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June 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   FAIR      87  54  32 VRB5      30.14R
Bronx Lehman C   N/A     90  55  31 NW8         N/A
LaGuardia Arpt FAIR      87  56  34 NW13      30.09S
Queens College   N/A     88  55  33 NW10        N/A
Kennedy Intl   FAIR      90  61  37 W10       30.10F HX  90
Breezy Point   NOT AVBL
Brooklyn Coll    N/A     90  52  27 W12         N/A
Staten Island    N/A     90  54  29 NW9         N/A
Newark/Liberty FAIR      90  54  29 W10G20    30.10S
Teterboro      FAIR      89  56  32 W9G17     30.10R

 

LGA and Central Park both drop a degree to 87.

However LGA has a high of 90 already in between observations. The Park 89.

JFK got there 90 too. Wall St heliport 91. Most of NYS Mesonet sites at the CUNY schools are 90. I keep rising at 92. As of now, every corner of the city has touched 90 at some point, except that spot deep in the middle of central park.

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The most impressive part of this late June heatwave was to our south. Miami tied their June highest temperature of 98 degrees. 

Time Series Summary for MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AP, FL - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 98 4
- 2009 98 0
- 1985 98 0
- 1944 98 0

https://mobile.twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/1144016117746327554?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1144016117746327554&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fweather%2F2019%2F06%2F26%2Ftemperature-records-are-melting-away-miami%2F

Unprecedented. That's how I can best describe the #heatwave in #Miami. Four records in 4 days (asterisks). Ten heat records this month. And setting the new record for highest number of days of 95°+ in the first half of a calendar year (8). The old record was 6. #climate

 

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16 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The most impressive part of this late June heatwave was to our south. Miami tied their June highest temperature of 98 degrees. 

Time Series Summary for MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AP, FL - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2019 98 4
- 2009 98 0
- 1985 98 0
- 1944 98 0

https://mobile.twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/1144016117746327554?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^1144016117746327554&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Fweather%2F2019%2F06%2F26%2Ftemperature-records-are-melting-away-miami%2F

Unprecedented. That's how I can best describe the #heatwave in #Miami. Four records in 4 days (asterisks). Ten heat records this month. And setting the new record for highest number of days of 95°+ in the first half of a calendar year (8). The old record was 6. #climate

 

I was reading about this. Impressive. Doesnt stray from 88-92 much down there all summer. Of course with stifling humidity.

 

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3 hours ago, dWave said:

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
Central Park   FAIR      87  54  32 VRB5      30.14R
Bronx Lehman C   N/A     90  55  31 NW8         N/A
LaGuardia Arpt FAIR      87  56  34 NW13      30.09S
Queens College   N/A     88  55  33 NW10        N/A
Kennedy Intl   FAIR      90  61  37 W10       30.10F HX  90
Breezy Point   NOT AVBL
Brooklyn Coll    N/A     90  52  27 W12         N/A
Staten Island    N/A     90  54  29 NW9         N/A
Newark/Liberty FAIR      90  54  29 W10G20    30.10S
Teterboro      FAIR      89  56  32 W9G17     30.10R

 

LGA and Central Park both drop a degree to 87.

However LGA has a high of 90 already in between observations. The Park 89.

JFK got there 90 too. Wall St heliport 91. Most of NYS Mesonet sites at the CUNY schools are 90. I keep rising at 92. As of now, every corner of the city has touched 90 at some point, except that spot deep in the middle of central park.

Yeah a high of 91 here in Williamsburg Brooklyn 

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The historic June heat wave of 2019 continued to fry a region stretching from the Middle East to Europe today. Select high temperatures included: Aurillac, France: 99° (June record); Bolzano, Italy: 104° (Tied June and all-time record); Brive France: 102° (all-time record); Ferrara, Italy: 102° (June record); Innsbruck: 97° (Tied June record); La Roche, France: 102° (Tied all-time record); Latina, Italy: 99° (June record); Le Luc, France: 104° (June record); Le Puy, France: 99° (Tied all-time record); Lugano, Switzerland: 99° (Tied all-time record); Marseille, France: 100° (Tied June record); Milan: 97° (June record); Monte Malanotte, Italy: 104° (all-time record); Nantes, France: 102° (June record); Nevers, France: 102° (June record); Nimes, France: 100° (Tied June record); Orange, France: 104° (June record); Pamplona: 102° (Tied June record); Saint Yan, France: 104° (Tied all-time record); Torrejon, Spain: 104° (Tied June record); Toulouse, France: 104° (June record); and, Verona, Italy: 100° (June record).

More fiery heat is likely tomorrow into the weekend.

Back in the Northeast, New York City made a run at 90°, but fell just short with a high temperature of 89°. 90s were commonplace. Tomorrow could be a degree or two warmer. Saturday will likely be very warm, as well, but an approaching cold front could trigger strong to possibly severe thunderstorms.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around June 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.02°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions could develop later this month and then continue into at least the first half of July.

The SOI was -30.16 today.

Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.408.

Blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Hence, should blocking generally persist, the prospects of a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer could increase.

With respect to the current month, there were 13 cases where the AO averaged -0.75 or below during the first half of June. The mean temperature for the second half of June usually fell within 1° of normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region (73.6° is normal in New York City). According to the latest guidance, the June 16-30 temperature could finish near 74.8°. As suggested by the guidance and pattern, the closing week of June is seeing some of the warmest temperatures so far this summer.

In addition, since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (as appears likely in 2019): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer.

On June 26, the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.000 (RMM). The June 25-adjusted amplitude was 0.767.

Since 1974 when MJO data was reported, years in which the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for at least two days, as was the case this year, were typically warmer than normal and drier than normal during the first 10 days of July.

Since 1994, there have been 6 cases where the SOI fell to -35.00 or below during the June 16-30 period as occurred on June 21-22. Following such SOI outcomes, the July 1-15 temperature averaged approximately 3.5° above the June 16-30 figure in New York City. Based on the modeled June 16-30 outcome, that would imply that the first half of July would be among the top third warmest first halves of the month on record. In addition, 4/6 (67%) of those cases were followed by an El Niño winter (one was followed by a La Niña winter and one was followed by a neutral ENSO winter).

The implied probability of a warmer than normal June in and around New York City is currently 68%.

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Last 3 days of June are averaging 79degs., or 5degs. AN.

Month to date is  -0.3[70.8].      June should end near  +0.3[71.6].

78.2* here at 6am.  79.7* at 7am.  80.0* by 7:15am.  82.2* by 8am.  82.5* at 9am(crashed a degree right at 9am).  82.7* at 10am.

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