Torch Tiger Posted June 1, 2019 Share Posted June 1, 2019 We should see a fairly active PM as a strong cold front and near record cold mid-level temps approach by Sunday night. SW flow will likely stick a fork in stronger storms over much of E/SE areas but there may be enough elevated instability and forcing to maintain a few storms there as well. Severe threat seems pretty low overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 1, 2019 Share Posted June 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 1, 2019 Author Share Posted June 1, 2019 Spc is pretty gung-ho all things considered. ...Northeast/Mid Atlantic... A longwave upper trough will deepen over the Northeast and Mid Atlantic on Sunday, as individual vorticity maxima rotate through the mean trough position. A surface low should deepen and move northeastward across southern Quebec during the afternoon, as a trailing cold front sweeps through the Northeast/Mid Atlantic during the afternoon and evening. While cloud cover from weakening overnight convection may tend to limit insolation over portions of the area, sufficient heating and low-level moisture (dewpoints in the mid 50s to lower 60s F) should result in the development of moderate buoyancy in advance of the cold front by afternoon. Effective shear of 35-45 kt will support some organized structures; linear modes are most likely given that the primary focusing mechanism will be along the cold front, though any pre-frontal development will have some supercell potential. Damaging wind will likely be the primary threat, though any discrete storms will also have some potential for hail and perhaps a tornado. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 1, 2019 Share Posted June 1, 2019 Been interested in this for several days. Pretty decent under the radar setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 1, 2019 Share Posted June 1, 2019 Ugh we will see, but severe season has been pretty meh so far.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 I can always hope... I bought a lightning detection add-on board for an Arduino microcontroller last year and never did get it operational. Had a few storms go by, but no response from the board that I could identify as representing a lightning strike. Maybe I should hook it up again ahead of potential fireworks later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 "western" new england is very fortuitously avoiding this cloud contamination. They have a 100 mile by roughly 100 mile sky light they're using to generate some SB CAPE out that way ... Seen this more times than can be counted over the years... where the curse of the Southern New England peninsula pans a cloud deck that appears to be almost be disconnected from weather charts.. Although in this case, there's a definitive near coastal low that's apparently set up this deform band of clouds over eastern regions. I'm not sure looking at various modeling ...that happenstance factor was really modeled too well. I suspect it wasn't? Most forecasts I heard formulated spoke of partial sun during the morning ... which so far is a pretty clear over-assessment. Sky is brightening though...and sat does show some schisms beginning to crack through so perhaps we'll get a murk recovery going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Likely going to SW NH this afternoon! First storm chase of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Likely going to SW NH this afternoon! First storm chase of the season Going to head up to the Quabbin Tower area when it starts. Amazing views to the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Just now, PowderBeard said: Going to head up to the Quabbin Tower area when it starts. Amazing views to the north and west. Thinking of going near Keene...like Swanzey area...about a mile south of Keene. Excellent wide open view to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 2, 2019 Author Share Posted June 2, 2019 I am headed right to my backyard with an IPA and watching the storms find their graveyard east of orh. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 47 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Likely going to SW NH this afternoon! First storm chase of the season Although slight risk is extended east almost to me, the marine layer is strong over me. 54F and low clouds. T storm graveyard here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 27 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thinking of going near Keene...like Swanzey area...about a mile south of Keene. Excellent wide open view to the west Too Far East . And on a very marginal day anyway. If there’s gonna be severe it’s the Berks. That’s it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 30 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thinking of going near Keene...like Swanzey area...about a mile south of Keene. Excellent wide open view to the west Another great spot. Why not make the quick hike up Monadnock? lol Goshen Fire Tower in DAR is another amazing spot. They actually still have an amazing scar trail from an F1/F2 from a few years ago through the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Slight risk is pushed east into NH but it is very cool with low clouds and marine layer. I don't see severe storms getting very far east. It's Conn River west into Vermont. Maybe SW NH does better but not me unless there is quick clearing in next hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Like 85% sun here in west Hartford....staying put.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 2, 2019 Author Share Posted June 2, 2019 68.5 for the high, down to 67.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 74 beautiful degrees. Maybe some thunder...maybe in a few hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: 74 beautiful degrees. Maybe some thunder...maybe in a few hours... Ya.....100% sun....glorious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 2, 2019 Author Share Posted June 2, 2019 Small couplet on that cell entering w ma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radiator Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 3 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Likely going to SW NH this afternoon! First storm chase of the season Would that be at the airport, or at the fairgrounds, or somewhere else? (I had a second home outside of Keene in the small town of Nelson a few years back, and explored the area quite a bit, but somehow never thought to go looking for good thunderstorm observation locations.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, radiator said: Would that be at the airport, or at the fairgrounds, or somewhere else? (I had a second home outside of Keene in the small town of Nelson a few years back, and explored the area quite a bit, but somehow never thought to go looking for good thunderstorm observation locations.) Just got to Keene airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Nice tower going up to my north. Something's popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Warning!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 These winds are pretty strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Probably missing hail by a few miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 HOLY CRAP...incredibly close CG. Heard the crash before the flash went away. One of those sounds too of something (probably a tree) exploding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Glad coastalwx is up here to share in this misery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 2, 2019 Author Share Posted June 2, 2019 Getting some vivid lightning in Dunstable ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Rumbles and rain. On the southern edge of the Northern Worcester county warned cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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