Rtd208 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Post them here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Really the only wild card seems to be how well we recover from this morning rain and cloud cover for today's severe threat. Mount Holly continues to become more and more concerned on their 8am update: Additionally, given the fairly quick movement of the line of showers/storms, concern continues to increase that the post-storm environment will quickly recover/destabilize to support a potentially significant severe threat this afternoon/evening, especially south of I-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 29 minutes ago, Newman said: Really the only wild card seems to be how well we recover from this morning rain and cloud cover for today's severe threat. Mount Holly continues to become more and more concerned on their 8am update: Additionally, given the fairly quick movement of the line of showers/storms, concern continues to increase that the post-storm environment will quickly recover/destabilize to support a potentially significant severe threat this afternoon/evening, especially south of I-78. Yeah if the sun comes out later this morning and the temp shoots up, it will be a soupy mess out there and ripe for storms.... although that remnant MCS line sortof fizzled as it moved east. So far have 0.12" from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 RAP supercell composite is nuts for our area later. Just need the sun to come out and I'll believe this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0852.html Looking like it could be an interesting afternoon and evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, Newman said: RAP supercell composite is nuts for our area later. Just need the sun to come out and I'll believe this: suns right on the doorstep it appears... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Anybody have a link to where I can find that GOES visible radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Tornado watch has been issued: * Tornado Watch for portions of Western New Jersey Extreme east central Ohio Pennsylvania The extreme northern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon from Ohio into Pennsylvania, and storms will spread generally eastward through this evening. The storm environment will be favorable for supercells capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. A more favorable environment for tornadoes is expected across northern and eastern Pennsylvania into western New Jersey as the low levels destabilize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, bluehens said: Anybody have a link to where I can find that GOES visible radar? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Newman said: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Meanwhile at my location in Jersey a strong chance of drizzle lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 I just want to some decent rain. Can't believe I am saying that but its dry in the backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 78 with a Dp72 and partly sunny and humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Mesoscale discussion... Quote SUMMARY...Storms are expected to develop this afternoon and will likely become severe. Large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible. A tornado watch will likely be issued in the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...A belt of enhanced mid-level westerly flow of 50-70 knots is stretching across the Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast. A shortwave trough embedded within this zonal flow currently entering the Great Lakes region will move eastward throughout the day helping to provide forcing for ascent and strengthen deep layer shear. A surface low is located just east-southeast of Buffalo, NY with a warm front stretching to the southeast through northeast PA and central NJ. This warm front should lift east-northeast with the surface low forecast to track generally eastward. The Cu field is becoming increasingly agitated within the warm sector and storms are likely to develop in the next couple of hours. Storms are likely to develop across west/central PA and move east-southeast during the afternoon and evening into portions of NJ/MD/DE/southern NY. Supercell development is likely and few storms may remain discrete. Low-level veering is better to south/east across the region, but flow/shear is stronger farther to the north. Large hail is possible given forecast MLCAPE of 1500-3000 J/kg and effective bulk shear of 35-50 knots. Additionally, strong synoptic winds and steepening low-level lapse rates, especially where strong insolation occurs, will increase the severe wind threat. Tornadoes are possible as well, especially for storms that exhibit more southeast movement, which will maximize SRH per observed/forecast soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 sun is out in Trenton. Should see several hours of warming. dew point already 68F. Temp is shooting up as well up to 77F up from 72F under the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Full sun now finally in Wilmington DE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Radar is popping storms like crazy out west in PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 supercell composite building considerably in the last hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 This could be one interesting evening. The discrete supercells moving in a SE motion will only help with rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 28, 2019 Author Share Posted May 28, 2019 Current temp 69/DP 65/RH 84% Picked up 0.13" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Sun finally popped out for an extended time a couple hours ago and the temps responded. Currently up 80 with a juicy dp of 66. I saw tornado warnings going on in north central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 53 minutes ago, Newman said: This could be one interesting evening. The discrete supercells moving in a SE motion will only help with rotation. That cell moving through Schuylkill has its sights on you and I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, penndotguy said: That cell moving through Schuylkill has its sights on you and I Yeah decent rotation and a nice hail core. Should bear down on western Berks soon. Get ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Newman said: Yeah decent rotation and a nice hail core. Should bear down on western Berks soon. Get ready! They have a warning, its getting awfully dark over thatway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Newman said: Yeah decent rotation and a nice hail core. Should bear down on western Berks soon. Get ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, Hurricane Agnes said: Im right in the center of that cone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, penndotguy said: Im right in the center of that cone You might get cored. It appears to be slightly weakening at least. But still the T-storm warning is for ping pong ball sized hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 3 hours ago, Newman said: RAP supercell composite is nuts for our area later. Just need the sun to come out and I'll believe this: Looks pretty accurate when you see how the radar looks now. Got a MIL in upper Darby who thinks nothing is ever gonna happen there. Hope she is paying attention to what's over the state right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Newman said: You might get cored. It appears to be slightly weakening at least. But still the T-storm warning is for ping pong ball sized hail. Yeah it looks like another cell on it's heels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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