ApacheTrout Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 After consulting various indices, anagrams, the Farmer's Almanac, Twitter, and every predictive animal and insect, this is what I've come up with for the remainder of the year. The r2 value approaches 1, and the 95% CI is very small, so I’m feeling very confident in this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 I see you're really going out on a limb with that summer forecast. Good luck!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Good to see that you have "snow chances" noted for November and December. Pretty bold call right there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 33 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: I see you're really going out on a limb with that summer forecast. Good luck!!! Thank you. It took a lot of hard work, and I'm proud of not giving up when things were most dire. Here's a bit more explanation: In Depth Temperature Analysis If you look closely, you can see that the mean high temp line goes through each of the boxes differently: The Warming Up Period (AKA Deep Summer/Too Late to Install): About Normal Greatest Chance for HHH Period: Slightly Cooler than Normal. We'll still experience routine calls for Epic HHH, but it ain't happening. Lots of the last H, but very little of the first two. The Cooling Off Period: Below Normal Snow Chances Epoch: Well Below Normal Gonna Be Wet - Get Over It As for precipitation: Wet. Damp. Borderline moldy. Maybe three consecutive days of uninterrupted sunshine in July (the 5th, 6th, and 7th) and definitely sunny and dry the entire week of August 11. But's that all we can expect. Oh, and flood insurance policies should be renewed prior to September 23. Widespread flooding. Coastal erosion. Permanent Mean Sea Level increase of 60 mm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 46 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Good to see that you have "snow chances" noted for November and December. Pretty bold call right there. Normally, I bet in favor of AN temps, but not this fall. The AN temps and rain start on Dec 24, too late to affect the period's overall meme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 It is not covered in AT's post, but I also like the odds of our leaves changing color here in NNE in late September into mid-October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 1 hour ago, klw said: It is not covered in AT's post, but I also like the odds of our leaves changing color here in NNE in late September into mid-October. Agree. If you have hardcore science to back it up, all the better. But gut feelings count for so much ‘round here, so that’s good, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 18 minutes ago, ApacheTrout said: Agree. If you have hardcore science to back it up, all the better. But gut feelings count for so much ‘round here, so that’s good, too. Better than science, I have pictures. As you can see in two of the pictures, in October the leaves have color but not in the warmer sun tanning months. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted May 13, 2019 Author Share Posted May 13, 2019 Hard to argue with pictures. And you bear a remarkable and uncanny resemblance to a Soviet stud muffin, so I really wouldn't dare argue with you at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 I love this lol good job trouty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 4 hours ago, klw said: Better than science, I have pictures. As you can see in two of the pictures, in October the leaves have color but not in the warmer sun tanning months. Cept suntan pic background is evergreens, hey nice pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 Nailed it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 13, 2019 Share Posted May 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Cept suntan pic background is evergreens, hey nice pic I was hoping no one would pick up on that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 19, 2019 Share Posted July 19, 2019 On 5/13/2019 at 9:45 AM, ApacheTrout said: After consulting various indices, anagrams, the Farmer's Almanac, Twitter, and every predictive animal and insect, this is what I've come up with for the remainder of the year. The r2 value approaches 1, and the 95% CI is very small, so I’m feeling very confident in this. Much better than Cranky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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