Cfa Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 86 already, 5 degrees ahead of yesterday at this time. You know it’s gonna be hot when you’re already at your forecasted high for the day before 10 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Cfa said: 86 already, 5 degrees ahead of yesterday at this time. You know it’s gonna be hot when you’re already at your forecasted high for the day before 10 AM. same here, 86, still 81 in the park lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 1000AM: EWR: 86 TEB: 85 LGA: 85 BLM: 85 New brnswick: 85 ISP: 84 TTN: 83 JFK: 82 NYC: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 That marine layer just doesn’t want to give up along the New England coast. A lingering piece of the pattern which resulted in our delayed start to summer. Eastern LI is still in the soup with MTP at only 65 degrees. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KMTP&table=1&num=168&banner=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: That marine layer just doesn’t want to give up along the New England coast. A lingering piece of the pattern which resulted in our delayed start to summer. Eastern LI is still in the soup with MTP at only 65 degrees. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KMTP&table=1&num=168&banner=off Wow 23 degree difference between here and Montauk, 88 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Wow 23 degree difference between here and Montauk, 88 now You're 88 already? Geez I'm only 83 in Syosset right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Via Upton: Quote .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The main focus of the long term is the potential for a round of scattered severe thunderstorms on Saturday. The NAM is placing about 4000 J/kg of CAPE across the area. Model timing in the NAM and ECMWF are looking good for an afternoon frontal passage, which would maximize potential. The GFS has residual convection in the morning, which could prove a limiting factor if it does occur. However, this is not supported by the other data, and it is more likely that some morning fog will give way to a hot and unstable day ahead of the front. The NBM was used for temperatures, but this may prove to be too low with guidance perhaps smoothing out the temperature gradient near the front. A second cold frontal passage is progged for Sunday. There will be less potential for explosive convection, and the best dynamics are progged to pass thru ern New England for now. The system is still several days away, and the expected placement of the strong upper low will need to be followed closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, uofmiami said: You're 88 already? Geez I'm only 83 in Syosset right now Is your sensor surrounded by vegetation? ISP was 84 at 10 am, so you should be at least 86. 83 is way too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Via Mt Holly: Quote For Saturday and Sunday...As an upper-level trough overspreads the Northeast, surface low pressure tracks to our north Saturday with an associated weak cold front crossing our region by later in the day. This front is forecast to be clearing our southern areas early Sunday morning. On Saturday, temperatures should be at or a little above Friday`s however dew points will be near 70F in advance of the front. Assuming convection holds off long enough, the combination of the hot temperatures and higher dew points should result in peak heat indices Saturday afternoon approaching 100 degrees in Delmarva and along the urban I-95 corridor. Some showers and thunderstorms are anticipated to accompany the cold front, however coverage is less certain. Strong northwest flow aloft along with ample instability may result in some robust convection Saturday with locally strong wind gusts possible especially if enough organization can occur. Some strong convection may occur Sunday as well given the passage of the trough axis and a strong shortwave. This will be refined as we get closer and resolve the timing and forcing mechanisms better. Despite the cold front clearing our area to start Sunday, the passage of a strong shortwave with the upper- level trough axis should result in some additional showers and thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 27, 2019 Author Share Posted June 27, 2019 Current temp 86/DP 63/RH 43% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 12 minutes ago, uofmiami said: You're 88 already? Geez I'm only 83 in Syosset right now I assume you are this 83 in a sea of 85-89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, psv88 said: Is your sensor surrounded by vegetation? ISP was 84 at 10 am, so you should be at least 86. 83 is way too low. Nope, it's a fan aspirated VP2. Even my parent's house is 85 and that is by pool stones & I need to install new VP2 Pro to replace the old one, that's seen better days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: I assume you are this 83 in a sea of 85-89 I'm the cold spot, go figure. Maybe I'm the only one with a properly mounted sensor, who knows? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, uofmiami said: I'm the cold spot, go figure. Maybe I'm the only one with a properly mounted sensor, who knows? no, because you are even cooler than the ASOS sites further south...your sensor is off. My sensor is in the shade and partially over vegetation (which i watered this morning), 2m off the ground nowhere near any buildings, so there is no way your 83 is accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 I wonder how many aso sensors are off?...are they calibrated routinely?...I liked the old fashion weather box or shelter with room for all my sensors and a mercury min max thermometer...I'm building one now ...this is my old one I had 20 years ago... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Here's a picture of it, can't put in middle of yard as kids would run into it and my wife would kill me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, uofmiami said: Here's a picture of it, can't put in middle of yard as kids would run into it and my wife would kill me. your spinklers go on this morning? ISP and FRG both 85, FOK 84... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 87 at EWR. 3 degrees ahead of yesterday at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: your spinklers go on this morning? ISP and FRG both 85, FOK 84... No, I haven't turned them on yet at all to date. Having system replaced next month and backyard regraded too. I'm now up to 84.8 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Oh boy. here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 1 hour ago, psv88 said: same here, 86, still 81 in the park lol Central Park is a joke, I wonder when the NWS will say enough is enough and either relocate it or clear the surrounding vegetation. Its records are forever tainted. LGA should take over as the official station until the Central Park situation gets fixed. 89 now, 90 is pretty much guaranteed at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Looks like seabreeze already pushing pretty far north in suffolk, earlier than i thought it would, the rapid heating must have caused it to come north faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: The only thing that could limit aerial coverage for us would be the winds going NW too quickly on Saturday. That’s why the latest NAM is dry. But the severe parameters are there if we can hold the moist SW flow longer and get some storms to fire. Still outside the best NAM range. the euro has been consistently holding the wind shift off until later. also the 3km nam is moist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 Just hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 34 minutes ago, uofmiami said: Here's a picture of it, can't put in middle of yard as kids would run into it and my wife would kill me. Looks good...FARS is the way to go with the vantage pro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 I'm not going to be able to track anything on Saturday afternoon as I'll be at a friend's birthday, so you can all expect to have the biggest severe outbreak of the decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 39 minutes ago, Cfa said: Just hit 90. Briefly hit 90 here, 89 now. ISP at 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 87 at the park and 89 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 90 here in Hoboken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 27, 2019 Share Posted June 27, 2019 4,000 CAPE is big time severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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