psv88 Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: well that changed in a hurry .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph, becoming west in the afternoon. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent. Sure did, did a double take when i look at my local forecast. From 70s to 90s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 I am kind of surprised to see Upton go hotter then Mt.Holly, usually it is the other way around. Have to see if Mt.Holly goes hotter in later updates but currently there isn't a huge forecast temp difference.. Here are the zone forecasts for Middlesex and Eastern Union Co NJ. Mt.Holly: Middlesex- Including the city of New Brunswick 630 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2019 .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers this evening, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Warmer with lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Humid with highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph, becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Humid with lows in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with highs in the upper 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Humid with lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Upton: NJZ108-250815- Eastern Union- 729 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2019 .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Lows around 70. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. .TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then partly sunny with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Humid with highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80 percent. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Lows around 70. West winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph, becoming west in the afternoon. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. .FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 7 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am kind of surprised to see Upton go hotter then Mt.Holly, usually it is the other way around. Have to see if Mt.Holly goes hotter in later updates but currently there isn't a huge forecast temp difference.. Here are the zone forecasts for Middlesex and Eastern Union Yeah and that was a big jump from this morning which had mid to upper 80s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Much more uncomfortable now then earlier today. Current temp 79/DP 66/RH 60% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 6/24 Highs TEB: 89 EWR: 87 LGA: 86 TTN: 86 BLM: 86 New Brnswick: 86 PHL: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Thu - Sat potential first heatvwave and a wamer-hotter independence day / weekend looks possible... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 We could wake up to some decent thunderstorms tomorrow morning. I don't think any will be severe but our area always does well with early morning warm fronts. There is no instability with the early morning stuff but some forecast models do try and develop additional storms around noon when the instability starts creeping in. Something to monitor for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 After some showers and perhaps thundershowers tonight into tomorrow, a taste of summer will be on tap for several days. Some locations in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England areas could experience their warmest readings so far this summer. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around June 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.02°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.77°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions could develop later this month and then continue into at least the first half of July. The SOI was -0.91 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -1.155. Blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Hence, should blocking generally persist, the prospects of a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer could increase. With respect to the current month, there were 13 cases where the AO averaged -0.75 or below during the first half of June. The mean temperature for the second half of June usually fell within 1° of normal in the northern Middle Atlantic region (73.6° is normal in New York City). According to the latest guidance, the June 16-30 temperature could finish near 74.3°. During the closing week of June, parts of the Northeast could see their warmest temperatures so far this summer. In addition, since 1950, there was only a single year that saw the AO average -1.000 or below in May and -0.500 or below in June (as appears likely in 2019): 1993. 1993 featured much above normal readings in the East during the late summer (August 15-September 15 period) and predominantly cooler than normal readings across the western third of the nation during much of the summer. On June 23, the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 0.708 (RMM). The June 22-adjusted amplitude was 0.850. Since 1974 when MJO data was reported, years in which the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above for at least two days, as was the case this year, were typically warmer than normal and drier than normal during the first 10 days of July. 1975 and 1985 were somewhat cooler than normal and very wet during the July 1-10 period. Some of the extended guidance is continuing to suggest a warmer and drier outcome with the warmest anomalies likely during the second half of that period. The latest run of the EPS weeklies has now retreated from its cool outlook for the first 10 days of July. It has moved closer to the idea that the period will wind up warmer than normal in the Middle Atlantic region. Since 1994, there have been 6 cases where the SOI fell to -35.00 or below during the June 16-30 period as occurred on June 21-22. Following such SOI outcomes, the July 1-15 temperature averaged approximately 3.5° above the June 16-30 figure in New York City. Based on the modeled June 16-30 outcome, that would imply that the first half of July would be among the top third warmest first halves of the month on record. In addition, 4/6 (67%) of those cases were followed by an El Niño winter (one was followed by a La Niña winter and one was followed by a neutral ENSO winter). The implied probability of a warmer than normal June in and around New York City remains near 50%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Love the pleasant mornings with the warm afternoons...86/61 split here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Looks like some decent storms popping just southwest of the NYC metro area heading in our direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Upton has low 90's for Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday for eastern Union Co. NJ. Mt.Holly has increased temps for Middlesex Co. NJ now calling for highs around 90 Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday with low 90's on Friday. Both have a chance of showers/storms on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 From Upton’s Early morning AFD: NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A warm front approaches the region this morning. Warm advection ahead of the front coupled with lowering heights will be enough to support a band of showers and a few rumbles of thunders to develop across the NYC metro, Hudson River Corridor, western Long Island, and southwest Connecticut during the morning commute. There could be pockets of moderate to heavy rain. The showers should largely hold off further east until after the morning commute. No concerns for severe weather at this time due to lack of surface instability and no apparent wave along the warm front to enhance low level shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Some nice lightning showing up on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Last 6 days of June averaging 79deg., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is -0.9[69.7]. June should end near +0.3[71.6]. 70.6* here, with rain and a gloomy look at 6am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Storm clouds over Manhattan a little while ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Had some lightening and a loud rumble of thunder. Heavy rain has ended. I'd say between .75-1". There's a nice run-off river flowing through the property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Heavy thunderstorms moving through. Wet pattern continues with NYC only able to go 3 days without rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Another solid rain producer here with 0.50". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 With 3.08” so far this month and only 5 days left, this June is the driest month since last June (3.26”). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 58 minutes ago, Cfa said: With 3.08” so far this month and only 5 days left, this June is the driest month since last June (3.26”). We have also missed much of the heavier rains this month. Still not a dry month by any means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Heavy thunderstorms moving through. Wet pattern continues with NYC only able to go 3 days without rain. Quite the soaking this morn, lot of thunder and lightning too. Got drenched walking this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Could evolve into a ring of fire convection pattern if the EPS is correct. NW flow severe threats. Possibly emls getting thrown into the mix 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 First proper downpour I’ve seen in about a month and a half. Only a little over a quarter of an inch at home though, heaviest rains split around that area again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Had some great rates earlier with the last band of rain. .36” at the wantagh meso most of which fell in about 30 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Nice and steamy out there 77/74 at my station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 steady drizzle here after some downpours, 70 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 Weather is nasty today. Tomorrow much drier and warmer. I don’t mind the heat when it’s dry when but when it’s humid like a steam bath it’s nasty. It is drying out though so tonight will be a nice night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 83/70 out there with full sunshine since 11am. It officially feels like summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 25, 2019 Share Posted June 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like the heat this week peaks on Friday ahead of the cold front. Euro has the potential for NW flow severe later Friday into Saturday. Then looks like another 3 day warmup before cool down again by July 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 25, 2019 Author Share Posted June 25, 2019 Picked up 0.25" of rain for the day. Current temp 88/DP 71/RH 53% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now