Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You guys in ENE will have billowing clouds and tstorms tomorrow pm. No cocking after 1:00 pm , you north and east as folks run indoors. But Sunday is your cocking day yes . East of me. I will be able under blue sky watch the billowing clouds, very typical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 On 5/24/2019 at 11:51 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Humid humid humid pattern by mid month as Atlantic ridging builds north . It’s last summa all over again folks. Nah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 The second half of next week may be quite pleasant. Have to watch for embedded s/w in the flow aloft which may yield some shower chances at times but seasonable temperatures and predominately dry weather may be the theme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The second half of next week may be quite pleasant. Have to watch for embedded s/w in the flow aloft which may yield some shower chances at times but seasonable temperatures and predominately dry weather may be the theme or as Kevin reads it The second half of next week may be quite hot and humid. Have to watch for super high dews which may yield some swamp ____ at times nut unseasonably hot temperatures and humidity will be the theme 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Monthly Total Precipitation for Boston Area, MA (ThreadEx) 1953 6.28 4.14 11.00 6.04 5.06 0.48 2.76 1.81 2.50 4.91 7.66 5.09 57.73 1954 3.26 3.37 3.33 5.25 13.38 2.78 2.50 5.64 8.31 3.58 5.52 5.40 62.32 1955 0.92 4.11 5.42 4.12 0.99 3.52 4.28 17.09 2.40 6.94 5.68 1.03 56.50 1956 6.99 4.36 5.39 2.94 1.85 2.03 3.32 1.46 5.07 4.39 3.46 6.13 47.39 1957 2.47 1.34 3.38 3.78 3.63 1.62 0.64 1.71 0.35 2.67 5.75 6.58 33.92 1958 9.54 5.87 4.48 7.82 4.45 2.96 3.91 5.37 7.50 4.62 3.35 1.78 61.65 1959 2.72 3.45 5.81 4.44 1.24 8.63 8.12 2.93 0.63 4.60 4.20 4.64 51.41 Mean 4.60 3.81 5.54 4.91 4.37 3.15 3.65 5.14 3.82 4.53 5.09 4.38 52.99 Max 9.54 1958 5.87 1958 11.00 1953 7.82 1958 13.38 1954 8.63 1959 8.12 1959 17.09 1955 8.31 1954 6.94 1955 7.66 1953 6.58 1957 62.32 1954 Min 0.92 1955 1.34 1957 3.33 1954 2.94 1956 0.99 1955 0.48 1953 0.64 1957 1.46 1956 0.35 1957 2.67 1957 3.35 1958 1.03 1955 33.92 1957 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The second half of next week may be quite pleasant. Have to watch for embedded s/w in the flow aloft which may yield some shower chances at times but seasonable temperatures and predominately dry weather may be the theme Nothing really is showing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing really is showing that damn sorry...my reality glasses must need cleaning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: or as Kevin reads it The second half of next week may be quite hot and humid. Have to watch for super high dews which may yield some swamp ____ at times nut unseasonably hot temperatures and humidity will be the theme He thinks the entire New England region drifts south during the spring/summer and it takes up a position just off the coast of Florida before drifting back north in the fall and then taking a position to the east of Caribou 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: damn sorry...my reality glasses must need cleaning You need to tap into the model that is being run out of TJRHS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Dendritic gooblygook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Ha, In todays Lew Sun/Journal: Summer arrives today but will there be sun? Since January, rainfall has been 3 inches above normal. Rainy spring has produced a bumper crop of ticks, black flies and mosquitoes ‘The Tick Lab’ at the University of Maine has tested 500 deer ticks so far this spring and 45 percent tested positive for the bacteria that causes Lyme disease. Nearly 50% positive for Lyme?! Wow, didn't think it was that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dendritic gooblygook lol. Not phone friendly apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: May June 2006 May take the cake for wet. Much of area 20-28” those two months. For sure but I'm willing to bet the water table is higher now. Any little half inch rainstorm causes stream flooding. In 2006 I'm guessing there was a lot of runoff because we received the rain in a relatively short. Of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Nearly 50% positive for Lyme?! Wow, didn't think it was that high . They're becoming more abundant, Buddy sent me this, Pea soup, Pollen is brutal this year too, I'm sure your boat is experiencing it at the Marina, I use to watch it blow out of the pines across Long Lake like a sheet of green when i was down there, Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol. Not phone friendly apparently I usually take a screen shot cuz mobile is ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Up in Maine through the 27th. Anything worth doing in Freeport or Bar Harbor besides the usual tourist stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 They're becoming more abundant, Buddy sent me this, Pea soup, Pollen is brutal this year too, I'm sure your boat is experiencing it at the Marina, I use to watch it blow out of the pines across Long Lake like a sheet of green when i was down there, Terrible. Gross. Don't think I'll be boating this weekend. Recovering in Roxbury with some brews . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Gross. Don't think I'll be boating this weekend. Recovering in Roxbury with some brews . You wont want to be on Long Lake or Sebago Lake anyways this weekend, Winds out of the NW 10-20 mph with gust to 30, White cap and some 3-4' ers +, Waves will be crashing on the causeway.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 New 3k NAM doesn't have Kevs Eastern NE thunderstorms tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I have been swarmed in the marshes here on the south shore of Long Island. There is an old work depot at Jones beach state park where you have to wear a bee keeper suit to work. I made the mistake once of walking through there without one. I had dozens of bites and looked like a pin cushion. But the worst of all are green flys. The "tiger mosquitos", big striped-body ones, on our Topsham lot fronting Merrymeeting Bay could sometimes be confused (the noise, anyway) with the Orions that used to fly out of Brunswick Naval Air Base, 5 miles away. And as much as I hate deerflies, greenheads are worse. Many decades back when my dad would take us fishing on Great Bay, out of Tuckerton, NJ, we'd always seem to be at the fish cleaning benches just when the sea breeze died, allowing those aerial sharks free rein. Slapping at them with hands covered in fish guts was quite entertaining. (Appropriate emoji for greenhead bites) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Man ... if this was January, one might be thinking we're getting some big snows over the next month