Typhoon Tip Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 The Euro's been onto this for a while - speaking to the straw man in the room... The GFS operational on the other hand, it keeps doing everything least imaginable to sop heat from gettting north of the 40th latitude ... particularly as those regions pertain to the northeast regions of U.S. and SE Canada, all f'n spring. It's like it's been stuck stubbornly in February. Thing is ...I'm not really prepared to completely deny it's current cooler eroding of ridges to be honest. It's been a blocky spring ... so the GFS has been sort of right more than less. Whenever the GFS creates another blocking nodes say ... north of James bay, its westerlies suppress south underneath, and that ablates the ridges.. which sends an ensemble line of warm scouring cfropas ..if not BDs our way, and that seems to have really verified as the predominating signal since March. The GFS continues to ignite blocking nodes up north over Canada and throughout the Greenland rough lat/lons... consistent with the -NAO, notwithstanding east or westerly biased limb. Euro on the other hand is presently indicating less blocking .. In fact, not really characteristic of that season long persistent trend? That trend denial... it probably shouldn't bode too well for warmth and summer enthusiasts over the next 7 to 10 days ... but, it doesn't mean the Euro should be summarily counted out. The GEFs NAO curve is finally elevated at both agencies... It may be a sign that the GFS is holding out too long too. I think it's worth the conversation because one model is more temperately characterizing with changeability ...70s...to low 80s with convection chances... While the other model has more of persistent summery look evolving, with multiple days in the mid or upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 Man .. are we looking at a second consecutive 7/10 split tomorrow for the heart of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 Enjoy your rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Enjoy your rain. Nice split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 5 hours ago, wxeyeNH said: I think Brian keeps in touch with him and he is around. Just doesn't post anymore Let me bring him back with my post. He always posts STFU Yoda when he sees my post to him lol @eekuasepinniW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 So much for the EURO warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 19 hours ago, CoastalWx said: The next 2 mos will have some heat potential. As the boundary stalls overhead. I could see at least 4-6 weeks of swamp ass. How this will be translated by some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 And it begins Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And it begins Monday Nice...a d10 dewpoint map for NJ from the 00z euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: And it begins Monday 3 days after dews in the 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 12z says we cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 We'll probably see some heat and dews later next week, but I'd toss the extreme swampazz for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nice...a d10 dewpoint map for NJ from the 00z euro. Except the map is valid for June 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 Agree ... Like I said earlier, Euro may be too anxious to sans the blocking tendency we've enjoyed since circa March. It's been a crushing 70 days of -NAO tendency...the likes of which I don't think I've seen since perhaps late Novie thru early Jan 2004 ... Only happening as precisely and exquisitely wrongly timed for summer enthusiasts.. .ha wah wah - Anyway ... the Euro's been bucking for much less blocking now some six cycles and counting... Even despite the D10 cold front ( which looks dubious for other reasons) on it's 12z run is doing so in a neutral NAO (hint) ... at this time of year, I'd like to see actually more -NAO for a front that cleaning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Except the map is valid for June 17 My bad. Read "10 days" at the bottom. Still, it's 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 I'll add I kinda hope we can some higher dews soon. Some of my plants would appreciate some tropical temps with higher RH. It's easier to propagate stuff outside too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 dark-side folks caving to the HHH cravings now that they are inevitable. next week looks suspect for sustained dews but you have to figure we'll see at least two-three days of heavy, robust dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 44 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'll add I kinda hope we can some higher dews soon. Some of my plants would appreciate some tropical temps with higher RH. It's easier to propagate stuff outside too. pray for the tomatoes and the melons, as well as the sweet potatoes I'm trying this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: dark-side folks caving to the HHH cravings now that they are inevitable. next week looks suspect for sustained dews but you have to figure we'll see at least two-three days of heavy, robust dews I lived in APF for a year and loved it. I'm not afraid of 95/75...but my chickens loathe it. I've always weenied out here over big heat and 70F+ mins. 7/21-22/2011 was awesome. If there were forums in 7/1995 I probably would've gotten banned from the excitement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 Yet another Coc day, man what a great day. Tomorrow looks brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yet another Coc day, man what a great day. Tomorrow looks brutal High of 75F off a low of 41F.... just crushing the Chamber days lately. June so far at -2.6... average high/low of 72/42, just perfect temp spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: High of 75F off a low of 41F.... just crushing the Chamber days lately. Same weather down here. Today is the type of weather where you're sitting out on a patio drinking with a woman that has no problem going down on you after a second date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nice split Didn't the heart of CT have like .75-1.50" like a day or two ago? Cocorahs has Hartford County as seeing .68-1.40" of rain for the past 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 12, 2019 Share Posted June 12, 2019 29 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Didn't the heart of CT have like .75-1.50" like a day or two ago? Cocorahs has Hartford County as seeing .68-1.40" of rain for the past 48 hours. The CTRV west up to ALB had that yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The CTRV west up to ALB had that yes Ah I thought I saw some good 1"+ in NE CT too like Putnam, Killingly, Woodstock. I'll have to double check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 Perfect weather for growing grass coming up with the rainy, cool weather incoming. I've been patching up and thickening my hillbilly lawn as much as I can to make it more presentable on the dry days. The trifecta of blood sucking insects has been trying to get a meal out of me the whole time though. Black flies and mosquitoes in the shade, deer flies in the sun. There's definitely a bumper crop of them all too. Remarkably not a single tick or gypsy moth caterpillar though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 Brrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 7 hours ago, dendrite said: I lived in APF for a year and loved it. I'm not afraid of 95/75...but my chickens loathe it. I've always weenied out here over big heat and 70F+ mins. 7/21-22/2011 was awesome. If there were forums in 7/1995 I probably would've gotten banned from the excitement. Without rain there is no sun ;/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 13 hours ago, dendrite said: We'll probably see some heat and dews later next week, but I'd toss the extreme swampazz for now. Perhaps we can start a string of 'things clicking in 10-14 days' similar to what we had through the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2019 Share Posted June 13, 2019 FV3 may be right for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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