NYCweatherNOW Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 A lot of rain coming in today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Slight risk for everyone today except for Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Based on the HRRR, most of our area can expect severe weather today likely in the form of damaging wind. I think hail will be an issue as well all the way to NYC again like last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Looks like we’ll sneak in some nice sunny weather before the storms arrive later. The marine layer also retreated further out east into Suffolk. We have to enjoy the sun when we can get it in this pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like we’ll sneak in some nice sunny weather before the storms arrive later. The marine layer also retreated further out east into Suffolk. We have to enjoy the sun when we can get it in this pattern. Bodes well for the storms to survive to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 From OKX AFD: Dry this morning, then expecting showers and thunderstorms to develop with a pre-frontal trough and an approaching cold front as it approaches later today. CAPE and shear will result in the organization for thunderstorms today. There is decent amount of CAPE in hail growth region. Specifically, RAP model is conveying 0-6km bulk shear of 25-35 kt moving into the region this afternoon with surface CAPE of around 1500-2000 J/kg. There is a chance some of the storms become severe. Main threats with these thunderstorms will be gusty winds, hail, heavy rain, and frequent lightning. There is a moderate risk of rip current development on the Atlantic beaches today. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Evening starts off with the cold front right about to enter the region. Bulk shear 0-6km maximizes in 30-40 kt early this evening will allow for thunderstorms to remain organized but decreasing CAPE will lead to some loss of strength to the thunderstorms. Expecting the western half of the forecast region to be numerous to widespread with showers and thunderstorms and by the mid evening expecting this greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms to spread to the eastern half of the region if not shortly before. Same threat with thunderstorms before in the afternoon but again do expect a little weakening with the lower amounts of CAPE for Southeast Connecticut and Eastern Long Island where temperatures will be lower with the greater maritime influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Already surpassed today’s forecasted high of 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Up to 78 here but about an hour or so from mainly cloudy conditions. SO should just break 80. Guidance was not enthused on any type of heat through around fathers day. Still believe some sneaky heat can encroach the area on/around Jun 9 but will need t watch. Beyond there current pattern could shift to a hot one towards late Jun and into July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Looks like a wet and below average temp pattern ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Up to 78 here but about an hour or so from mainly cloudy conditions. SO should just break 80. Guidance was not enthused on any type of heat through around fathers day. Still believe some sneaky heat can encroach the area on/around Jun 9 but will need t watch. Beyond there current pattern could shift to a hot one towards late Jun and into July. 80 has been the new 90 with this pattern that has been stuck in place. Our warmer departures have been mostly driven by all the clouds and rain keeping the minimums up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: 80 has been the new 90 with this pattern that has been stuck in place. Our warmer departures have been mostly driven by all the clouds and rain keeping the minimums up. looking like another summer that peaks in august Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 @donsutherland1 Don, what year holds the distinction as the coolest for NYC and what were the departures from normal? Thanks ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 NAM says what storms this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, qg_omega said: NAM says what storms this afternoon HRRR is similar. Both models have the storms missing us to the south today. Will be interesting to see if those models are right, because SPC has the whole area in a slight risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 20 minutes ago, qg_omega said: NAM says what storms this afternoon not a fan of the westerly winds and lowering dewpoints. earlier runs had southerly sfc flow which would have been more favorable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 33 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: HRRR is similar. Both models have the storms missing us to the south today. Will be interesting to see if those models are right, because SPC has the whole area in a slight risk. I was about to ask around what time should I expect rain/storms to reach NYC? Should I be asking "if" instead? I'm going to be outside all day am hoping it stays dry as late as possible..like post 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 79. Much warmer than forecast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 not a fan of the westerly winds and lowering dewpoints. earlier runs had southerly sfc flow which would have been more favorableThat would explain the heat in Suffolk countySent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, tek1972 said: That would explain the heat in Suffolk county Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Dewpoints in the mid 60s. Feels hot out there today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 82 and hazy, hot and humid here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 55 degree dewpoint here. Feels nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 68/59 here.. Overcast as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 if 80 is hot what's 95? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 78/69 here. Briefly touched 80. Slightly steamy but with a nice breeze. Feels exactly how it should this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tek1972 Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 if 80 is hot what's 95?Lol. I'm used to 50s and back doors Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Storms should pop off around 4 or 5 from west to east. Dew points could be better but the storms to our south in WV have no problem going severe with dews hovering 60. Mlcape is better down there but everything else looks to be the same for our area. It's not as widespread as the models were showing yesterday however I think a few storms in our area will go severe as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Sunny, hot and humid in Danbury right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Looks like a wet and below average temp pattern ahead. As long as it’s wet and not warm and humid. That’s the worst weather hot and humid. Tomorrow Ramadan ends and it looks like the weather will start changing around! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2019 Share Posted June 2, 2019 Brief pop up cell on the sea breeze front along the North Shore of Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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