https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/reforecast2/teleconn/forecast.html Judging by the structure of the prognostic curves over at the sister site hosted by CPC ... I wonder if those CDC tele's are in flux. The CPC exposes disagreement among the individual members as the curve frays and becomes mop-ended beginning as near as D 7 true in both the PNA and NAO cases. So, the CDC are prone to change and/or could be doing so. Which may be true over all, regardless of model and cluster. Lately it seems as though that typology of spring stochastic model/ensemble behavior is still going on ... IN summer. The Euro's warmish 00z over all complexion once looking beyond .. day three or so, that's just straight up out of correlation wrt the GEFs. Granted, GFS ensemble mean is a different species than the operational Euro.. but, cross-guidance comparison has its usefulness as agreement is a valuable metric. Anyway, the GFS operational is as usual not helpful - as though it is April 21st. I think for now the course of least regret is to just count on 'buckling' continuing in the 50 to 70th N band around the hemisphere. The hemisphere is sort of split between two bands. It seems that band up N wants to maintain a seasonal oddity of retrograde/blocking that would be unusual for summer months, while S of roughly 40 N there is increasing subtropical ridge strength becoming more coherent - which is more climate appealing than the above. So these two vying for proxy ... prooobably the S wins...eventually... Hard to imagine this much nodal blocking in say ...late July, but stranger things have probably happened. If/when all that somehow situates its self to allow bigger heat numbers to envelope the Lakes-upper OV to NE regions, it could? But won't be favored right away. While the 00z Euro's overall complexion is not impossible, I'd almost plan on future cycles bulging the ambeint front S of our latitudes at any time. It's an oscillatory pattern really ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Nearly 50% positive for Lyme?! Wow, didn't think it was that high . I know many people here in CT that recently got lymes disease. Everyone described it as feeling like death. You also have it for life and know people that have had symptoms suddenly reappear a year or so after getting it. Take evey precaution you can to keep ticks off you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Tippy EPS stuff for ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, BrianW said: I know many people here in CT that recently got lymes disease. Everyone described it as feeling like death. You also have it for life and know people that have had symptoms suddenly reappear a year or so after getting it. Take evey precaution you can to keep ticks off you. There's always been a Lyme disease hot bed down there... In fact, the origin/identification of the pathogenic spectrum began there, in "LYME" Connecticut. I think it's interesting that although the disease(s) that are tick borne have been found to focus all over ( really ...), that these hot bed regions seem to concentrate it. Where other regions don't. Probably the deer and other fauna species that are part of the whole life-cycles ( of which Humans share in that cycle) have over-lapping population .. But, all of that is changing too, because species migration appears to be bring non-native species of ticks to northern regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 41 minutes ago, kdxken said: For sure but I'm willing to bet the water table is higher now. Any little half inch rainstorm causes stream flooding. In 2006 I'm guessing there was a lot of runoff because we received the rain in a relatively short. Of time. Nothing comes close to that. I was working for a builder and we were trying to make sure a dam holding back water for old cranberry bogs, wouldn’t break. I’ve never seen that much water ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 21, 2019 Author Share Posted June 21, 2019 8,0000 SBCAPE showing up later on...that's probably about as high as you'll ever see in the states. I think I've seen some soundings from like India before which showed like 10,000-12,000. Something just tickles me about seeing values that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Mmm ...nice to see those products buuut... with the PNA's overal forcing on the pattern becoming very weak in the summer ( to the point where CDC doesn't even calculate the cross-correlations with the other tele's during JJA ), that positive modality out there may or may not be instructive over North America. I like the mean of the EPS neutralizing the NAO though ... for all the mop-ending at CPC and/or inconsistencies over at CDC in handling that particular metric, just normalizing the sumnubitch might not be a bad two week run out. All told, weak forcing signaled via those products - which may default us back to oscillatory as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 17 minutes ago, BrianW said: I know many people here in CT that recently got lymes disease. Everyone described it as feeling like death. You also have it for life and know people that have had symptoms suddenly reappear a year or so after getting it. Take evey precaution you can to keep ticks off you. I contacted Lyme in 1994, it was virtually unknown. I was afflicted by the Babesiosis strain spending 3 days in the fetal position unable to move with a fever of 105. Seriously thought it was over. 2 teenage kids died while I was in South County hospital from the same. I again contacted regular Lyme the next year unknown to me, I thought I had the flu. It passed and I went on with my life. The next summer I developed joint pain so bad I sought help. Luckily for me one of the first Drs to correctly diagnose Lyme treated me. He immediately put me on Doxcycline with a port for regular treatments for 90 days. Gradually I got better but never fully recovered from the arthritis. Never forget at the time Drs were ostracized by CDC and the medical community for diagnosing Lyme. The govt developed Lyme as a biological weapon at their Fishers Island Plum Island secret animal disease test facility. The first cases were detected directly across from Plum Island in Lyme Ct. One of the greatest undercover secrets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: 8,0000 SBCAPE showing up later on...that's probably about as high as you'll ever see in the states. I think I've seen some soundings from like India before which showed like 10,000-12,000. Something just tickles me about seeing values that high. heh... I wonder if it is possible to calculate the SB CAPE prior to the detonation of Tsar Bomba, 1961, Soviet nuclear test Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 21, 2019 Share Posted June 21, 2019 HRRR is fairly active tomorrow afternoon. Either way it will be a nice day just some pop-up showers and maybe a thunderstorm or two in the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now