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June 2019 Discussion


weatherwiz
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1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s just regression and a piece of humble pie for those who don’t look at the data but instead have these visions we live in the Louisiana swamp.

You will be cursing and throwing small children around the house in a month.  

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Big ol' prairie province omega block on the euro. It's a slow step up to summer. I'd still like to see that stubborn Newfoundland low erased before getting too excited for HHH. Maybe we squeeze in a transient day next week, but it still may be pretty orange colors aloft too. We'll still dew it up a bit early next week either way.

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1 minute ago, weathafella said:

You will be cursing and throwing small children around the house in a month.  

The humid heat will eventually come, no one is arguing it never will. But man these wishers have been dead wrong for months already. So bad they cant detach what they desire from what is starring them in the face.

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Box has nice mainly dry warm to at times hot week. Frank one of the best . Tough to think he’ll be wrong 

akens allowing for rising
height fields into southern New England.  This should support highs
well up into the 80s for much of the first part of next week /away
from any localized marine influences/.  There is the potential for
highs to approach 90 with perhaps the best chance for that on Tue,
but confidence not enough to forecast those readings. That would
depend upon whether we avoid any subtle backdoor cold fronts and we
see enough sunshine, which is quite uncertain this far out.

While it does look like the vast majority of the time will feature
dry weather, a few showers/t-storms will be possible.  The main time
frame of concern would be Tue into Wed when an approaching shortwave
trough/frontal boundary may provide a focus for a few showers/t-
storms.

&&

 

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With the climo increase in ave temps comes higher dews at times but if Ens modeling is correct any hope for extended high hot and hazy temps and dews seems unlikely.  Highest dew days correspond with rainy cloudy days. The midwest/ west bakes under a PNA ridge  NAO stays in its negative state. This weekend perhaps the best COC days so far this summer . 5 day EPS LR matches GEFS

download (9).png

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