wxdude64 Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 Can we lock this in thru Sept please? 45.5/43.9 this am.....oustanding! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 12 hours ago, losetoa6 said: With this blocking setup I wonder if we don't get a low to cutoff under us and crush us with rain for days if it came together right . Before the 20th of June we'll have a flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 My just brewed hot coffee will not even stay warm outside. I LOVE THIS WEATHER !!!!! Also, I don't see any bugs. Dropped to 47 degrees here as the low last night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 Nearest PWS says low of 41F this morning I dont think I believe that, but it was mother****ing nice!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 BWI tied the record low of 46 set in 1964. IMBY was a low of 50. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 4, 2019 Share Posted June 4, 2019 Hit 39 here. Currently 64 with full sun. Good day to get this landscaping done. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 5, 2019 Share Posted June 5, 2019 20 hours ago, losetoa6 said: My thoughts as well . At least isolated chances especially between day 6 to day 10 . Some Gefs members starting to show the potential for multiple slow moving waves of low pressure in the above time frame . 18z FV3 also was a pretty wet run for the east US thru day 10 . I bet models throw out some juiced scenarios in the coming days with the pattern coming up . And a cutoff low is always a potential with this blocking . Beats tracking sunny and 85 Big rain potential early next week, surprise , surprise https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd a lot of this is day 6 and 7 for us 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 5, 2019 Share Posted June 5, 2019 LWX afternoon AFD hitting on the heavy rain threat starting Sunday into next week: Quote LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A upper level low will move to our south in the southeastern US. A Frontal boundary will be situated over Georgia and South Carolina on Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms will remain situated over the carolinas and Georgia. Temperatures will be mild in the upper 60s to mid 70s. The upper level low will start to break down and merged with the larger upper level flow Sunday through Tuesday. Shortwave energies will eject from the upper low and move through our region. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be possible Sunday through Monday. A cold front is forecast to move through our region late Monday into Tuesday and bring more widespread showers and thunderstorms. As continued showers and thunderstorms will be possible Sunday through Tuesday, the region could be in for a flood threat. At this time we will need to continue the monitor the model trends to see if they start to show agreement. Temperatures during this period will remain mild in the mid 70s to low 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 5, 2019 Share Posted June 5, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: LWX afternoon AFD hitting on the heavy rain threat starting Sunday into next week: Quote Meanwhile the rain that was moving our way today on the radar, has dissapated significantly. While Dewey Beach and Southern most locations are getting strong storms. Need to go water veggies now, boooo ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted June 5, 2019 Share Posted June 5, 2019 today's weather is an example of how legendary the humidity here can be. less than 24 hrs ago, it felt like the colorado mountains. today is back to what we do best. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted June 5, 2019 Share Posted June 5, 2019 30 minutes ago, frd said: Meanwhile the rain that was moving our way today on the radar, has dissapated significantly. While Dewey Beach and Southern most locations are getting strong storms. Need to go water veggies now, boooo ! The storms did miss us to the south but the worst part was the 15,000 feet cloud top crapvection where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 51 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Just one op run but Gfs 6z shows several inches of rain through day 7 esp in the southern reaches of the forum . Most falls day 5-7 Push that north and west 50 miles and we would be golden. Seems like an oddly familiar map in winter lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 Moderate rain here now, a thread the needle scenario. I will take it ! Normally we miss to the South Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Just one op run but Gfs 6z shows several inches of rain through day 7 esp in the southern reaches of the forum . Most falls day 5-7 The Euro supports this, but focused more to our South. WPC seems to echo that idea. GA has been so dry with the extreme heat lately, and after this, so much for a powerful inland heat ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 20 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: @frd Yea...Va on south look favored right now but I'm interested to see when we get in short range what the meso models spit out . If they show multiple waves kicked out our way from the ull...and more importantly do they make it this far north . There could be some training setups Wouldn’t take much to cause problems around here even if we have trended dryer recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 @losetoa6 yep, certainly possible and also a deep feed of tropical moisture. Appears afterward we enter a period of nice weather with a general NW flow. Not as cool as the Midwest ( below normal there by 3 to 6 degrees maybe ), but no extreme heat in sight in the East . Also, looks like West Coast high pressure builds later in the 6 to 10 day period, and a rise in the PNA. Meanwhile the Newfoundland cold pool persists and the NAO remains negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 1 hour ago, frd said: @losetoa6 yep, certainly possible and also a deep feed of tropical moisture. Appears afterward we enter