Hurricane Agnes Posted June 16, 2019 Share Posted June 16, 2019 Looks like the main line (and its remnants) have pretty much cleared my area and I ended up with 0.22" of rain so far today. Current temp is 72 and it's partly sunny (but with a heavy cloud deck that the sun is has been peeping through) and soupy out with dews in the upper 60s/low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 17, 2019 Author Share Posted June 17, 2019 Dews have come up quite a bit that's for sure. Sounds like the stage is set for heavy rain/storms the next several days. Current temp 72/DP 69/RH 89% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 17, 2019 Author Share Posted June 17, 2019 S NJ seems to be in the hot zone for storms right now and that looks to continue for today as they are in a slight risk on the new day 1 outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 17, 2019 Author Share Posted June 17, 2019 Flash Flood Watch is effect here from noon today thru late tonight but I think the best heavy rain/storms may be from Philly south but we will see how the day plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 17, 2019 Author Share Posted June 17, 2019 Current temp 76/DP 69/RH 75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Flash Flood Watch extended until late tonight for my area, also a marginal risk for severe storms today which could be upgraded in later outlooks according to the SPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 3 hours ago, Rtd208 said: Flash Flood Watch extended until late tonight for my area, also a marginal risk for severe storms today which could be upgraded in later outlooks according to the SPC. Heavy hit of rain here around 5:30 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 SPC has the area in a slight risk today with the mention of the possibility for a few tornado's. ML cape is already in the 500-1000 range and that is despite the cloud cover. RAP and HRRR have ml cape getting into the 1500-2000 range which is pretty potent. Dew points already around 70F across the area. Today could end up surprising severe wise, though the main threat still looks to be heavy rain with PWAT's around 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treckasec Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 hour ago, The Iceman said: SPC has the area in a slight risk today with the mention of the possibility for a few tornado's. ML cape is already in the 500-1000 range and that is despite the cloud cover. RAP and HRRR have ml cape getting into the 1500-2000 range which is pretty potent. Dew points already around 70F across the area. Today could end up surprising severe wise, though the main threat still looks to be heavy rain with PWAT's around 2". I usually expect a tempered threat for severe thunderstorms when the atmosphere is as saturated as it is today, since updrafts are weakened by having to lift air with a high moisture content, and without any pockets of drier air to get entrained in the storm to produce downbursts and gustier winds in storms, more thunderstorms end up being garden-variety than not. With that said, veering low-level winds in the area might allow for isolated supercellular storms & a brief tornado, though garden-variety storms and downpours should be the "main storm mode" today... Convective allowing models such as the NAMs, HRRR, and the WRFs have been showing some line segments of storms forming, with possible bowing structures... Though there isn't any dry air aloft to enhance downdrafts, there can still be strong/severe wind gusts in storms—particularly when segments of storms bow out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Over the past two hours, Allentown has picked up 1.00" rain. That brings Allentown's year-to-date precipitation to 28.85". As a result, 1941 remains Allentown's driest year on record. Then, 28.76" that fell during the entire year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Looks like I am about to get in on some heavy rain here shortly. Current temp 75/DP 70/RH 83% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 It looks to me like the best area for severe potential maybe be from about New Brunswick south with heavy rain/strong storms possible north of there. Have to see how the rest of the afternoon/evening plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Pouring here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Just to the north has been getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 I have picked up 1.09" of rain so far today with what looks like more to come. Current temp 70/DP 68/RH 92% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 hours ago, Rtd208 said: I have picked up 1.09" of rain so far today with what looks like more to come. Current temp 70/DP 68/RH 92% Monsoon rains the last 35 minutes. I would have to guess close to 2 inches the way everything is flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Moderate to heavy rain falling here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Up to 1.74" of rain so far today with moderate to heavy rain falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 6 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Over the past two hours, Allentown has picked up 1.00" rain. That brings Allentown's year-to-date precipitation to 28.85". As a result, 1941 remains Allentown's driest year on record. Then, 28.76" that fell during the entire year. If the pattern continues, Allentown is on pace for another 60 inch season which is quite impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Voyager said: If the pattern continues, Allentown is on pace for another 60 inch season which is quite impressive. At least that record isn't in Jeopardy eh I was growing concerned for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 1 hour ago, Voyager said: If the pattern continues, Allentown is on pace for another 60 inch season which is quite impressive. That would be very impressive. Since 1912, Allentown has had only 3 years when 60" or more precipitation was recorded: 1952: 67.69" 2011: 71.72" 2018: 66.96" Historically (1912-2018), Allentown has averaged 44.40" precipitation. However, the 2000-2018 period has averaged 48.38" and the 2010-2018 period has averaged 49.83". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 1.75" this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 30 minutes ago, RedSky said: At least that record isn't in Jeopardy eh I was growing concerned for them 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: That would be very impressive. Since 1912, Allentown has had only 3 years when 60" or more precipitation was recorded: 1952: 67.69" 2011: 71.72" 2018: 66.96" Historically (1912-2018), Allentown has averaged 44.40" precipitation. However, the 2000-2018 period has averaged 48.38" and the 2010-2018 period has averaged 49.83". It's definitely trending wetter here in Eastern PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 19, 2019 Author Share Posted June 19, 2019 Picked up 1.99" of rain for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 19, 2019 Author Share Posted June 19, 2019 Another day with a Flash Flood Watch in effect for my area from noon thru late tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 9 hours ago, Voyager said: It's definitely trending wetter here in Eastern PA. It's just to bad we can't get that way above average precip. in the winter months when the cold is around! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 Another Flash flood watch, with virtually no rain just clouds and sun, just over .25 since Monday Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 1.20" here since Monday. We had about 2 minutes of sunshine since Sunday. What total waste of 4 days off from work... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 On 6/13/2019 at 11:55 PM, Ginx snewx said: Wow - short but intense. Wife and I were watching 6 of our 7 grandkids about 8 miles SSE from there while dad/mom were on an anniversary date (with the still-nursing 7th.) Tor-warn came over cell phones and we pondered a to-cellar move while I went out for a look (3x.) Little rain, no wind, no thunder, so we stayed put. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 19, 2019 Share Posted June 19, 2019 21 hours ago, RedSky said: Just to the north has been getting crushed Had a regular toad-strangler in Mahwah/Suffern (NNJ/SNY) around 11 AM yesterday while looking for Good Sam hospital in the latter town. High gear wipers couldn't compete, visibility 100 yards at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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