Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 394 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 210 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Delaware Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast Pennsylvania Northern and eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...At least isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop from southeast Pennsylvania into New Jersey, where potential will exist for a couple of supercells with hail/wind and potentially some tornado risk. Other storms will also increase this afternoon south-southwestward across the Delmarva and broader parts of northern/eastern Virginia to eastern Maryland, with damaging winds and some hail possible in these areas. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southeast of Lakehurst NJ to 55 miles west southwest of Washington DC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Guyer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Looks like extents up to Middlesex and Somerset Co lines but does not include anyone north of there so you can see where the severe threat will be setting up for today but once again heavy rain and strong storms will be a threat north of there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Looks like extents up to Middlesex and Somerset Co lines but does not include anyone north of there so you can see where the severe threat will be setting up for today but once again heavy rain and strong storms will be a threat north of there. So far havent even had any thunder with the downpours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Pouring here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Forgot my umbrella on the subway. Drenched! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Looks like this area of heavy rain/storms should be moving out over the next hour unless there is more back building then we have to see what develops later this afternoon/evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 Adding to the daily rainfall total big time here currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Absolute deluge on my route right now. I'm just sitting in the mail truck waiting for it to let up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 If the sun comes back out here for a while it is going to be like a sauna. Things finally starting to calm down here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 That’s an incredibly intense little cell over Monmouth. Must be a hail core Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: That’s an incredibly intense little cell over Monmouth. Must be a hail core Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 ^^^^ At 2:47 PM EDT, Marlboro TWP [Monmouth Co, NJ] TRAINED SPOTTER reports HAIL of penny size (M0.75 INCH) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 .67 in Lynbrook this past hour .91 since Midnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 I have picked up 1.09" of rain so far today with what looks like more to come. Current temp 70/DP 68/RH 92% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 First flood report of the day. At 2:11 PM EDT, 1 NNW White House Stati [Hunterdon Co, NJ] LAW ENFORCEMENT reports FLOOD. US HWY 22 WEST IS CLOSED IN THE AREA OF VAN HORNE RD DUE TO FLOODING. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Curious, if 1 inch of rain falls, for how long am I good to turn off my underground sprinklers for and save on my water bill? Or, is it contingent on sky cover and temps the next day or 2 ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 15 minutes ago, sferic said: Curious, if 1 inch of rain falls, for how long am I good to turn off my underground sprinklers for and save on my water bill? Or, is it contingent on sky cover and temps the next day or 2 ? a week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 At 3:08 PM EDT, 1 S RED Bank [Monmouth Co, NJ] TRAINED SPOTTER reports FLOOD. MPING REPORT OF STREET FLOODING WITH ROADS CLOSED AND VEHICLES STRANDED. https://t.co/dmajJGA4lPSent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1.02" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1.02 total here as well for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1.25" so far...deluge over for now...more on the way... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1.21. so far for the day at my station in Sheepshead Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Out on 78 in hunterdon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Where was this pattern during the winter? https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1141076320706863104 Check out the NAO trend for the ECMWF Hires 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Where was this pattern during the winter? https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1141076320706863104 Check out the NAO trend for the ECMWF Hires If this would have happened then we would have all been jumping for joy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Where was this pattern during the winter? https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1141076320706863104 Check out the NAO trend for the ECMWF Hires If we had this pattern in January, this would've been the best winter ever! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 minute ago, bluewave said: We probably would have had another famous 20”+ KU event had this been DJFM instead of MJ. We just can't seem to get the timing down for where it benefits us in the winter months. Hopefully we can time it better for the coming winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 it's a sign that the base state might finally be changing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 0.55” here. Nothing heavy, just bleh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, TriPol said: If we had this pattern in January, this would've been the best winter ever! Yeah that's annoying, we waited all of last winter for the -NAO to show up and nothing happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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