Upper Level LOL Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 I'm wagering that's a typo for "busy" 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Bust day coming up.. look at the radar interference Please use /s to indicate sarcasm. You’ll confuse everyone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Looks like the warm front is going to get hung up along I-40. Sweetwater, OK temp has fallen from 72 to 56 and winds backed to the NW gusting to 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 1 minute ago, pbrussell said: Please use /s to indicate sarcasm. You’ll confuse everyone He's a troll from the MA forum. Too much radar interference in his posting. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 5 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Bust day coming up.. look at the radar interference Keep the ‘bust’ talk someplace else 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle-1 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Lurker here, do we not have mods to clean up the trolls? EDIT: Nvm, thank you buckeyefan1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Just now, Kyle-1 said: Lurker here, do we not have mods to clean up the trolls? Hi 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upper Level LOL Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 OK portion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Per @NWSNorman - PDS Tornado Watch for much of Western/Central OK currently being coordianted 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like the warm front is going to get hung up along I-40. Sweetwater, OK temp has fallen from 72 to 56 and winds backed to the NW gusting to 15. Perhaps, but I think the warm front is gonna take on a more SW-NE component with time. It may have stalled in the west, but still seems to be continuing to lift northward farther east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like the warm front is going to get hung up along I-40. Sweetwater, OK temp has fallen from 72 to 56 and winds backed to the NW gusting to 15. Yup. Mesonet shows front sagging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Everything is >95% in the PDS Tornado Watch for Oklahoma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 WWUS40 KWNS 201834 WWP9 TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0199 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0132 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2019 WT 0199 PDS PROBABILITY TABLE: PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : >95% PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES : >95% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : >95% PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : >95% PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : >95% PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : >95% PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95% && ATTRIBUTE TABLE: MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 4.0 MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 70 MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 600 MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 23035 PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : YES && FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU9. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 There it is. >95% watch confirmed. Buckle up, folks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
largetornado Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 PDS Watch for Oklahoma issued. Wind/Hail/Tor probabilities all maxed out at >95% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Mesoscale Discussion 0703 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0137 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019 Areas affected...Texas Panhandle/West Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 197... Valid 201837Z - 201930Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 197 continues. SUMMARY...Rapid development of tornadic supercells expected in the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Convective initiation is underway across the Texas Panhandle and west Texas within an environment characterized by MLCAPE of 3500-4000 J/kg, effective bulk shear of 50-60 kt, and effective SRH of 300+ m^2/s^2. In addition, observed soundings launched by the TORUS field program in this area (Wellington, TX) indicate weak CIN and a favorable low-level kinematic environment for tornadoes in proximity to the developing convection, with a sickle-shaped hodograph and 0-1 km AGL SRH near 300 m^2/s^2. Convection that is developing now is expected to mature quickly, and given the ambient environment, storms should quickly evolve into supercell structures capable of significant, long-tracked tornadoes within the next hour or two -- in agreement with SPC objective analysis. ..Karstens.. 05/20/2019 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestTennWX Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Anyone else having trouble with their Allisonhouse feed? I lost updates on all sites, about half an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdub91 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 First tornado of the day.......in Arizona! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Dews up to near 70 all around OKC at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern stream Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 As we have seen a select few times, we are about to see what results from a dangerous mixture of extreme thermodynamics and intense wind shear. Its NEVER good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Should be a rather predictable day for chasing. Just don't get run over by a northeasterly track. Nothing sketchy about direction (El Reno). But the trade-off is real. You'll never catch anything from the south today. Decisions will have to be made in minutes, if not seconds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 2 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Dews up to near 70 all around OKC at this point Impressive warm front. Temp is in the upper 40s across the OK panhandle and in the mid 80s along the Red River. Gonna be a few beefy cells today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Just now, kvegas-wx said: Just don't get run over by a northeasterly track. > Or get trapped by floodwaters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Cells along and south of the warm front in Oklahoma still having trouble going off. Bad sign? Different story in NW Texas with several discrete supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Been some broad rotation in that cell N of Amarillo for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Natester said: Cells along and south of the warm front in Oklahoma still having trouble going off. Bad sign? I think they discussed it in the Meso for the watch. Site appears to be down at the moment, but my memory is that it will actually assist with keeping storms discrete and unmuddled edit: The 18z Fort Worth, TX upper air balloon showed a capping inversion located just below 700mb. Recent runs of the RAP model show this inversion less pronounced farther north. Despite temperatures warming into the lower 80s over north TX into southwest OK, this capping inversion has delayed convective initiation. This is concerning for 2 reasons: 1) the wind profile continues to strengthen across southwest and central OK with the Norman, OK upper air balloon sampling 50kt flow around 850mb which is about 1-2 hours earlier than forecast soundings were showing. 2) It does not appear many storms will develop across southwest OK and resulting in destructive storm-to-storm interference. In other words, tornadic potential appears very high. Storms will likely initiate on the north-end of the cloud streets over southwestern OK in the hotter air and intensify and move northeast towards the I-40 and I-35 corridors later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Just now, Natester said: Cells along and south of the warm front in Oklahoma still having trouble going off. Bad sign? Different story in the Texas panhandle with several discrete supercells. That's a good sign for tornadoes. You're not yet at peak heating. Fewer early storms means more CAPE when they do go off and cleaner storm mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 Have 60% tornado odds ever been issued? Could we see them with the 3:00 update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted May 20, 2019 Share Posted May 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Natester said: Cells along and south of the warm front in Oklahoma still having trouble going off. Bad sign? Different story in the Texas panhandle with several discrete supercells. I'm not worried because it's not even 1400 CDT, so it's still very early. Texas has the extra lift from the dry line, hence healthier and deeper convection, for the moment. Watching the cells west and northwest of Watonga, OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now