NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Reports of baseball sized hail now and several tornado warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 you can see the warm sector starting to poke into union county on radar. the blue fuzzy area https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0Q-1-12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Current temp 69/DP 65/RH 84% Picked up 0.13" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Two big supercells all alone in Eastern PA right now, both tornado warned. Both have a legit shot of making it into the Philly metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Sounds crazy, but it is not out of the realm of possibilities that the tornado threat extends further east into NE NJ and the NYC area. It is not likely that will happen but some signs are starting to hint at that along the boundary around 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 The 18z 3k NAM takes the development NW of Scranton and brings it Southeast towards the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Clearing and up to 74 sw union county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Clearing and up to 74 sw union county just started getting breaks in springfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 No real change to the latest SPC convective outlook. Still a slight risk to the NJ/NY border and an enhanced risk for the Western half of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Suns out now and temp up to 77F, getting increasingly unstable in a hurry, maybe we won't bust this time. Impressive activity in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 24 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The 18z 3k NAM takes the development NW of Scranton and brings it Southeast towards the area. Activity beginning to develop along the Pa/NY state line just to the west of KGBM. We'll see if it can survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 82 in Bridgewater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Clearing here in Brooklyn now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1133458403379089408?s=21 Ryan says since we are near boundary we might have good chance at some significant severe storms later. Storms do like to ride the warm front boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Still 68° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillycane Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Sun completely out now with some blue skies here in the UES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Temp up to 71/DP 67/RH 82% **Edit** Temp has just jumped to 74 here now w/partly sunny skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Still socked into the clouds here in Ramsey, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 12 minutes ago, Phillycane said: Sun completely out now with some blue skies here in the UES Think you would be better off back in philly for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillycane Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Think you would be better off back in philly for this one Yea they are looking good down there. Hoping for something interesting up this way, we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Cell in NE PA should have a tornado warning on it. TDS showing up w/ 1-2 velocity scans showing a probable tornado. that cluster should end up riding the differential heating boundary/CAPE gradient/modified warm front SE towards us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Cell in NE PA should have a tornado warning on it. TDS showing up w/ 1-2 velocity scans showing a probable tornado. that cluster should end up riding the differential heating boundary/CAPE gradient/modified warm front SE towards us. Good call Tornado Warning PAC015-115-131-282130- /O.NEW.KBGM.TO.W.0012.190528T2057Z-190528T2130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Binghamton NY 457 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Susquehanna County in northeastern Pennsylvania... Northeastern Bradford County in northeastern Pennsylvania... North central Wyoming County in northeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 457 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Rome, or near Towanda, moving southeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Herrickville around 510 PM EDT. Herrick, Le Raysville and Brushville around 515 PM EDT. Wyalusing and Camptown around 520 PM EDT. Rushville around 525 PM EDT. Rush, Laceyville and Auburn Center around 530 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Mesoscale Discussion 859 < Previous MD Next MD > Mesoscale Discussion 0859 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 PM CDT Tue May 28 2019 Areas affected...much of Pennsylvania...portions of New Jersey Concerning...Tornado Watch 274... Valid 282043Z - 282245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 274 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW274 with very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and tornadoes remaining possible. DISCUSSION...Per radar imagery, multiple discrete supercells are tracking east-southeast across Pennsylvania. Some of these supercells have a history of large hail and damaging winds and the potential for severe hail/wind remains. Mid/low-level rotation has been observed in a few of these supercells via KPBZ/KCCX indicating the potential for tornadoes. The storm environment still remains conducive for supercell development/maintenance with MLCAPE of 2000+ J/kg and effective bulk shear of 35-55 knots. Additionally, the strongest supercells have shown more southeastward movement enhancing low-level SRH (200+ m2/s2). These storms should continue moving east-southeast into the evening and there is potential for upscale growth into a QLCS, which would increase the severe wind potential across eastern/southern portions of the watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Cell in NE PA should have a tornado warning on it. TDS showing up w/ 1-2 velocity scans showing a probable tornado. that cluster should end up riding the differential heating boundary/CAPE gradient/modified warm front SE towards us. Yeah, first tornado warned cell from the cluster of storms which will head toward NYC later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Cloudy here and 71 in NW Union county. Sun peeked out for a bit but went back to overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Current temp 76/DP 69/RH 80% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 that scranton cell is legit, new nader warning delware county, ny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 552 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 PAC015-069-131-282215- /O.CON.KBGM.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190528T2215Z/ Lackawanna PA-Bradford PA-Wyoming PA- 552 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM EDT FOR NORTHWESTERN LACKAWANNA...SOUTHEASTERN BRADFORD AND CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTIES... At 549 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Meshoppen, or 7 miles northwest of Tunkhannock. Another severe thunderstorm was located near Wyalusing. Both thunderstorms were moving southeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. At 543 pm, a funnel cloud was reported in the Laceyville area in northern Wyoming County. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Tunkhannock, Lake Carey and Evans Falls around 600 PM EDT. Osterhout around 605 PM EDT. Falls around 610 PM EDT. Waverly, Dalton and Factoryville around 615 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Additional statements will be issued as conditions warrant. && LAT...LON 4165 7626 4169 7616 4168 7611 4164 7611 4164 7598 4156 7565 4142 7583 4140 7594 TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 299DEG 32KT 4161 7606 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.50IN $$ DAB Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 551 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 NYC025-PAC127-282200- /O.CON.KBGM.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-190528T2200Z/ Delaware NY-Wayne PA- 551 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE AND NORTH CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTIES... At 551 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Hancock, or 7 miles southeast of Deposit, moving southeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Hancock around 555 PM EDT. Fishs Eddy, East Branch and Peabrook around 600 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4190 7508 4182 7517 4198 7539 4200 7538 4200 7536 4201 7538 4205 7535 4201 7505 4200 7501 TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 297DEG 35KT 4199 7531 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...0.00IN $$ JRK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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