Ginx snewx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Certainly south of the Pike looks at risk. It might get blocked getting north of there. That said, I'd like some rain so I don't need to water. Half inch for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 we wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 GEFS? Oh man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Half inch for you I'd be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS? Oh man Better track record than your boy Cranky? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: That persistent cold pool will temper any sort of high heat. I'd be very cautious about LR models that depict any sort of high and especially sustained heat. Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. Was there a similar setup in (I think) 2004 or 2005? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: We step up to typical summer probably a heat wave for the 4th. Is it really typical though? I have no stats to back this, but to go through the end of June with no even transient heat seems strange. ORH has had 1 +10 day, May 20, since mid April. Seems odd. Most years feature one or two “hot” spells before July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 18, 2019 Author Share Posted June 18, 2019 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: Keep a persistent 50/50ish low out there over below normal SSTs and you’re dealing with backdoor potential equivalent to May. well that would make sense...when you add in the idea of the 50/50 low aspect but just the below-normal SST's alone I don't think would prevent heat into the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. I have not installed...living dangerously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I have not installed...living dangerously Same here. Might be warm for a couple of days next week though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. This weekend looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 It’s a reach into your undies and hold your rooster type weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 When's the last time anyone heard a rumble of thunder? Can't even buy a dying MCS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 23 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The Travelers Golf Tournament in Cromwell CT this weekend usually is in the 90s. A couple years ago it was played extreme heat pushing 100. This year nothing close. I went there with my son that year. Broiled in the sun. We only stayed for a few hours before we headed out. Wasn't any fun in that type of heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It's not typical. We have had a lack of 85+ days for sure. Like the graphic Ginxy showed the other day for NWS (Nashua) having one of its latest starts to Met Summer characterized by first day averaging 75 degrees. Most of our lows here have been very comfy 50’s. Hard to averag 75 without high heat or high dews . Maybe next week i don’t believe Portland Maine has even averaged a day above 70 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I have not installed...living dangerously Last year our 2 window units just couldn't keep the house cool. I hate heat and humidity. Home Depot and Lowe's sold out of AC's as those 70F dews stuck around through Sept. So this year I was smart (or not). I bought a 3rd 10,000 BTU in mid May. It's still in the box out in the barn. 30 day return period has passed. I have not hit 80F yet. That AC might wait till 2020 at this rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 CFS maps are always entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Perhaps for the coastline but typically we're dealing with a more westerly flow when talking about high heat so not sure that cold pool would have any impact on the entire region...plus it really won't take much for the temps to moderate. Plus I've noticed a tendency when dealing with the lay - hoi polloi and general enthusiasts and hobbyest, and even some Mets... to kind of get giddy about colors on these granular products. Blue in that context does not mean cold - not that you think so... just in general, that needs to be reminded. Like someone posted the other day, some D6-14 WPC temperature anomaly product with orange and brown positive departures as a trophy foisting for the onset of summer heat ... wrong... duh. F'n thing is only saying a 30 % chance of above normal... that's not anything really... I don't, red is warm - woooo! Those blues out there ? 0 C anomaly is hot ocean. Plus, if that's a running average/adjusted climo comparison, that's hotter at 0C than it was 50 years ago at 0C ... So blue ballz all we want...that's a oceanic basin that is in general neutral positive. I guess it's negative more meaningfully N of the g-string east of New England ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 I don't know ... this doesn't look un-wet for SNE https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php maybe it dries up before getting here...we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: CFS maps are always entertaining. And the model tends to run off the same KFS grid during the summer so maybe a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: And the model tends to run off the same KFS grid during the summer so maybe a red flag. Freeze for Maple Hollow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Freeze for Maple Hollow? lol...that would be an epically short growing season. This guy is a trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Well it has been pouring here of and on all morning....We were running slightly below average for the month, so why not? It looks it might become more convective in nature as the day goes on, maybe some training storms and flash flooding down this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Un wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 Nuisance rain. However, some guidance has conv like showers this aftn along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 18, 2019 Share Posted June 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Well it has been pouring here of and on all morning....We were running slightly below average for the month, so why not? It looks it might become more convective in nature as the day goes on, maybe some training storms and flash flooding down this way? Afternoon looks like big rains. Such is life when the dews arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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