psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:44 AM, uofmiami said: Ended up with a high of 86.3 for today. Expand 86.3 here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 7/15: (89's running wild this season) EWR: 89 LGA: 89 ACY: 88 TEB: 88 BLM: 87 PHL: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86 New Brunswick: 86 NYC: 85 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 87 for a high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/15/2019 at 11:14 PM, dmillz25 said: Uff fml. Ima gonna suffer Expand What do I have to say ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/15/2019 at 10:39 PM, forkyfork said: the euro has four days of dewpoints near 80, peaking monday https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/new-jersey/dewpoint-f/20190722-1800z.html Expand Absolutely brutal, upper 90s with 80 dews. We're talking 110-115 heat indices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:21 AM, Snow88 said: What do I have to say ? Expand We both are gonna suffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:21 AM, Snow88 said: What do I have to say ? Expand Tell your CO that you want a patrol car with A/C that functions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:21 AM, Snow88 said: What do I have to say ? Expand Anthony my row house abuts the Kane Street Synagogue. I believe it’s the oldest in Brooklyn. My good neighbor says it best: ”This Too Shall Pass”. As always ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:44 AM, uofmiami said: Ended up with a high of 86.3 for today. Expand On 7/16/2019 at 12:48 AM, psv88 said: 86.3 here as well Expand 86.4 for me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 83.5degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.0]. Should be +4.2[80.5], by the 24th. GFS Meteogram still in a love affair with the 90's-----13 out of the next 16 days, with 3 100's for good measure. Yes we get a cooldown in 9 days, but it won't last. 76.4* here at 6am. 77.4* by 8am. 79.0*, at 9am. Finally overcame sea breeze?, and hit 80 0* at 10:45am. 83.6* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 16, 2019 Author Share Posted July 16, 2019 I put together a list of dewpoint and heat index records around the area. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&month=all&var=max_feel&dpi=100&_fmt=png JFK dewpoint.....84....8-13-16.....heat index....115....7-5-99...7-22-11 EWR dewpoint...84....7-15-95.....heat index....129....7-15-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Holy crap. 129 heat index 7/15/95 at EWR. Don’t think it will get that extreme this weekend, but believe 110-115 is in the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Temps on the move this morning. Current temp 76/DP 64/RH 66% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 10:03 AM, CIK62 said: Next 8 days averaging 83.5degs., or 7degs. AN. Month to date is +2.8[79.0]. Should be +4.2[80.5], by the 24th. GFS Meteogram still in a love affair with the 90's-----13 out of the next 16 days, with 3 100's for good measure. Yes we get a cooldown in 9 days, but it won't last. 76.4* here at 6am. 77.4* by 8am. Expand These stats are useless. Yesterday the Park was 85, coolest in the entire metro area. So the 2.8 is not representative of true departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:30 PM, bluewave said: Saturday is the first time I ever saw the Euro forecast an 86 dewpoint in the Northeast region. The Euro shows numerous days coming up with potential dewpoints of 80 or greater. It looks like a combination of the recent multi-year historic dewpoint spike, record soil moisture over portions of the US, and the tropical moisture surge around and after Barry. Expand Saturday may be the hottest HI day in decades. 100/80? Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 any convection that gets going will have a chance to drop a ton of rain with those dewpoints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:36 PM, psv88 said: Saturday may be the hottest HI day in decades. 100/80? Jesus. Expand Sunday may be a tad warmer than Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 I swear high dew point and heat index graphics are to me what major snowfall graphics are to everyone else here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:24 PM, Cfa said: I swear high dew point and heat index graphics are to me what major snowfall graphics are to everyone else here. Expand Spot on. Bet the under, but it'll be a hot weekend regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 82/66 here as dews start to rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 Already clouds from Barry's remnants pushing through OH and towards PA. WIll be interesting to see how much rain and how high temps can get with mostly cloudy conditions Wed/ THu and 850 temps in the 22-24 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:26 PM, IrishRob17 said: Spot on. Bet the under, but it'll be a hot weekend regardless. Expand Temps and dews have been under forecast all week (other than the park). When heat comes in July you buy, in August you sell. I go with the sun angle theory, models underestimate surface warming in mid summer, over estimate in late summer. But what do i know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:30 PM, bluewave said: Saturday is the first time I ever saw the Euro forecast an 86 dewpoint in the Northeast region. The Euro shows numerous days coming up with potential dewpoints of 80 or greater. It looks like a combination of the recent multi-year historic dewpoint spike, record soil moisture over portions of the US, and the tropical moisture surge around and after Barry. Expand if this holds we'll have higher heat indices than in 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:32 PM, psv88 said: Temps and dews have been under forecast all week (other than the park). When heat comes in July you buy, in August you sell. I go with the sun angle theory, models underestimate surface warming in mid summer, over estimate in late summer. But what do i know Expand Agreed, we both know very little LOL. It will be quite memorable if mid 80 dew points verify in PA and NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 tropical storms moving north usually bring tropical heat with them...we are going to be in its sw flow so hopefully there won't be any power failures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 1:32 PM, psv88 said: Temps and dews have been under forecast all week (other than the park). When heat comes in July you buy, in August you sell. I go with the sun angle theory, models underestimate surface warming in mid summer, over estimate in late summer. But what do i know Expand I agree. Averages start to drop off fairly steadily once past 8/10 or so as does sun angle and loss of daylight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 12:36 PM, psv88 said: Saturday may be the hottest HI day in decades. 100/80? Jesus. Expand Sounds Dubaish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 The 6z GFS is a lot less aggressive with dews, low to mid 70s across the area. The 6z also cuts the worst heat off after Saturday, I'm interested to see if that becomes a trend or if its just a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 The nam brings in the heavy convection tomorrow night while Thursday is largely dry now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted July 16, 2019 Share Posted July 16, 2019 On 7/16/2019 at 2:45 PM, Gravity Wave said: The 6z GFS is a lot less aggressive with dews, low to mid 70s across the area. The 6z also cuts the worst heat off after Saturday, I'm interested to see if that becomes a trend or if its just a blip. Expand I have been looking at DP forecasts over the last week or so and have noticed that the GFS in general seems to go less aggressive vs. the Euro. Is this a known GFS or Euro bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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