jojo762 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 42 minutes ago, yoda said: 1730 Day 2 OTLK keeps the ENH and increases the size by double... also says could go to MDT tomorrow Have been looking at Saturday for several days now. CAMs and HRRR point to what could be significant day across SW KS. Area INVOF the triple point will likely have volatile environment capable of all severe hazards, including significant tornadoes. Probably going out with some met students to near DDC then reevaluate satellite/obs from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Man the Oklahoma tornado looked violent yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 20 minutes ago, jojo762 said: Have been looking at Saturday for several days now. CAMs and HRRR point to what could be significant day across SW KS. Area INVOF the triple point will likely have volatile environment capable of all severe hazards, including significant tornadoes. Probably going out with some met students to near DDC then reevaluate satellite/obs from there. Cams are all over the map right now. The 12Z stuff had dramatically different solutions even amongst the WRF family. HRRR was tor outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 Those storms in Texas are very slow movers!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 24, 2019 Share Posted May 24, 2019 4 hours ago, OUGrad05 said: Cams are all over the map right now. The 12Z stuff had dramatically different solutions even amongst the WRF family. HRRR was tor outbreak. Most of the CAMs have tended to grow upscale very fast the last week or so with about every setup and have mostly been incorrect. Paying more attention to background environment really, which by 00Z should be fairly impressive. Southwest KS gonna southwest KS, as it always does... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 5 hours ago, DanLarsen34 said: Man the Oklahoma tornado looked violent yesterday. Laverne getting a 1991 redux while the TX PH was getting an Allison/Kellerville redux. Those violent wedges tracking through the dusk and murk are scary...that's what most of us thought was gonna happen in spades last Monday. I was 2-3 miles from the eventual Mangum storm as it crossed US 62 near Gould and couldn't make out any definition of the updraft or what was going on under the base. It seemed those who got the tornado were those who got much closer and/or core punched, something I wanted no part of expecting tornadoes of the type above to get on the ground and stay on the ground, with Godzilla hail in the cores. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 Laverne getting a 1991 redux while the TX PH was getting an Allison/Kellerville redux. Those violent wedges tracking through the dusk and murk are scary...that's what most of us thought was gonna happen in spades last Monday. I was 2-3 miles from the eventual Mangum storm as it crossed US 62 near Gould and couldn't make out any definition of the updraft or what was going on under the base. It seemed those who got the tornado were those who got much closer and/or core punched, something I wanted no part of expecting tornadoes of the type above to get on the ground and stay on the ground, with Godzilla hail in the cores.I was on mangum from the east. Really awful visability. I could see it through haze about 5-6 miles away eventually it moved to within a little less than a mile of us and then began to rope out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 possible 2 or 3 tornadoes on the squall line in the Kansas City area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pbrussell Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chinook said: possible 2 or 3 tornadoes on the squall line in the Kansas City area I’d say lake lotawana had one on the ground. There was a small cc spike with that directly correlated with the velocity/reflectivity scans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OortCloud Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 Hi from KC I'm northwest of that area on that squall line but just as the tornado warning went out my tv reception went out. it's back on now and they say so far they haven't heard of any damage. I watched 41 Action News on Facebook...they are live Edited to add: reports of trees down in Cass County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanLarsen34 Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 28 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said: Laverne getting a 1991 redux while the TX PH was getting an Allison/Kellerville redux. Those violent wedges tracking through the dusk and murk are scary...that's what most of us thought was gonna happen in spades last Monday. I was 2-3 miles from the eventual Mangum storm as it crossed US 62 near Gould and couldn't make out any definition of the updraft or what was going on under the base. It seemed those who got the tornado were those who got much closer and/or core punched, something I wanted no part of expecting tornadoes of the type above to get on the ground and stay on the ground, with Godzilla hail in the cores. What was weird about yesterday was I wasn’t particularly impressed with the storm mode or the radar presentation of the ones that produced before they had those violent wedges. There were definitely some high-end parameters (looked like relative helicity was upwards of 500-600 in that region), but I didn’t follow yesterday as close as the days prior for those reasons. Didn’t seem like many chasing in that area were optimistic either, especially with smoke affecting visibility. This stretch has definitely had several potentially violent tornadoes that have so far avoided significantly worse outcomes. Think we would have seen several EF4s if they had tracked over more well-built structures. Thankfully, that’s largely been avoided (Carl Junction and Jefferson City excluded). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OortCloud Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 I am in a Residence Inn full of families with kids and I poked my head out of my room and of course no one in the hallway was remotely aware there was anything such as tornado warning going on. I just asked if their tv signal went out and they were like "we aren't watching TV" so I said there was a tornado warning but it was for south of here. They were eminently nonchalant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 TXC371-250145- /O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0197.000000T0000Z-190525T0145Z/ Pecos TX- 821 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY... At 820 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 27 miles southeast of Fort Stockton, moving east at 15 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...Grapefruit size hail and 70 mph wind gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 Rotation with that storm to... definitely should be tornado warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OortCloud Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 TV weatherman is saying they probably had a touchdown around Lake Lafayette southeast of KC, as Pbrussell indicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 75 wind reports 75 blue dots?? maybe not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 1 hour ago, OortCloud said: I am in a Residence Inn full of families with kids and I poked my head out of my room and of course no one in the hallway was remotely aware there was anything such as tornado warning going on. I just asked if their tv signal went out and they were like "we aren't watching TV" so I said there was a tornado warning but it was for south of here. They were eminently nonchalant Yes, it is amazing how many of the stupids walk among us. Las year I was also at a Residence Inn one night when a bunch of cop cars kept flying up in silent mode to the store across the street over 10 minutes, more than 2 dozen LEO's getting into hidden positions flanking a door. Ambulances and fire truck staged a block away. I turn to some moms hanging around the basketball court with 5 toddlers and little kids and say, "Since you have your kids I thought I should mention that it looks like something bad may be about to go down across the street, the police are set up around that door." As in, police in between us and the door, directly in the line of return fire. "Oh, cool, thanks" and then back to watching their kids run around the completely exposed court. Luckily the suspects froze when confronted after exiting, but the cops had 2 dozen guns drawn. "Oh wow, did you see that kids?" (OBTW, no tornadoes touched down within a 50 mile radius of us that night.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 I know we are all probably pretty worn out from tracking all these storms, but definitely need to start keeping an eye on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 Preliminary tornado reports near Lake Lotawana, two near Lake Lafayette/ Odessa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 Credit Mapgirl18 and UStornadoes twitter feed (at bottom of map: 236 tornado reports, 400 tornado warnings, 29 tornado watches) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 4 hours ago, StormChazer said: I know we are all probably pretty worn out from tracking all these storms, but definitely need to start keeping an eye on Tuesday. Yes, I've been staying up till 2 am EDT this past week following results in the plains waiting for the next day outlook. I'm supposed to get some severe here tomorrow afternoon in IN but will be heading up to the Chicago area to visit some relatives for two days. Will take a break from following this closely. But will drive back here to the Indpls area Tuesday morning and sign in to follow what may be a rough period once again if models are correct. Concerned about all the flooding in the Tulsa area as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 4 hours ago, StormChazer said: I know we are all probably pretty worn out from tracking all these storms, but definitely need to start keeping an eye on Tuesday. Yeah, this could be a significant event at least for Central-Eastern Kansas. Not a lot to dislike on this 18z NAM sounding for Tuesday evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted May 25, 2019 Share Posted May 25, 2019 17 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Yeah, this could be a significant event at least for Central-Eastern Kansas. Not a lot to dislike on this 18z NAM sounding for Tuesday evening. Thoughts further east into Missouri? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Huge meso in SW OK, not tightening up at all but lots of velocity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Quite a unique TOR warned couplet just to the west of Hobart, OK at the moment. Looks like two unique and strong circulations.Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Is an active night in OK going to be sneaking up on us? That storm really does look powerful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 I hope someone has eyes on that storm west of OK city. Looks like it could be producing a tornado. Dill city/Burns Flat in immediate danger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 This tornado-warned storm at Retrop, Oklahoma had a pretty high rotation rate, if the FDR radar detected it correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEHOCEY77 Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Dill City cell starting to tighten up too. Wall clouds getting more impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted May 26, 2019 Share Posted May 26, 2019 Confirmed tornado in El Reno, moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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