USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Moderate Risk for severe storms today across the central Plains, from NE to IA southwestward to OK and TX, enhanced risk around that area and than in the Northeast US/OH Valley. The Dayton, OH area tornadoes last night destroyed a large area of real estate, I would not be surprised to see the NWS damage surveys conducted the next few days determine that some areas were hit by EF-5 winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 1:41 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Moderate Risk for severe storms today across the central Plains, from NE to IA southwestward to OK and TX, enhanced risk around that area and than in the Northeast US/OH Valley. The Dayton, OH area tornadoes last night destroyed a large area of real estate, I would not be surprised to see the NWS damage surveys conducted the next few days determine that some areas were hit by EF-5 winds. Expand It's early, but I have yet to see anything strongly suggesting EF4 damage, let alone EF5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 2:15 PM, CheeselandSkies said: It's early, but I have yet to see anything strongly suggesting EF4 damage, let alone EF5. Expand I would say at least strong EF-3 damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 2:15 PM, CheeselandSkies said: It's early, but I have yet to see anything strongly suggesting EF4 damage, let alone EF5. Expand I agree, cars not really thrown and most destroyed or flattened pics are of structures maybe not well built as many have houses standing directly next to them. Likely max of EF 3, but that decision will go directly to nws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 2:18 PM, Wmsptwx said: I agree, cars not really thrown and most destroyed or flattened pics are of structures maybe not well built as many have houses standing directly next to them. Likely max of EF 3, but that decision will go directly to nws. Expand Celina, OH might be the best case for a strong EF-3 or 4 tornadoes. Today could be very bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Seems like some upscale growth already in Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 I posted in the Lakes/Ohio Valley region.. So I'll post'em on thisside to.. Looks to be a productive Day? For sever Wx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Crap vection might be an issue already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Yeah, has that look of upscale growth being a factor in later storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 #HeadSouth is easily the chase target for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 4:30 PM, jojo762 said: #HeadSouth is easily the chase target for today. Expand Yup, out and about already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeganR Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Temps already two-four degrees higher than the CAMs suggested here in Central OK. Sunshine everywhere. Should have no problem busting the cap today. Just depends on when and where. Want to head south of Chickasha and wait it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeganR Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 5:31 PM, KeganR said: Temps already two-four degrees higher than the CAMs suggested here in Central OK. Sunshine everywhere. Should have no problem busting the cap today. Just depends on when and where. Want to head south of Chickasha and wait it out. Expand As I say this, we now have full cloud cover in Central OK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 5:56 PM, KeganR said: As I say this, we now have full cloud cover in Central OK. Expand Complete overcast and crapvection in southern KS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazieman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 That's not even in the moderate risk area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Honestly, the enhanced risk area looks like a 5% risk at best right now. The northeast might need the 10% hatched probabilities or higher. Several discrete cells out there versus a messier mode here ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 All that messy crap everyone is talking about is north of the warm front/OFB... it’s irrelevant. Better storms will initiate soon along the cold front and dryline further west and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lokee Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Norman office put this out on their FB page. 2:15 PM - our weather balloon data shows the cap (a layer of warm air aloft that can delay/prevent storms) is still in place over central OK, but it appears the cap is likely weaker over western OK. This is where we expect storms to possibly develop after 4pm. Again, most people will not see a storm, but if a storm forms it will likely be severe. A tornado watch will be issued for parts of our area by 3:30 PM. Stay alert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeganR Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 VBV effecting the storms in SW OK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Storms in Kansas are going upscale pretty fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Strong rotation now on both north-central Kansas super cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Rotation increasing on the third cell to the west of those mentioned above as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Near Lucas, KS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 10:58 PM, DanLarsen34 said: Expand yeah both those cells around there look like they mean business. Velocity NE of Glen Elder is off the charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 from that feed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 On 5/28/2019 at 11:02 PM, ICEHOCEY77 said: yeah both those cells around there look like they mean business. Velocity NE of Glen Elder is off the charts Expand Very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 just WOW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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