Itstrainingtime Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 15 minutes ago, Newman said: Really the only wild card seems to be how well we recover from this morning rain and cloud cover for todays severe threat. Mount Holly continues to become more and more concerned on their 8am update: Additionally, given the fairly quick movement of the line of showers/storms, concern continues to increase that the post-storm environment will quickly recover/destabilize to support a potentially significant severe threat this afternoon/evening, especially south of I-78. Clouds are already thinning with partial sun here and it's only 9:30am. Should be a lot of juice added to the fire... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Clouds are already thinning with partial sun here and it's only 9:30am. Should be a lot of juice added to the fire... could get interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 How many times has the SPC put us under Enhanced risk in one year? Because we're under it again later today. Though 2 of the other times we got lucky and it turned into no shows. I'm wondering how lucky we can get. I love severe weather but definitely not a fan of tornadoes if they effect anyone. Had one tear some trees down last year in my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1:00pm and still a solid overcast in South Philly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Still overcast in Wertzville. Not feeling it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 SEL4 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 274 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western New Jersey Extreme east central Ohio Pennsylvania The extreme northern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon from Ohio into Pennsylvania, and storms will spread generally eastward through this evening. The storm environment will be favorable for supercells capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. A more favorable environment for tornadoes is expected across northern and eastern Pennsylvania into western New Jersey as the low levels destabilize. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Franklin PA to 35 miles north northeast of Trenton NJ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 272...WW 273... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Thompson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, meatwad said: SEL4 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 274 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 145 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western New Jersey Extreme east central Ohio Pennsylvania The extreme northern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon from Ohio into Pennsylvania, and storms will spread generally eastward through this evening. The storm environment will be favorable for supercells capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. A more favorable environment for tornadoes is expected across northern and eastern Pennsylvania into western New Jersey as the low levels destabilize. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Franklin PA to 35 miles north northeast of Trenton NJ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 272...WW 273... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 29035. ...Thompson Can't ever recall a red box that was more inclusive to PA, period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Its about to explode .its all comeing together now. the sun has been in and out here for the last few hours . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Its about to explode .its all comeing together now. the sun has been in and out here for the last few hours . Fuel for the storms is building.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 There was a brief shower and now the sun is out. Hopefully it supercharges the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Just now, Atomixwx said: There was a brief shower and now the sun is out. Hopefully it supercharges the atmosphere. We have been cooking over here for a few hours now and I am close enough to you that my lift is your lift. Its over shooting tops for for you today my friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Wow, a near state-wide tornado watch just issued for PA. 59 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Still overcast in Wertzville. Not feeling it today. I think things will clear out more in the Sus Valley as we get into the later afternoon, which is evident on satellite. Mesoanalysis is showing pretty big CAPE already advected into the western and central counties.. on the order of >3000 j/kg (surface based). A lot of mesoanalysis parameters look fairly impressive for this neck of the woods. The combination of the large CAPE and modest helicity has 0-1km EHI numbers >1 and in the 2-4 range (most in northern PA attm) over a big portion of central/western PA. That in itself is a solid indicator of a tornadic threat from thunderstorms today. Pretty high bulk shear numbers and bulk richardson numbers (BRN) in the 10-45 range over a good portion of central PA would suggest cellular and supercells as the dominant storm mode today vs lines or clusters. Large hail is also a notable threat as well given the large CAPE. There is definitely high potential for a pretty significant severe outbreak late this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I think things will clear out more in the Sus Valley as we get into the later afternoon. We're there now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 this wont be Pa. typical high base stuff today. The storms will will have no problem getting energy to the ground today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 rotation just east of oil city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 storms just east and west of Butler are starting to show rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Its happening now stay safe friends and foe I am out to chase be back late tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 oil city super cell just took a hard right turn she is spinning good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Dang has there been any almost state wide watch issued before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 its quickly becoming a parade of super cells. With so many strong cells so early this baby should congeal into a nice MCV before nights end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Anduril said: Dang has there been any almost state wide watch issued before? may of 98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 not real excited about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, Anduril said: Dang has there been any almost state wide watch issued before? I belive this MCV back in 2003 also prompted a state wide watch but I don't remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 Holy crap. Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 The above is my favrite radar image of all time. classic Bookend vort, super cells inflow notches mcv complex and more its all there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 The hail threat today across PA is not going to be one to overlook! Already a storm warned for baseball sized hail: Destructive, baseball-size hail and wind gusts to 70 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 anyone got the heights of these storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, sauss06 said: not real excited about it. Me either bro...not at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 keep an eye on birds of pray flight patterns and how exposed the underside of the foliage is on the tallest trees to know if you are in an area strong lift today if the tree canopy is light green and the foliage upside down and pointing up get in side or move. If birds of pray are in the area doing circles and not flapping there wings your in a hot spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted May 28, 2019 Share Posted May 28, 2019 you could yous your cell phone but you wont learn anyting and it will let you down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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