SnoSki14 Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Sun is out, looks like a decent afternoon For early April yes. Still cloudy and very gusty by me. 63F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: For early April yes. Still cloudy and very gusty by me. 63F. Upton said all day washout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 .92" today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 Bright sunshine and very windy. Howling downtown. Clouds are racing across the sky, interesting to see but was that forecasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 38 minutes ago, dWave said: Bright sunshine and very windy. Howling downtown. Clouds are racing across the sky, interesting to see but was that forecasted? I believe there was a 30% chance of racing clouds 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 13, 2019 Author Share Posted June 13, 2019 Picked up 0.60" of rain so far today. Current temp 68 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 63 and breezy, feels more like early May. Cool start to June, but that's been typical in recent years. Summer heat lingers well into fall but starts out mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 Drizzle has ended here-still windy and 57 degrees-chilly mid June day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 Euro has multiple rounds of convection beginning Sunday and lasting well into next week. Several waves of low pressure ride the stalled out warm front across the area. So no let up in sight for this wet pattern. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 52 minutes ago, bluewave said: Euro has multiple rounds of convection beginning Sunday and lasting well into next week. Several waves of low pressure ride the stalled out warm front across the area. So no let up in sight for this wet pattern. Fantastic! Waves and no watering at work. Waiting to see if any of that convention over western Pa makes it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 There's decent synoptic support for convection now in the DC area to ride the northward-retreating warm front into the metro later this evening. The 500 vort and associated jet max are impressive for this time of year: These features have strong lift associated with them, so they'll take advantage of seemingly minor instability. We still have several hours of sun and a developing seabreeze behind this morning's low to help bring the effective warm sector back to most of the Jersey Shore and perhaps the south shore of LI. It's probably too little too late to get the best activity into the city, but I think a good chunk of central/southern NJ is in for a good thunderstorm this evening. Can't rule out some good cloud-to-cloud lightning south of here around 9 or 10 this evening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 13, 2019 Author Share Posted June 13, 2019 15 minutes ago, bluewave said: We are entering the time of year when one these stalled front set ups could deliver a surprise localized 5”+ event. But the exact location that jackpots in the region is tough to know ahead of time. Mostly a nowcasters special where the best training sets up. Mt.Holly was hinting at that in their discussion basically saying that flooding concerns for next week could go beyond the typical nuisance type flooding depending how things play out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 wet Junes are not that unusual these days...the top three wettest Junes in NYC came after 2003... wettest Junes... 10.27 2003 10.10 2013 10.06 2009 9.78 1903 9.30 1972 8.79 1989 8.55 2006 7.76 1887 7.58 1975 7.13 1938 7.05 1871 7.04 1928 6.88 1922 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Earlier today, the temperature fell to 55° in New York City. That was the coolest reading since May 25 when the temperature also fell to 55°. It was also the coolest temperature June 10 or later since June 14, 2013 when the temperature fell to 53°. Milder conditions are likely across the Middle Atlantic region for the remainder of the week and through the weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.80°C. Conditions consistent with El Niño appear likely to persist through at least late June in Region 3.4. The SOI was +5.62 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.077. The ongoing blocking will likely continue through mid-month and then could slowly fade. At the same time, blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Hence, should blocking generally persist, the prospects of a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer could increase. With respect to the current month, there were 13 cases where the AO averaged -0.75 or below during the first half of June. The mean temperature for the second half of June usually fell within 1° of normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region. In addition, since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (as appears likely in 2019): 1993. On June 12, the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 0.715 (RMM). The amplitude was somewhat higher than the June 11-adjusted figure of 0.679. Since 1974, 7 years saw the MJO in Phases 1 or 2 at an amplitude of 2.000 or above during the May 27-June 5 period. The mean temperature for those cases during the June 1-15 period in New York City was 68.2°, which was about a degree below the mean temperature for the entire period. Thus, the MJO signal may reinforce the idea of a somewhat cooler than normal to near normal first half of June indicated from the recent warming of ENSO Region 1+2. Based on the latest guidance, the implied mean temperature for the first half of June is about 68.7° (0.6° below normal). The second half of June, particularly after June 20th could feature warmer conditions relative to normal than what is likely through mid-month. However, exceptional warmth currently appears unlikely. Nevertheless, there remains a distinct possibility that the 90° isotherm will reach New York City at some point before June ends. In addition, this period could feature above to possibly much above normal precipitation in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas. The implied probability of a warmer than normal June in and around New York City is currently 55%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Can't post radar loop from my phone but possibly a tornado touched down a few minutes ago in South Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Year-to-date precipitation figures and anomalies through 8:38 pm included: Allentown: 27.69" (+9.01") Baltimore: 19.58" (+0.98") Boston: 21.33" (+1.33") Bridgeport: 22.75" (+3.05") Harrisburg: 24.01" (+6.92") Islip: 23.13" (+1.55") New York City: 24.37" (+2.50") Newark: 24.96" (+4.22") Philadelphia: 22.17" (+3.88") Providence: 26.08" (+4.18") Scranton: 20.73" (+5.12") Washington, DC: 19.79" (+2.20") New York City picked up 0.44" rain. Yesterday's 12z run of the FV3 forecast only 0.10". The implied probability of New York City's reaching 50" or more annual precipitation is 64%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 14, 2019 Author Share Posted June 14, 2019 Pretty good slug for rain/storms moving into the NYC metro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Just now, Rtd208 said: Pretty good slug for rain/storms moving into the NYC metro. Don't know if they're going to be able to finish the Mets game... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 14, 2019 Author Share Posted June 14, 2019 Pouring here again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 0.32" with this current batch...1.05" for day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIWeatherGuy29 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 It rained very heavy for 5 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 8 hours ago, nzucker said: 63 and breezy, feels more like early May. Cool start to June, but that's been typical in recent years. Summer heat lingers well into fall but starts out mild. I agree with that overall, but this year the heat has been exceptionally muted. Still no air conditioning yet, which is incredibly rare at this point (last year was early May for comparison). The thing that's been different about this year is that we get warmer periods interspersed with very cool days. Last month there were a lot of days with low high temps, and the average is deceiving because of warm mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 14, 2019 Author Share Posted June 14, 2019 Picked up 0.92" of rain for the day 0.60" this morning and an additional 0.32" this evening. Current temp 61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 28 minutes ago, JerseyWx said: I agree with that overall, but this year the heat has been exceptionally muted. Still no air conditioning yet, which is incredibly rare at this point (last year was early May for comparison). The thing that's been different about this year is that we get warmer periods interspersed with very cool days. Last month there were a lot of days with low high temps, and the average is deceiving because of warm mins. My windows have been open numerous times May-June, which is very rare. The dews and even the mins on several days have been very comfortable too tho that's likely to change as we get into the thick of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: My windows have been open numerous times May-June, which is very rare. The dews and even the mins on several days have been very comfortable too tho that's likely to change as we get into the thick of summer. Yeah, very few days that were hot and humid. For the most part it's been average or below with lots of cloudy days and rain (at least here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or 1deg. AN. Month to date is -0.3[68.7]. Should be +0.2[70.3], by the 22nd. Still did not reach 61* by 7am, here. Made it to 70* by 2pm., but too many cumulus clouds and too breezy for beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 Nice shift to a N. Pacific ridge the next few days.. close to Alaska though, let's see if NYC can stay cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 14, 2019 Share Posted June 14, 2019 With the recent cool temps, now running a -1.5° station temp departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now