canderson Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 94 today. Looks way above average until at least October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Can anyone explain how I didn’t get a drop of rain from this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 448 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2019 A potentially interesting situation is hinted at next week with the upper high parked over the SE US. A wave in the Bahamas is brought under this ridge into the eastern Gulf of Mexico, with the ECMWF/GFS/Canadian all remarkably close in bringing a possible tropical cyclone toward the NE gulf states perhaps as early as later Monday. By the middle of next week there are hints that whatever moves ashore could be heading north up the Appalachians toward the OH Valley or NERN US, or at least a stream of deeper tropical moisture advecting up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 8 hours ago, canderson said: Can anyone explain how I didn’t get a drop of rain from this? No idea...did you get any rain overnight? I had a storm sometime around 2:00am that left about .3" in my bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: No idea...did you get any rain overnight? I had a storm sometime around 2:00am that left about .3" in my bucket. Around the same time - maybe .2" or so yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 I had some loud thunder around 2:30 this morning. It looks like I picked up 0.48" from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 Since you all are the only real active thread in PA, when is this relief supposed to arrive? Overnight? It still feels humid as heck to me-and the AC is broke at work so the last 3 days have been misery! It seems every fall it’s hot into November.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 1 hour ago, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Since you all are the only real active thread in PA, when is this relief supposed to arrive? Overnight? It still feels humid as heck to me-and the AC is broke at work so the last 3 days have been misery! It seems every fall it’s hot into November.... Not to sure of your location but central and eastern pa will receive the most benefits from this front. A nice easterly flow off the Atlantic. Southwest pa will see the least amount of cooling from the front. To answer your question overnight. From northeast to southwest. If the gfs is right we might see some decent relief middle of next week and beyond. Euro is different with tropical weather just off the coast and less of a cooldown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 44 minutes ago, daxx said: Not to sure of your location but central and eastern pa will receive the most benefits from this front. A nice easterly flow off the Atlantic. Southwest pa will see the least amount of cooling from the front. To answer your question overnight. From northeast to southwest. If the gfs is right we might see some decent relief middle of next week and beyond. Euro is different with tropical weather just off the coast and less of a cool down. Thanks for the info! I’m in the laurel mountains a little SE of pgh....no one has posted in our thread since 8/23...lol I always come to your board and the ENSO thread to see what might be coming up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 13, 2019 Share Posted September 13, 2019 Nice cool, grey day out today. It's gorgeous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 14 hours ago, canderson said: Nice cool, grey day out today. It's gorgeous! Not if you were in SWPA (Pittsburgh area). I took a PSU soccer team out there for a game in Pleasant Hills, and the gray drizzlies ended as I was coming down off the Laurels, and it was sunny and 86 out there during the afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 On 9/12/2019 at 9:35 PM, ChalkHillSnowNut said: Thanks for the info! I’m in the laurel mountains a little SE of pgh....no one has posted in our thread since 8/23...lol I always come to your board and the ENSO thread to see what might be coming up! Thanks for posting here! This thread gets much more active as we approach winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 5 hours ago, Voyager said: Not if you were in SWPA (Pittsburgh area). I took a PSU soccer team out there for a game in Pleasant Hills, and the gray drizzlies ended as I was coming down off the Laurels, and it was sunny and 86 out there during the afternoon... Sounds like your kind of day though at least! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 Sounds like some decent storms rolling through State College Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 1 hour ago, canderson said: Sounds like your kind of day though at least! It was. I wonder if it had anything to do with downsloping, though. Mag? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 14, 2019 Share Posted September 14, 2019 Gorgeous here in Pittsburgh. Ready to watch Russ Wilson pick apart the Steelers tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 This mid to upper 80’s, no rain from now till October is disgusting . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 15, 2019 Share Posted September 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Jns2183 said: This mid to upper 80’s, no rain from now till October is disgusting . Pro Early October might be way above normal and dry as a bone too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 16, 2019 Share Posted September 16, 2019 On 9/14/2019 at 4:11 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Gorgeous here in Pittsburgh. Ready to watch Russ Wilson pick apart the Steelers tomorrow. As I said... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted September 16, 2019 Share Posted September 16, 2019 Could be 90 by next weekend. we need rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted September 16, 2019 Share Posted September 16, 2019 6 hours ago, sauss06 said: Could be 90 by next weekend. we need rain Freaking awful-should be mid August weather... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 16, 2019 Share Posted September 16, 2019 9 hours ago, sauss06 said: Could be 90 by next weekend. we need rain 12z Euro 2m temps. Saturday 87 Sunday 89 Monday 92 Tuesday 88 Wednesday 96 These temperatures are for MDT. Rainfall looks next to nothing. Hopefully Euro is wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 16 hours ago, daxx said: 12z Euro 2m temps. Saturday 87 Sunday 89 Monday 92 Tuesday 88 Wednesday 96 These temperatures are for MDT. Rainfall looks next to nothing. Hopefully Euro is wrong! Euro is only wrong when showing a January coastal bomb 6 days out. We're going to be baking again... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Euro is only wrong when showing a January coastal bomb 6 days out. We're going to be baking again... Haha! Very true. I am looking at it this way, let us bake until mid November. After that let Winter begin and last until April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 17, 2019 Author Share Posted September 17, 2019 Drought. Wanted to plant grass seed but cannot do it with this pig of a weather pattern and no irrigation system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 17, 2019 Share Posted September 17, 2019 34 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Drought. Wanted to plant grass seed but cannot do it with this pig of a weather pattern and no irrigation system. Running more than 2" behind normal now since June. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 17, 2019 Author Share Posted September 17, 2019 16 minutes ago, canderson said: Running more than 2" behind normal now since June. Yup. The US map does not officially put us in any of the drought categories but if we get little to no rain the next couple weeks I bet we get lit up with some pretty fall colors on that map....maybe even D1. Northeast Light showers dropped 0.5-1.5 inches of rain across northern sections of New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Although offshore in the Atlantic Ocean, Dorian came close enough to far eastern Maine that 1.5-4 inches of rain accumulated. Elsewhere, it was mostly dry across the Northeast. The small D0 areas in upstate New York and New England remained unchanged as this week’s light rain were not enough for removal, but great enough (including last week’s higher rainfall) to prevent expansion. Farther south, however, conditions have recently been drier in the mid-Atlantic and central Appalachians with slightly above-normal temperatures (1-3 degs F). As a result, between 50-75% of normal precipitation has fallen during the past 60-days, accumulating deficits of 2-4 inches. For the week ending Sep. 8, 33, 63 and 74% of the topsoil moisture in West Virginia, Maryland, and Delaware, respectively, was rated short to very short, according to the USDA. Therefore, D0 was added to the Delmarva Peninsula, and expanded in southern West Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 11 hours ago, daxx said: Haha! Very true. I am looking at it this way, let us bake until mid November. After that let Winter begin and last until April. I agree with this! A Below normal temperature pattern does not do us any good until mid November! The days of heat are numbered. I’m getting ready to start winter weather tracking in another 2 months ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 16 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: I agree with this! A Below normal temperature pattern does not do us any good until mid November! The days of heat are numbered. I’m getting ready to start winter weather tracking in another 2 months ! Yes... I'm not worrying about warm weather this time of year. Give me a good pattern when it counts. Don't get me wrong I would prefer it much cooler but I'm not sweating it right now. Definitely a warm period coming up but some models are backing off on a on endless heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted September 18, 2019 Share Posted September 18, 2019 11 hours ago, daxx said: Yes... I'm not worrying about warm weather this time of year. Give me a good pattern when it counts. Don't get me wrong I would prefer it much cooler but I'm not sweating it right now. Definitely a warm period coming up but some models are backing off on a on endless heat. absolutely. No need to waste a good pattern/cold until it really can work for us. Something i'm playing with in my mind is watching the forcing between the arctic domains vs Enso/Equatorial regions as low sea ice continues to be something to watch in the coming years. Cant help but think that low ice could play an effect on polar regions indicies being less forceful as a result. While i realize it only has to be cold enough to snow, when polar regions are warming, the amount of cold in polar regions has to play into the cards somehow, with areas in between being the ones most notably affected, and the time it takes to manufacture enough cold to be able to affect our region favorably has me wondering. Hope my theory makes sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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