mreaves Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Actually needed the rain. Our golf course did too, as amazing as that sounds. It just happens to dry really quickly and 3-4 sunny, warm, dry days in a row starts to crisp things out. This should let us avoid irrigating for a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice, pretty typical early summer days. Hope they enjoy Hope so, I am sure 75 will better than 92 and humidity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 57 minutes ago, Modfan said: How is next week looking? Co worker and is family are going to New England for the first time (Staying on the Cape) and will be traveling around SE Ma and RI 85-90 with moderate to at times higher dews depending on the day Cooler at Coast obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 11, 2019 Author Share Posted June 11, 2019 I would be extremely, extremely careful about next week b/c there is a solid probability we see another large gradient setup. Thankfully (b/c of climo) it won't be as bad as to weeks ago where we had 50's and 60's while PA and NJ was 80's...but the entire region is not going to be seeing 80's or 90's and humidity next week...it's even possible that blend stays just to our southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 Overcast 65° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 85-90 with moderate to at times higher dews depending on the day Cooler at Coast obviously Any more tornado outbreaks in our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 Agreed ... The Euro operational appears to be a warm outlier. Even the EPS means seems less warm pervasive comparing to that 00z run for those periods/days beyond five. I did comment on the 00z Euro yesterday when it, too, looked interestingly warm ..but this overall has double downed and really made it 80 D5 to 90 D10 across the range. The GFS isn't really interested. I can see something in between...as both models appear to be playing up their respective biases. The Euro may be hooking the inside slider S/W over the west, too prodigiously S early on as a typical albeit subtle bias for that model...which down stream helps maintain warmth... Contrasting, the GFS may be too eager to ablate/tamp down ridging as it also has a subtle tendency to do because of it's progressive bias. A compromise is a temperate summer pattern. Which could be wrong..sure. Either tendency could end up right anyway. Course of least regret for now is nothing annoying cool and clammy or obnoxiously sack sticker hot and heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 We’ll take Scooters thoughts . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 1.06" Another nice soak. Everything is so green and lush right now. No gypsy moths up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 I'm not sure I buy the nor'easter the NAM has... Not just because it is the NAM outside of 30 hours either. The GGEM tried to do that too... Both seem to be a bit convectively fed-back some there. It seems the baroclinic parameterization of the region along the MA and near-by west Atlantic isn't supportive enough. It could see a warm frontal wave lifting with that, sure ... but the NAM's curling so much surface pressure conveniently back around the N side of that whole mmm Could be creating its own positive feed-back by being too deep with that surface wave in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 85-90 with moderate to at times higher dews depending on the day Cooler at Coast obviously Nothing says that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 11, 2019 Author Share Posted June 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Agreed ... The Euro operational appears to be a warm outlier. Even the EPS means seems less warm pervasive comparing to that 00z run for those periods/days beyond five. I did comment on the 00z Euro yesterday when it, too, looked interestingly warm ..but this overall has double downed and really made it 80 D5 to 90 D10 across the range. The GFS isn't really interested. I can see something in between...as both models appear to be playing up their respective biases. The Euro may be hooking the inside slider S/W over the west, too prodigiously S early on as a typical albeit subtle bias for that model...which down stream helps maintain warmth... Contrasting, the GFS may be too eager to ablate/tamp down ridging as it also has a subtle tendency to do because of it's progressive bias. A compromise is a temperate summer pattern. Which could be wrong..sure. Either tendency could end up right anyway. Course of least regret for now is nothing annoying cool and clammy or obnoxiously sack sticker hot and heavy. We're north of the 582dm height contour...all we really need to know. The pattern, however, is quite favorable for convection...we don't need 90s/70s to get severe. In retrospect next week likely is closer to average with increased humidity (and maybe ending up slightly above due the increased humidity leading to warmer lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ll take Scooters thoughts . Scooter never said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 7/10 was more like a 8 pin 2 pin spare AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 1.42" 1.65" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 1.65" 1.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ll take Scooters thoughts . And a couple of these 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 1.17", Glad i was able to mow back there yesterday, Going to be another few week before the second mowing this season it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 0.57" rainfall total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nothing says that Actually yes. And see Scoots post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nothing says that ha... It's like he takes whatever there is in the summer and auto lies/tacks on 5+ degrees of both temp and DP... and vice versa in the winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 22 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: We're north of the 582dm height contour...all we really need to know. The pattern, however, is quite favorable for convection...we don't need 90s/70s to get severe. In retrospect next week likely is closer to average with increased humidity (and maybe ending up slightly above due the increased humidity leading to warmer lows. Yup .. as part of the "temperatre summer" definition... we should get periods of corrective instability ... warm rolls in...overrunning this... might or might not wedge in before cfropa boomers...rinse repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 31 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 1.65" Looks just about done. Topping 1.70" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Actually yes. And see Scoots post Scooter never said that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Scooter never said that He's the king of asking what the pattern looks like and then 10 minutes later telling everyone what's coming. He did it this morning asking Scoot about "dews and HHH?" and then a few posts later he's telling everyone 85-90 with dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: He's the king of asking what the pattern looks like and then 10 minutes later telling everyone what's coming. He did it this morning asking Scoot about "dews and HHH?" and then a few posts later he's telling everyone 85-90 with dews. Looks warm but normal to me but lets see how many 90 days we rack up in the next 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 With that said...it's not too difficult to pull off mid 80s with 60s dews this time of year whenever we poke a ridge in here with 15C 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: He's the king queen of asking what the pattern looks like and then 10 minutes later telling everyone what's coming. He did it this morning asking Scoot about "dews and HHH?" and then a few posts later he's telling everyone 85-90 with dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 11, 2019 Share Posted June 11, 2019 46 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: ha... It's like he takes whatever there is in the summer and auto lies/tacks on 5+ degrees of both temp and DP... and vice versa in the winter. Ha, and take the Met who thinks it might get hot and run with it. A couple weeks ago it was Fisher who had the best ideas when he said 90F...then Gibbs...today Scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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