 and we likely have more humidity from the SW winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 hour ago, psv88 said: And thankful not to live in NE NJ lol I don't need a heatwave to be thankful for that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2019 Author Share Posted July 16, 2019 Arkansas May have set a new state tropical cyclone rainfall record with Barry. https://mobile.twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1151136520864010242 Torrential rains in SW Arkansas overnight from #Barry have brought radar estimates above the Arkansas state rainfall record for a tropical cyclone. Caution advised tho- need a real gauge SE of Dierks to confirm! https://mobile.twitter.com/Maxar_Weather/status/1151137924827631616 If this verifies, AR would join TX (60.58" Harvey 2017), NC (35.93" Florence 2018), SC (23.63" Florence 2018), and HI (52.02" Lane 2018) in setting state rainfall records for tropical cyclones in the last few years https://mobile.twitter.com/WxZachary/status/1151120055721218050 More incredible flooding footage coming from Dierks, Arkansas. Follower Tashia Siracusa sent this from the local EZ-Mart 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Are we really going to see 2+" tomorrow and will the wind be bad? How long into Thursday is this system going to hang around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 My station saw a late-afternoon push to 93/72F. First HI over 100 this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 93 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 1 hour ago, uofmiami said: 91 (90.6) for my high. 90.4F here, finally converting another 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 89 for a high here, typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 hours ago, uofmiami said: 91 (90.6) for my high. 90.7 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: The area that might feel the hottest may be our area though. The temp will likely be over 95 and we likely have more humidity from the SW winds. Yes, it will be absolutely brutal here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 4 hours ago, bluewave said: The highest heat indices may end up near and to the north of JFK on Saturday. The Euro has an area upper 90’s temperatures with upper 70’s dewpoints. Happy I only have to work in Great Neck now, looks like NW Nassau, N Queens, BK & NYC will roast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 High for the day was 95 here. Current temp 86/DP 70/RH 59% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 17, 2019 Share Posted July 17, 2019 Consistent with the pattern suggested by historic MJO cases, some of the hottest weather so far this season appears likely to develop during the second half of July. The Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions could experience a heat wave during the second half of this week. The potential for one or two days with high temperatures of 95° or above is on the table. Before then, the remnants of Barry will likely bring 0.50"-1.00" rain with locally higher amounts to the region. Some of the guidance is suggesting that the system could tap some Atlantic moisture resulting in a general 1.00"-2.00" rainfall with some locally higher amounts in parts of eastern New England, including Boston. Meanwhile, Anchorage appears headed for its warmest month on record following its warmest June on record. Based on the latest guidance, Anchorage has an implied 92% probability of seeing only its 19th month on record with a mean temperature of 60.0° or above and an implied 67% probability of surpassing the 62.7° registered in July 2016 as its warmest month on record. 12/18 (67%) of its 60.0° or warmer months occurred in 2000 and afterward and 6/18 (33%) occurred 2015 or later. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions. The SOI was -6.16 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.494. Blocking could largely persist through much of the remainder of July. Blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Already, even as the July 1-10 period saw a preliminary AO average of -1.108, readings were above and much above normal in the Middle Atlantic region. Should blocking generally persist, a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer is likely. Since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (the preliminary June 2019 average was -0.665): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. Some of the early guidance for August hints at above to possibly much above normal readings in parts of the Northeast. On July 15, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.732 (RMM). The July 14-adjusted amplitude was 0.835. The second half of July will very likely see a continuation of the generally much warmer than normal readings in much of the Middle Atlantic region. Since 1974 when MJO data was first recorded, there have been 6 cases (1988, 1996, 2004, 2008, 2010, and 2013) when the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for 4 or more days during the July 1-10 period. The average temperature for those cases in New York City was 78.2° (1.7° above normal). The latest guidance suggests a mean temperature near 79.5°. In 4/6 (67%) cases, there was at least one heat wave during the July 16-31 period and 4/6 (67%) those cases had a peak temperature of 95° or above during that period. The implied probability of a warmer than normal July in New York City is currently 81%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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