Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Severe thunderstorm watch for all of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 1 hour ago, NycStormChaser said: Storms should pop off around 4 or 5 from west to east. Dew points could be better but the storms to our south in WV have no problem going severe with dews hovering 60. Mlcape is better down there but everything else looks to be the same for our area. It's not as widespread as the models were showing yesterday however I think a few storms in our area will go severe as well. I mean 1000kj of CAPE and some leftover CIN at peak heating, compared to 2000kj of CAPE is such a big factor that it’s not fair to say the situations are comparable. We need some mid/upper support to come in from the west in order to convect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 First round fizzled so what's the ETA for more activity this afternoon here in the LHV? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Completely cleared out here. Watch till 10pm. Looks like bombs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 13 minutes ago, gravitylover said: First round fizzled so what's the ETA for more activity this afternoon here in the LHV? Sun is out here now and the temp is starting to rise. Most of the activity looks to be confined to areas S of the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 It’s been sunny and relatively warm at Jones beach all day. Water temps are up big time this week. This should help coastal areas with storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Low level lapse rates are quite high. Expect lots of small hail with any storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Today is more of your typical Northeast severe threat with 1000-1500 J/KG of SBCAPE to go along with ~30-40kts of bulk shear and somewhat decent lapse rates. Expect main storm mode to be linear with some multicellular development possible, especially South. One or two supercell structures are also possible. Main threats will be straight line wind damage and some hail. Cannot rule out an isolated brief tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Finally starting to see some deeper towers over Manhattan. so it looks like we finally eroded away the CIN that was around earlier in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s been sunny and relatively warm at Jones beach all day. Water temps are up big time this week. This should help coastal areas with storms. ..its been mostly cloudy with some haze out here..low clouds dominated. all in all not a good beach day out here on the east end..finally cleared, but a little to late for this beachgoer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 35 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Low level lapse rates are quite high. Expect lots of small hail with any storms. low level lapse rates enable strong winds to reach the surface. mid-level lapse rates are what help w/ hail production. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Second sea breeze pop up storm over the North Shore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 58 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s been sunny and relatively warm at Jones beach all day. Water temps are up big time this week. This should help coastal areas with storms. What's the current water temp at Jones Beach? 16 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: low level lapse rates enable strong winds to reach the surface. mid-level lapse rates are what help w/ hail production. When and where? Looks mostly south and maybe west of the city to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Activity quickly firing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Somerset county cell appears to be strengthening. no warning or special wx statement yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Looks like some hail showing up now near Southern Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Heavy rain and some thunder Just got windy as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Watching these pop-up cells from the roof of my building in Manhattan, there looks to be less shear than forecast. The cells are very vertical and look to be raining over their updrafts. Maybe that's why we haven't yet seen linear organization and why convective initiation was later than originally forecast. Updrafts are nice and robust, thought. Plenty of CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Pea sized hail reported in scotch plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Its unlikely but I'd watch that storm in Newark for a quick spin-up. It's riding the collision of two OFBs and is showing broad rotation on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Issued only after it passed through here JZ006-106>108-NYZ072-074-075-176-022145- Hudson-Eastern Union-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Northern Queens-New York (Manhattan)-Richmond (Staten Is.)-Kings (Brooklyn)- 517 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HUDSON...UNION...SOUTHEASTERN ESSEX...QUEENS...RICHMOND...KINGS AND NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTIES... At 516 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Clark, or near Linden, moving east at 35 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Newark, Jersey City, Elizabeth, Flatbush, Bayonne, Hoboken, Linden, Coney Island, Todt Hill, Crown Heights, Huguenot, The Verrazano Narrows Bridge, Canarsie, Bay Ridge and Lower East Side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Second sea breeze pop up storm over the North Shore. I see it from the bx looking toward the Sound...plus T storms just nw over Riverdale/Yonkers and just to the south over LGA. So far here in a small calm spot wit clouds and sun. Ominous skies all around except straight overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 garden variety downpour in jersey city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 The Staten Island mesonet just gusted to 40 mph with the strong cell moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Pouring with some thunder here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 I drove thru that cell to get to the Southside for a timelapse. Can confirm small hail about 20 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Huge rumble of thunder here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Blue skies again as that batch of storms passed through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: The Staten Island mesonet just gusted to 40 mph with the strong cell moving through. Just a quick sunshower as that storm past north of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Looks like that's it until the cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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