a period of nice weather with a general NW flow. Not as cool as the Midwest ( below normal there by 3 to 6 degrees maybe ), but no extreme heat in site in the East . Also, looks like West Coast high pressure builds later in the 6 to 10 day period, and a rise in the PNA. Meanwhile the Newfoundland cold pool persists and the NAO remains negative. Well, it is the third week since I planted grass. It looks pitiful. So, this expected monsoon is a little too late. The early heatwave with the multiple misses of soaking rain in my backyard has done its damage. I'll wait for the fall to plant again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 1 hour ago, adelphi_sky said: Well, it is the third week since I planted grass. It looks pitiful. So, this expected monsoon is a little too late. The early heatwave with the multiple misses of soaking rain in my backyard has done its damage. I'll wait for the fall to plant again. That is a good idea. It is normally is recommended to over-seed, and or plant new lawns in the fall when the nights are longer, the sun less strong, there is more frequent dew. The issue is even if your grass germinated there is no assurance it will survive July and August and even Septermber can be brutal too. I recommend you aerate any area you want to over seed in the Fall. If a new lawn follow typical instructions. Good luck ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 6, 2019 Share Posted June 6, 2019 14 minutes ago, frd said: That is a good idea. It is normally is recommended to over-seed, and or plant new lawns in the fall when the nights are longer, the sun less strong, there is more frequent dew. The issue is even if your grass germinated there is no assurance it will survive July and August and even Septermber can be brutal too. I recommend you aerate any area you want to over seed in the Fall. If a new lawn follow typical instructions. Good luck ! You also get a lot of root growth throughout the winter which is probably the most important thing for new grass in our summers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 Aerating made a huge difference for my lawn. Did it last fall and then overseeded and came in very well this spring. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 Easterly flow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Posting here because it's not tropical but tomorrow might be a little interesting for those along the coast. Guidance develops a weak surface low off the coast of NC/VA and pushes it into the coast this weekend. Nothing too exciting but this time of year breezy and wet excites me. Hopefully we get a nice little swirl going on GOES-16. That's right in my backyard. We've had some pretty cool thunderstorms the past week or so down here on the shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: If we could get some nice training feeder bands along with these high pwats it could produce some gully washers maby 3k Sunday am Radar around the same time I'd give my first born for that rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inthepines Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 30 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I'd give my first born for that rain. Keep it away!! The Bay is just starting to recover from the insane amount of rain we had this past year. The rain has been terrible for the bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icefishingrocks Posted June 7, 2019 Share Posted June 7, 2019 It would be nice to get a steady light rain from time to time, but enough of the 3" monsoons for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 8, 2019 Share Posted June 8, 2019 2 hours ago, Inthepines said: Keep it away!! The Bay is just starting to recover from the insane amount of rain we had this past year. The rain has been terrible for the bay. Amen! It’s the summer...please give me sun and 80s. Overcast/deluges/unsettled patterns SUCK this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 8, 2019 Share Posted June 8, 2019 I'm old enough to remember when 1" - 2" of rain wasn't considered a big deal. Really looking less impressive with each day ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted June 8, 2019 Share Posted June 8, 2019 44 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12z 3k brings your mini low lol ...right up the bay to Bob Chills yard . Looks like the broad ull in the south lassos it in and right up the bay Well is it a sub-tropical entity? Good candidate for post-season reanalysis. Regardless it's very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted June 8, 2019 Share Posted June 8, 2019 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm old enough to remember when 1" - 2" of rain wasn't considered a big deal. Really looking less impressive with each day ..... The NWS doesn’t seem to share your same thoughts Large area of isentropic lift and easterly low-level flow for a prolonged period, coupled with PWATs of near 2 inches will result in a heavy rain and flood threat Sunday and Monday, especially for the central Virginia foothills and vicinity. At 7am, 1.70 inches in the past 24hrs was reported already by MontebelloVA along the Blue Ridge in Nelson County. Anticipating issuing a Flood or Flash Flood Watch on this shift after the 12z modeling rolls in and can be evaluated. Expecting Flood will be the more widespread threat from inundation, with pockets of Flash Flooding under heavier convective, possibly terrain locked, elements. Finer scale details will continue to come into better focus over the coming day or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted June 8, 2019 Share Posted June 8, 2019 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm old enough to remember when 1" - 2" of rain wasn't considered a big deal. Really looking less impressive with each day ..... Back in your day every square inch of the metro area wasn't paved over or built on. Much less open space to capture run off these days. No one cares when a field floods. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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